LPP: profitable growth (stays BUY)
We maintain our BUY on LPP, with a new 12M price target (PT) of PLN 27,522/share (up from PLN 20,842/share). After a turbulent year, the company’s share price has reached our previous PT eventually, but we still see another 35% upside potential. First, with the remaining exposure to its former Russian business written down, we believe that LPP has closed that chapter of its history for good. Secondly, we underline that management has moderated its rollout plans to a still ambitious, but realistic, pace of c.20% p.a. by 2027E. At the same time, its rationalised sales targets, working capital optimisation and cost control have allowed LPP to deliver stellar 3Q25 results and upgrade its 2025-27E earnings guidance by c.12-19%. We expect LPP to deliver 2024-27E EBITDA and earnings CAGRs of 20% and 19%. Across that, currently, LPP is trading at P/Es of 18x for 2025E and c.15x for 2026E, visibly below its 15-year 1YF average of 24x, and 34% and 41% below the averages of H&M and Inditex, respectively, which we find hard to justify.LPP SA Gdansk is clothing manufacturing group based in Poland. Co. is engaged in the design and distribution of clothing. Co.'s headquarters is located in Gdan'sk, including designing resources for all its brands. Co.'s stores offer its customer products that include jackets, shirts, sweaters, dresses, skirts, trousers, jeans, underwear and garment products. Co. also sells promotion clothing under a special selected brand. Co.'s product offering is addressed to a variety of customers for whom separate brands and chain stores are set up. Co. launches clothing under such brand names as: RESERVED, CROPP, MOHITO, HOUSE, and PROMOSTARS.
WOOD & Company is the leading investment bank in Emerging Europe. Founded in 1991 and head-quartered in Prague, our footprint spans the region and touches investors around the globe.
A pioneer in Emerging Europe, WOOD executed many of the first CEE equity trades and landmark investment banking transactions. Our electronic trading platform was the first in the region, and remains the best. We are continually expanding our relevance and reach in these ever-evolving markets.
Our equity market share reflects our stature: 7% in Warsaw, 20% in Bucharest, 16% in Hungary, 40% in Prague and 5% in Vienna. Our distribution is unparalleled, with the largest salesforce in the region, servicing a uniquely diverse investor base.
We couple local expertise with a truly international perspective. With offices on the ground in the region, and in key financial hubs such as London and Milano, we are never far from our clients and we remain at the forefront of what’s afoot in the CEE emerging and frontier landscape.
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