Lenovo’s 3QFY26 print is a solid beat, primarily thanks to better-than-expected sales across the board, along with a resilient operating margin. Going forward, management foresees IDG and SSG sales growth moderating to single-digit levels, while ISG may maintain a high double-digit growth. Memory cost hikes will be an ongoing issue, although most of the impact can be resolved by ASP hikes, mix improvements and inventory management. Maintain HOLD and adjust target price to HK$9.85.
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile CATL, BYD, and Changan are deploying SIBs in EVs due to longer cycle lives, strong cold-weather performance and better fire safety. SIB-equipped EV sales are projected to make up 4-9% of global EV sales. LIBs remain dominant, but CATL benefits from diversification. The lithium market is expected to stay resilient through 2030. The hike in lithium carbonate costs will mostly be borne by auto OEMs. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; BUY CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth, G...
CATL, BYD, and Changan are deploying SIBs in EVs due to longer cycle lives, strong cold-weather performance and better fire safety. SIB-equipped EV sales are projected to make up 4-9% of global EV sales. LIBs remain dominant, but CATL benefits from diversification. The lithium market is expected to stay resilient through 2030. The hike in lithium carbonate costs will mostly be borne by auto OEMs. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; BUY CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth, Geely; SELL Li Auto.
2QFY26: Progressing Downstream+Upstream Operations Highlights 1HFY26 core profit deemed above expectations. The positive deviation on downstream segment profit momentum appears more sustainable and stronger vs our expectation. Plant Services is now operating at full steam for three Petronas turnarounds, while melamine plant completion was also revealed. The upstream division continued to progress well in existing projects. The Baram Junior Cluster (BJC) will have its first wellhead platform (S...
Greater China Economics | Inflation January headline CPI eased to 0.2% yoy (-0.6ppt mom), below consensus forecasts, mainly due to a high base from last year’s Chinese New Year with food inflation turning negative. Core CPI fell to 0.8% yoy as both goods and services inflation moderated. PPI deflation narrowed to -1.4% yoy (+0.5ppt mom), supported by improvements in processing and non-ferrous metals sub-components, although mining and consumer goods remained weak. Overall, base effects drove CPI...
US hyperscalers’ capex guidance for 2026 far exceeds market expectations, and should fuel a new round of earnings upgrades for China-listed supply chain players, with server OEMs/ODMs being some of the biggest beneficiaries. We also believe that the concerns about a peaking AIDC investment are unfounded, as the robust capex is backed by highly visible demand for AI compute, and a quantifiable boost to productivity. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the sector.
Top Stories Sector Update | IT Hardware US hyperscalers’ capex guidance for 2026 far exceeds market expectations, and should fuel a new round of earnings upgrades for China-listed supply chain players, with server OEMs/ODMs being some of the biggest beneficiaries. We also believe that the concerns about a peaking AIDC investment are unfounded, as the robust capex is backed by highly visible demand for AI compute, and a quantifiable boost to productivity. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the sector. Tec...
Greater China Sector Update | IT Hardware US hyperscalers’ capex guidance for 2026 far exceeds market expectations, and should fuel a new round of earnings upgrades for China-listed supply chain players, with server OEMs/ODMs being some of the biggest beneficiaries. We also believe that the concerns about a peaking AIDC investment are unfounded, as the robust capex is backed by highly visible demand for AI compute, and a quantifiable boost to productivity. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the sector. Ind...
CPCA estimates January China passenger NEV wholesale sales at 900,000 units (+1% yoy/-42% mom), with front-loaded purchases ahead of the reduced purchase tax and delayed local subsidies weighing on volumes. Automakers with ICE-car exposure, such as Geely Auto and Great Wall Motor, saw relatively resilient January sales. We expect China’s auto sales to recover after Chinese New Year, with local subsidies in place. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth and Geely. Top SELL:...
Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile CPCA estimates January China passenger NEV wholesale sales at 900,000 units (+1% yoy/-42% mom), with front-loaded purchases ahead of the reduced purchase tax and delayed local subsidies weighing on volumes. Automakers with ICE-car exposure, such as Geely Auto and Great Wall Motor, saw relatively resilient January sales. We expect China’s auto sales to recover after Chinese New Year, with local subsidies in place. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Gan...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile CPCA estimates January China passenger NEV wholesale sales at 900,000 units (+1% yoy/-42% mom), with front-loaded purchases ahead of the reduced purchase tax and delayed local subsidies weighing on volumes. Automakers with ICE-car exposure, such as Geely Auto and Great Wall Motor, saw relatively resilient January sales. We expect China’s auto sales to recover after Chinese New Year, with the local subsidies in place. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: ...
Preliminary 2025 net loss narrowed to US$126m-143m, driven by investment gains, implying a 4Q25 bottom line turnaround to US$14m-31m. Full-year 2025 adjusted net loss was in line with our expectation. We expect earnings to be driven by fleet expansion, hardware cost reduction, and increasing operation efficiency. We maintain our 2025-27 net loss forecasts of US$195m/US$189m/US$143m respectively. We expect bottom line to turn around in 2028. Maintain BUY; keep target price at US$26.10 for US stoc...
Top Stories Company Results | Yum China Holdings, Inc (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$392.40) In 4Q25, YUMC’s total revenue reached US$2,823m, up 9% yoy. Total system sales grew 7% yoy, with a 3% increase in same-store sales. Operating profit rose 25% yoy to US$187m, with operating margin at 6.6% (+80bp). For 1Q26, management targets positive SSS. It aims to maintain flat yoy restaurant margin and operating profit margin on a high base. For 2026, it expects to open more than 1,900 net new stores, with 40...
Greater China Company Results | Yum China Holdings, Inc (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$392.40) In 4Q25, YUMC’s total revenue reached US$2,823m, up 9% yoy. Total system sales grew 7% yoy, with a 3% increase in same-store sales. Operating profit rose 25% yoy to US$187m, with operating margin at 6.6% (+80bp). For 1Q26, management targets positive SSS. It aims to maintain flat yoy restaurant margin and operating profit margin on a high base. For 2026, it expects to open more than 1,900 net new stores, wi...
Top Stories Strategy | Monthly Market Radar Singapore equities delivered a strong January performance, with the STI rising 5.6% to fresh record highs amid heightened geopolitical tensions that drove flight-to-safety flows. Manufacturing activity remained in mild expansion, led by electronics and AI-related demand. Market/corporate catalysts during the month include REIT earnings, IPO interest in Catalist and continued strength in gold-linked counters. Company Results | Parkway Life REIT (PREIT ...
4QFY25: Address Yard Congestion For Medium-Term Growth Highlights 2025 profits beat consensus forecasts (and in line with ours). While a 3% volume growth and container yield/VAS income expansion (due to tariff hike) were expected, WPRTS demonstrated resilient cost control despite encountering unprecedented port congestions, where yard density in end-Dec 25 surged to 102% (2025: 85%; vs terminal utilisation of 82%) Growth depends on addressing yard congestion. Westports Holdings (WPRTS) maint...
Greater China Sector Update | China Property CRIC data show that the top 100 developers’ contracted sales fell 24.7% yoy in Jan 26, while new-home sales in 28 major cities declined 36% yoy. Second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities rose 1% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT but deepening industry downturn leads to rising possibility of policy support, supporting selective exposure. CR Land remains our top pick, with P/B at 1SD below the five-year mean, and PE and yield near the five-year average....
Highlights GWM posted preliminary 2025 net profit of Rmb9,912m (-22% yoy), below our estimate of Rmb10.69b and consensus estimate of Rmb12.23b. The earnings decline was due to the initial costs for the establishment of direct sales networks and R&D for the new tech platforms. We expect earnings recovery in 2026, based on the decline in the initial cost for direct sales networks and the ramp-up of the new products’ sales. To factor in higher R&D costs, we cut our 2026-27 net profit forecast...
Top Stories Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterprise su...
Greater China Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterpri...
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