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Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Kojamo (Buy, TP: EUR12.00) - Occupancy is improving

Kojamo reported a Q1 EPRA occupancy rate of 92.8% (+40bp YOY), with further improvement in March to 93.5%, driven by lower tenant turnover and incentives for new signings. EBIT exceeded our estimate by 2% and Infront consensus by 3%, but EPRA earnings missed our forecast (by 10%) due to higher funding costs. Despite the EPRA EPS miss, Kojamo reiterated its full-year FFO guidance. We have raised our adj. EPS (FFO) forecasts for 2025−2027 by 2–5% due to lower market interest rates. We reiterate ou...

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Veidekke (Hold, TP: NOK150.00) - Q1 was a supportive non-event

Q1 EBIT was NOK-43m, slightly below our forecast, with low seasonal profits due to winter effects in the asphalt operations. This is a seasonally insignificant quarter for the company due to the winter season, and, for context, we expect 2025 EBIT of NOK1.7bn. Order intake and backlog were the Q1 strong points. With the results and commentary supportive of our earnings forecasts, we have made minor estimate changes on the group level and reiterate our HOLD, but have cut our target price to NOK15...

Jesper Ingildsen
  • Jesper Ingildsen

ChemoMetec (Buy, TP: DKK640.00) - Solid Q3, but with mixed elements

With c26% revenue growth, Q3 was stronger than expected, with a solid beat on recurring revenue lines, although instruments fell just shy of our forecast, mainly related to new product launches that, despite a significant rise in customer validations in progress, take time. The maintained guidance implies only c5% YOY growth in Q4, but we believe management is being conservative. We reiterate our BUY and DKK640 target price.

Jesper Ingildsen
  • Jesper Ingildsen

Ambu (Buy, TP: DKK144.00) - Possibly isolated softness

Q2 was below our forecast, but the softness might be isolated to Q2 on what could be Chinese competitors dumping stock ahead of tariffs, which could become a tailwind. Notably, the 2024/25 guidance was maintained and includes headwinds from FX and tariffs. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to DKK144 (155).

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Skanska (Buy, TP: SEK255.00) - Volatile miss in Q1

Q1 EBIT missed, as the Residential and Commercial Development divisions had weaker-than-expected results. We have reduced our recovery expectations for these segments due to continued softness in Nordic housing sales and a slow recovery in US commercial property development. However, we still see upside potential in our SOTP-based valuation and reiterate our BUY. Nevertheless, based on our lowered forecasts, we have reduced our target price to SEK255 (270).

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Peab (Hold, TP: SEK85.00) - Q1 EBIT broadly as expected

Peab reported a Q1 seasonal EBIT loss (as expected), driven by winter-related effects in Industry. We have lowered our 2025e EPS due to the low tax rate in Q1, despite a broadly in-line underlying performance. We have slightly raised our revenue and EPS forecasts for 2026–2027 by c1%. We continue to see better risk/reward in peers and reiterate our HOLD and SEK85 target price.

Jesper Ingildsen
  • Jesper Ingildsen

ChemoMetec (Buy, TP: DKK640.00) - Likely solid Q3 but no pre-release

We previously expected ChemoMetec to have raised its full-year guidance ahead of the Q3 results, but assume the weaking USD and greater uncertainty from tariffs led it to refrain. We still expect a solid Q3, helped by new product launches, while in general we expect tariffs to have minimal effect on its costs, considering its location of production and high gross margin. We reiterate our BUY, but have lowered our target price to DKK640 (675).

Jesper Ingildsen
  • Jesper Ingildsen

Ambu (Buy, TP: DKK155.00) - Another strong quarter

We forecast Ambu to have another strong quarter, with c14% organic growth (we are above consensus) and continued solid margin progression. Despite tariffs, we expect the company to maintain its full-year guidance, but possibly increase the top-line guidance later in the year. We will also look for comments on the impact of tariffs on margins in the coming years. We reiterate our BUY, but have lowered our target price to DKK155 (165).

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

More Q1 results and a proposed delisting

The Q1 reporting season is in full swing, with results from Catena, Entra, Pandox and Wihlborgs in the past week. In addition, Aurora Eiendom announced a proposal to delist from Euronext Growth Oslo. The weighted-average implied EBITDA yields on the stocks we cover are 5.00% for 2025e and 5.31% for 2026e.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Pandox (Buy, TP: SEK200.00) - Valuation support despite Q1 miss

The Q1 results missed our expectations and consensus, mainly on weakness in the Brussels hotel market. Following the report and given recent macro trends, we have cut our EPS by c4–5% over our forecast period, and our NAV-based target price to SEK200 (215). However, given the stock is still trading at a significant discount to NAV, and the implied EBIT yield remains attractive, we have upgraded to BUY (HOLD).

Patrik Ling
  • Patrik Ling

Arjo (Hold, TP: SEK35.00) - Soft start to 2025

Q1 sales were broadly in line, but adj. EBITDA was c8% below our forecast and c6% below consensus. The main differences came from higher operating expenses than expected as well as a slightly lower gross margin. Product sales were weak, but service/spare parts and rental saw stronger sales than expected, a mix that is generally negative for the margin trend. We reiterate our HOLD and have cut our target price to SEK35 (42).

Patrik Ling
  • Patrik Ling

Swedish Orphan Biovitrum (Buy, TP: SEK365.00) - Haemophilia the highli...

Q1 sales beat our forecast by 5% and adj. EBITA outperformed by 8%. Overall, we believe the highlight in the report was the stronger haemophilia result than expected, with solid growth in Altuvoct and a smaller decline for Elocta than forecast. The weak spot was Vonjo sales, which missed our estimate by 28% and consensus by 29%, with management citing stocking issues. We reiterate our BUY and SEK365 target price.

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Aurora Eiendom (No_rec, TP: NOK) - Recommendation and target price wit...

Aurora Eiendom has announced a proposal to delist from Euronext Growth Oslo to be put to the upcoming AGM – owners representing 88.37% of its shares and capital will put forward a cash offer of NOK86.83/share, and have undertaken to vote in favour of the delisting proposal at the AGM. Due to DNB Markets’ role in the transaction, we have withdrawn our estimates, target price and recommendation.

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