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Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- Bond rate reduction on hold

Yesterday, demand at the primary auction did not allow the Ministry of Finance to continue lowering rates or to sell planned volumes of bonds.

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- UAH bond rates decline further

The Ministry of Finance decreased interest rates for two out of three offered UAH bonds yesterday, coming closer to a decrease in three-month NBU CDs interest rates. Yesterday's auction provided the state budget with UAH7.2bn proceeds, including UAH5.4bn in local currency and EUR42.9m. UAH proceeds were lower due to a smaller cap for 12-month bills and lower demand for three-year notes. However, this did not prevent the Ministry from continuing to lower rates for some instruments. Four weeks af...

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Weekly Insight -- NBU reserves boosted by foreign aid

The NBU gross international reserves spiked 18% in March and 8% YTD to US$43.8bn as foreign partners provided a record volume of new loans to Ukraine.The largest credit facilities provided to Ukraine in March included a EUR4.5bn tranche from the EU, US$1.6bn loan from Japan, US$1.5bn from Canada, and US$0.9bn from the IMF. Meanwhile, the NBU spent US$1.8bn in FX interventions to keep the hryvnia exchange rate under control. Also, Ukraine repaid US$1.0bn in external loans over the month, mostly t...

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- Investors concentrate on short-term bonds

The MoF borrowed almost UAH6.8bn (US$173m) yesterday with a decline in interest rates. The greatest demand was for 12-month bills, which was almost twice oversubscribed. The range of interest rates in bids narrowed to 19bp: the lowest rate was 16.15% (up 3bp), and the highest rate declined by 11bp to 16.34%. Due to the cap, the MoF accepted bids with rates up to 16.25%, which was set as a cut-off rate or 10bp lower than last week. The weighted-average rate slid by 1bp to 16.23%.

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- Bond rates continue to decline

After the NBU decreased its key rate and rates for CDs earlier this month, yesterday, the MoF used the opportunity to cut interest rates for UAH bonds once more. The decline in rates yesterday was moderate, and less significant than a week ago.

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- NBU cuts key rate—bond rates down

Yesterday, the MoF decreased interest rates for UAH bonds by 20‒30bp, accepting about half of the received demand.The largest demand and the most significant decline in interest rates were for 12-month bills. This paper was almost 3x oversubscribed—demand was UAH8.7bn while the cap was UAH3bn (US$77m). All bids were lower than last week: the highest rate was 16.6% (20bp lower), while the lowest was 16.25% (45bp lower). Due to the cap, the MoF set the cut-off rate at 16.5% and the weighted-averag...

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- UAH borrowings increase

Demand for UAH bonds increased by almost a third at yesterday's auction compared with the previous week. Still, thanks to a more even distribution between the instruments, the Ministry of Finance increased borrowings by almost double, to UAH8.9bn (US$231m).

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- UAH interest rates remain unchanged

Yesterday, the Ministry of Finance borrowed UAH7.6bn (US$198.2m) for the state budget, including UAH5.2bn (US$135.5m) in local currency. Proceeds from USD-denominated bills were US$62.7m, half compared with the previous week. Demand at yesterday's auction concentrated on 12-month UAH bills, which amounted to almost UAH6.6bn (US$171m), while the MoF set the cap at UAH4bn (US$104m). The MoF fully satisfied all non-competitive and competitive bids with rates below the cut-off level. At the same ti...

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- UAH borrowings steady above UAH5bn per week

Yesterday, the Ministry of Finance attracted UAH11bn to the budget, half of which was in hryvnia. Overall, borrowings are down from the previous week by about a third, but they remain significantly higher than in late January and the first two weeks of February. The decrease was due to lower proceeds in foreign currency.

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- Lowest proceeds in last three months

The upset in the debt markets caused by the high risk of a Russian invasion of Ukraine led to minimal borrowing at yesterday's primary auction. In total, only UAH4.2bn was attracted for the budget, including just UAH119m in local currency.

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- Rates up at debut auction

Yesterday’s debut auction of 2022 saw an increase in rates on UAH-denominated bonds, although mostly insignificant. However, the decision to raise rates did not allow the Ministry of Finance to attract a large amount of funds.

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- Interest rates continue to rise

Despite no debt repayments this week, the Ministry of Finance raised UAH4.4bn in new funds yesterday, but had to raise interest rates even with relatively low demand.

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- Increase in borrowings at constant rates

There was greater investor activity in yesterday's auction than in previous weeks, and the Ministry of Finance attracted almost UAH8.2bn for the budget, refinancing almost 70% of today's redemption.

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- Large demand came with higher rates

Yesterday, the Ministry of Finance kept the amount of UAH-denominated borrowings at the previous level, attracting UAH6.6bn and another EUR167mn in hard currency. But to attract such a large amount of borrowings, the Ministry had to increase interest rates.

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- Cost of borrowing continues to rise

The Ministry of Finance began November with a large amount of borrowing; however, to accomplish this, it was necessary to raise interest rates. In general, the amount of budget proceeds was close to the UAH-denominated borrowings of the last week’s auction, but with a slightly different structure in terms of maturity.

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- Redemptions refinanced, but not in full

October ends with large debt payments and only partial refinancing. Over the past week and today, much more was repaid in debt principal than was borrowed for the budget.

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- Borrowings stay low

On the eve of the revision of the NBU key rate, the Ministry of Finance managed to increase borrowings, but reduced the number of instruments and offered FX-denominated paper. In hryvnia terms, borrowings doubled compared with the previous week, while in hard currency, borrowings more than halved compared with their offering in September.

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- Lowest borrowings of the year, but at constant ...

This Tuesday, only UAH513m was borrowed for the state budget, which was the lowest amount this year. Excluding FX-denominated bills, the amount raised this week was the second lowest amount raised in a primary auction, with the lowest borrowed in April.

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- Interest rates mostly unchanged

October’s debut auction provided the state budget with almost UAH2.5bn (US$93m) of proceeds at mostly constant interest rates.

Taras Kotovych
  • Taras Kotovych

Bond Market Insight -- Borrowings increase, but rates rise

This week, the MoF reacted to the higher rates in demand for UAH-denominated instruments, and rates rose for more issues.

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