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Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

TEL 3FQ26 QT: Weak 2FH26; 15-20% WFE growth in CY 2026, depending on ...

Tokyo Electron published its 3FQ26 results this morning. Please see our take on the print.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

SpaceX: Can the 10-ton 1MW space datacenter fly? A first-principle vie...

The development of space technology infrastructure is accelerating this year, to our delight. Expect from us more and more research on the topic. A good place to start was to assess the feasibility of the 10-ton, 1 MW space datacenter pitched by Elon Musk. For our first-principle perspective, summarized on a single slide, follow the link. Stay tuned for more on the economics of this datacenter, and its implications on the supply chain.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

ARM: Cloud and AI will contribute more to growth than smartphones goin...

We upgraded Arm this morning. Datacenter is set to contribute meaningfully to growth, supporting an acceleration to a ~25% revenue CAGR over the next five years. Today’s one-slider breaks down the key drivers.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

BT (Neutral, £2.40, +18%) Q3 26 – Line loss analysis – what is drivin...

BT’s Q3 results surprised us. Line loss guidance for the year was improved and despite a competitive consumer market, BT held consumer volumes flat with minimal ARPU erosion. In this note, we analyse both of these trends and in particular look at a bottom-up analysis of broadband KPI trends across the UK market.

Ben Harwood ... (+2)
  • Ben Harwood
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Uber 4Q25: Robotaxi datapoints support our thesis. Buy, $115

Uber reported 4Q25 earnings yesterday. Please click the link below for our take on the print.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone (Buy, £1.30, +20%) Q3 26 – The pricing vs. volume dynamic in...

Market reaction to Vodafone’s Q3 might be dominated by the weaker German broadband net adds figure, but we think the pricing trends look more encouraging and we see these as a reasonable set of results with all guidance reiterated.

Ben Harwood ... (+2)
  • Ben Harwood
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Soitec 3FQ26: Correction lingers, now reflected in expectations; reco...

Soitec reported 3FQ26 last night and hosted its conference call this morning. See for our take.

Antoine Chkaiban ... (+2)
  • Antoine Chkaiban
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

TalkTalk (Equal Weight) Post-Q3 model update: The customer growth vs....

Following the Q3 results yesterday, we have updated our forecasts to reflect weaker-than-expected subscriber trends in the quarter. While FY26 revenue guidance remains intact, the deterioration in customer volumes leads us to reduce our medium-term subscriber assumptions and, in turn, our longer-term revenue expectations. We assess the impact this has on value and the potential for higher future SAC spending.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Anticipating the memory supply-demand balance of 2026, on a single sli...

In our Micron initiation in 2022, we introduced a unique framework to track memory supply and demand, based on COGS and PPE. In today’s one-slider, we update our view on memory supply-demand balance for 2026.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

TalkTalk (Equal Weight) Q3: Financial guidance intact, but customer v...

TalkTalk has reported Q3 results (ending Nov 2025) and will host an analyst call later this morning. Aside from the recent M&A speculation, the company’s operational performance remains challenged with subscriber trends weaker in the quarter, despite new advertising campaigns around the rebrand

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Nexfibre to buy Netomnia? A potential first "real" in-market UK conso...

The FT is reporting that a nexfibre/ Netomnia deal could be imminent at a valuation of £2bn with a potential customer/ asset swap with VMO2 to follow. In this note we review how this might work and the broader sector/ competition implications given this would be the first “real” UK in-market consolidation deal involving overlapping infrastructure.

Ben Harwood ... (+2)
  • Ben Harwood
  • Pierre FerraguÊ
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Where is the cost of HBM going ? A perspective on a single slide

We publish today a single slide on how we expect the cost and price of HBM to evolve in the next few years. Link below.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Capex revisions, Replatforming, Memory Pricing, Semicap, Tesla, Apple....

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 27 names we followed last week, follow the link.

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