New Street Research

Provided by our team of experienced analysts, our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focussed on fundamentals and valuation.

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
  • US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
  • Global Emerging Market Telecoms
  • Japan Telecoms
  • Asian Internet
  • Pan European Healthcare
  • Global healthcare thematic research

We provide debt research on:

  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable


Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Following the money: TSMC capex points to XPU revenues well above expe...

The AI buildout is accelerating in 2026, and we see it is getting difficult to track what is being deployed, by whom, for what usage, with what financing, and on what underlying business model. As GTC approaches, we address all these questions in a series of one-sliders. Today we look into the implications of TSMC capex for XPU spending over the next few years.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

ASIC growth, AI optics, Hybrid bonding delays, AI Cyber tailwinds. Tec...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 8 names we followed last week, click the link below.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Grasping the AI Infra buildout (VI): Who pays for all these Enterprise...

The AI buildout is accelerating in 2026, and we see it is getting difficult to track what is being deployed, by whom, for what usage, with what financing, and on what underlying business model. As GTC approaches, we address all these questions in a series of one-sliders. Today we look into who pays for all these Enterprise Cloud AI bills. Note: For our latest estimates, please see updates to the slides published earlier this week; we are refining our numbers in real time as we progress in this...

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

NXST/TGNA Update: At the FCC, Utilizing the ‘No Courts’ Doctrine, Whil...

The FCC will likely approve the NXST/TGNA deal even though the deal violates the current FCC ownership rules. In this note, we describe how the FCC will likely do so, how it fits into FCC Chair’s strategy to wall off decisions from legal reviews, and how it creates some risk for the merged company several years from now. We also discuss the reports that States are preparing to act to block the deal.

Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan

Intron Health - AI Impact on Pharma - Thematic (20pgs) - Winners/Loser...

Our Big Pharma AI thesis is the result of ~25 interviews with industry execs & >100hrs of research. We show ~10% of OPEX could be saved by AI within a few years & conclude the recent sector rally is wholly justified & could run further. We assess the winners & losers from AI adoption and discuss in detail some of the short, mid & long-term consequences. We evaluate the various AI use cases and quantify the potential benefit they may have. We break down SG&A & R&D activities & show where AI is im...

US Cable M&A Update: CHTR / TWC Deal Spread Presents Compelling Opport...

​Investors are still concerned that the CHTR / TWC transaction could be blocked, as evidenced by a deal spread of 9%. The market appears to be giving the deal 50% odds of being approved. We think the market is way off the mark; this deal has high odds of approval.

Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • Russell Waller
  • Shavar Halberstadt

New Street: W. Europe Mobile Tariff Tracker Nov 2019: Widespread disco...

The average package price growth in Europe remained steady at +1.9% YoY (from +2.4% YoY in October). Widespread discounting in the UK following Black Friday was offset by higher prices in Spain, Portugal and Austria.

Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • Russell Waller
  • Shavar Halberstadt

New Street: W. Europe Mobile Tariff Tracker Nov 2019: Widespread disco...

The average package price growth in Europe remained steady at +1.9% YoY (from +2.4% YoY in October). Widespread discounting in the UK following Black Friday was offset by higher prices in Spain, Portugal and Austria.

Iain Johnston
  • Iain Johnston

China Internet Daily (28 August 2018)

Tencent's Wealth Management Platform Licaitong Adds Five New Money Market Funds.

Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan

Thematic Research - Quantifying The Impact From Part D Reform

In 2025, Big Pharma will be exposed to further US drug pricing reform as a result of the IRA act. This is the final big change to play out and we calculate there is the potential for a mid-single digit EBIT impact for some companies, but there is material heterogeneity in terms of the magnitude of the impact. There is also the potential for upside for Novo & LLY. However, given the significant complexity in the reimburse-ment changes & in computing the current sales in Medicare Part D, we are re...

Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan

Thematic - Obesity Drugs Won’t Change The World

Despite our bullish stance on Novo & the obesity drugs, in this note we aim to show the minimal impact they will have on the broader economy despite recent fears that new obesity drugs will have a material negative impact on a broad range of sectors. We show that these claims are well overblown in the near-term, with only 0.15% of the US population currently on anti-obesity drugs (AODs). Our forecasts, which point to a $50bn US market by 2030, imply that

Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan

Global CDMOs - Impact of Alzheimer's Windfall

Our unique coverage of the biggest CDMO’s allows us to quantify the financial impact on the industry of a potential Alzheimer’s windfall from Biogen’s aducanumab. As the FDA filing draws closer, Biogen are likely to be involved in intense negotiations to find alternative sources of supply. Our highly detailed analysis shows how much aducanumab will need to be produced, who the winners are likely to be, the revenue uplift they may enjoy and the NPV uplift to each player. Lonza & Samsung Bio...

James Ratzer ... (+2)
  • James Ratzer
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

EU Telecoms Sector Upgrade: Time to give the sector a fresh look – V...

European telecoms sector looks attractive – the past is not always a guide for the future: Investors and analysts have been browbeaten with generally poor trends in the European telecoms sector for many years.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

OpenAI: What recently leaked financials tell us about the future of co...

Based on numbers leaked by The Information last week and our expertise in AI infrastructure costs, we estimated the P&L and compute costs that the company anticipates until 2029. We then put OpenAI’s projections into perspective: how do their compute costs compare to our forecast for the industry overall, how does the mix between training and inference compare to our projection, etc.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tesla: Deep dive into Chinese competition - Existential threat?

Multiple media reports make it sound like Tesla is under threat in China, from local manufacturers. Is it true? In this note we assess the competitive landscape with an analysis of the cost structure of Tesla relative to peers and its market position by segment.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tesla: We, Reboot.

We had the privilege to attend Tesla's "We, Robot" party last night at Warner Bros Studios. Please

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