New Street Research

Provided by our team of experienced analysts, our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focussed on fundamentals and valuation.

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
  • US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
  • Global Emerging Market Telecoms
  • Japan Telecoms
  • Asian Internet
  • Pan European Healthcare
  • Global healthcare thematic research

We provide debt research on:

  • Pan European Telecom Services and Cable


Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Sub-Saharan African Telecoms Another good performance; Q2 25 review

The Sub-Saharan African (SSA) operators performed well again in Q2 with service revenue trends accelerating further, and stable OpFCF margins. MTN was the outperformer in terms of both local currency and $ top line performance in Q2, Airtel performed well too. Nigeria has contributed meaningfully this quarter, with local currency growth there accelerating to above 60%. The full effect of the price increase in Nigeria has helped and we expect another strong performance

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers First down month, AMX into the Top-10 for T...

After 8 extremely strong months, September bucked the trend. 6 of our Top Picks saw profit taking with only Airtel Africa, Millicom, Telefonica Brasil and LILAC posting positive returns. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. Having strongly outperformed we switch out Millicom for AMX which we now see as a cheaper, lower risk, way to play Latin American telcos.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

CityFibre Q3: Significant customer acceleration with Sky launch & BT ...

CityFibre has just released a Q3 trading update which highlights the acceleration in customer volumes that they are seeing with Sky – and this is likely to put incremental pressure on BT, especially if momentum accelerates further in Q4 which we think could be likely.

Vikash Harlalka
  • Vikash Harlalka

BEAD: Update for 3 More States

In this latest update, we now include BEAD proposals from 51 states & territories. We have updated our analysis for Alaska, Florida and Utah. Comcast, Brightspeed and AT&T remain at the top of the list among wireline operators. Fiber remains the dominant technology both in terms of locations as well as funding.

Blair Levin
  • Blair Levin

SATS’ Spectrum Deals with T and now VZ: How Will the DOJ React?

SATS, already having announced deals to sell spectrum to T and SpaceX, is reportedly close to a deal to sell its AWS-3 band to VZ. We expect easy approval from the FCC but given the DOJ Antitrust Division’s comments recently about the risks of leaving “the market vulnerable to increased coordination among the remaining three carriers” how will it react to the new deals? In this note we analyze the DOJ language and what it means for reviews of the spectrum sales to incumbent wireless carriers.

US Cable M&A Update: CHTR / TWC Deal Spread Presents Compelling Opport...

​Investors are still concerned that the CHTR / TWC transaction could be blocked, as evidenced by a deal spread of 9%. The market appears to be giving the deal 50% odds of being approved. We think the market is way off the mark; this deal has high odds of approval.

Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • Russell Waller
  • Shavar Halberstadt

New Street: W. Europe Mobile Tariff Tracker Nov 2019: Widespread disco...

The average package price growth in Europe remained steady at +1.9% YoY (from +2.4% YoY in October). Widespread discounting in the UK following Black Friday was offset by higher prices in Spain, Portugal and Austria.

Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • Russell Waller
  • Shavar Halberstadt

New Street: W. Europe Mobile Tariff Tracker Nov 2019: Widespread disco...

The average package price growth in Europe remained steady at +1.9% YoY (from +2.4% YoY in October). Widespread discounting in the UK following Black Friday was offset by higher prices in Spain, Portugal and Austria.

Iain Johnston
  • Iain Johnston

China Internet Daily (28 August 2018)

Tencent's Wealth Management Platform Licaitong Adds Five New Money Market Funds.

Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan

Thematic Research - Quantifying The Impact From Part D Reform

In 2025, Big Pharma will be exposed to further US drug pricing reform as a result of the IRA act. This is the final big change to play out and we calculate there is the potential for a mid-single digit EBIT impact for some companies, but there is material heterogeneity in terms of the magnitude of the impact. There is also the potential for upside for Novo & LLY. However, given the significant complexity in the reimburse-ment changes & in computing the current sales in Medicare Part D, we are re...

Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan

Thematic - Obesity Drugs Won’t Change The World

Despite our bullish stance on Novo & the obesity drugs, in this note we aim to show the minimal impact they will have on the broader economy despite recent fears that new obesity drugs will have a material negative impact on a broad range of sectors. We show that these claims are well overblown in the near-term, with only 0.15% of the US population currently on anti-obesity drugs (AODs). Our forecasts, which point to a $50bn US market by 2030, imply that

Dominic Rose ... (+2)
  • Dominic Rose
  • Naresh Chouhan

Global CDMOs - Impact of Alzheimer's Windfall

Our unique coverage of the biggest CDMO’s allows us to quantify the financial impact on the industry of a potential Alzheimer’s windfall from Biogen’s aducanumab. As the FDA filing draws closer, Biogen are likely to be involved in intense negotiations to find alternative sources of supply. Our highly detailed analysis shows how much aducanumab will need to be produced, who the winners are likely to be, the revenue uplift they may enjoy and the NPV uplift to each player. Lonza & Samsung Bio...

James Ratzer ... (+2)
  • James Ratzer
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

EU Telecoms Sector Upgrade: Time to give the sector a fresh look – V...

European telecoms sector looks attractive – the past is not always a guide for the future: Investors and analysts have been browbeaten with generally poor trends in the European telecoms sector for many years.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

OpenAI: What recently leaked financials tell us about the future of co...

Based on numbers leaked by The Information last week and our expertise in AI infrastructure costs, we estimated the P&L and compute costs that the company anticipates until 2029. We then put OpenAI’s projections into perspective: how do their compute costs compare to our forecast for the industry overall, how does the mix between training and inference compare to our projection, etc.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tesla: Deep dive into Chinese competition - Existential threat?

Multiple media reports make it sound like Tesla is under threat in China, from local manufacturers. Is it true? In this note we assess the competitive landscape with an analysis of the cost structure of Tesla relative to peers and its market position by segment.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Tesla: We, Reboot.

We had the privilege to attend Tesla's "We, Robot" party last night at Warner Bros Studios. Please

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