Deutz is a leading non-captive engine manufacturer for a wide range of customer industries with a strong and very well-known brand. The company will enter a profitable growth period soon (CAGR 2023-26e sales 8%, EPS 18%). We initiate coverage with an Outperform rating and a target price of € 7.9, reflecting >40% upside from here. - ...
Deutz is a leading non-captive engine manufacturer for a wide range of customer industries with a strong and very well-known brand. The company will enter a profitable growth period soon (CAGR 2023-26e sales 8%, EPS 18%). We initiate coverage with an Outperform rating and a target price of € 7.9, reflecting >40% upside from here. - ...
>Q1 2024 org growth of +0.3% marginally below Css but in line with the guidance - Q1 2024 revenue stands at € 1 587m up 13.8% y-o-y, roughly in line with expectations (ODDO BHF: € 1 584m; css: € 1570m).Organic growth stands at +0.3%, -5.9pts below previous quarter (vs Q4 23 +6.2% org). This figure is -50bp below expectations (ODDO BHF: 0.9 %; Css: 0.8%), impacted by a slowdown in discretionary investments in technology, high comps (9.1% growth in Q1 2023) and an ...
>Q1 2024 org growth of +0.3% marginally below Css but in line with the guidance - Q1 2024 revenue stands at € 1 587m up 13.8% y/y, roughly in line with expectations (ODDO BHF: € 1 584m; css: € 1570m).Organic growth stands at +0.3%, -5.9pts below previous quarter (vs Q4 23 +6.2% org). This figure is -50bps below expectations (ODDO BHF: 0.9 %; Css: 0.8%), impacted by a slowdown in discretionary investments in technology, high comps (9.1% growth in Q1 2023) and an u...
>Good start of the year after a strong retail development - ADP reported Q1 2024 revenues ahead of both our estimates and the consensus: € 1,324m vs € 1,265m ODDO BHFe (i.e. 4.7% or € 59m above) and € 1,284m consensus estimate (i.e. 3.1% or € 40m above). The outperformance came from 1/ a strong increase in the retail spend per passenger, with Extime SPP reaching € 32.7 (+7.8% y-o-y), clearly ahead of the +3% we were expecting ; and 2/ a better-than-expected performan...
>Outperform recommendation reiterated, TP reduced to € 165 from € 170 - BESI’s share price fell 2% yesterday. While Q1 orders and Q2 guidance clearly indicated a slower-than-expected cyclical upturn, the group was reassuring about hybrid bonding momentum and seems to be in a good position to reach or even exceed the consensus forecast (€ 107m vs ODDO BHF estimate: € 121m which we maintain). Given the weaker-than-expected guidance for the Q2 rebound, we nevertheless cu...
>Q1 2024 results globally in line with expectations but above on FCF - This morning, ams OSRAM reported its Q1 2024 results which were globally in line with expectations. Revenues were € 847m, in line with the Visible Alpha consensus at € 845m. They were down 7% q-o-q and down 9% y-o-y but up 5% y-o-y on a like-for-like basis. The main drivers for this year-on-year increase are the automotive (+13% y-o-y) and consumer (+15% y-o-y) semiconductor businesses, whilst indu...
>Q1 2024 results globally in line with expectations but above on FCF - This morning, ams OSRAM reported its Q1 2024 results which were globally in line with expectations. Revenues were € 847m, in line with the Visible Alpha consensus at € 845m. They were down 7% q-o-q and down 9% y-o-y but up 5% y-o-y on a like-for-like basis. The main drivers for this year-on-year increase are the automotive (+13% y-o-y) and consumer (+15% y-o-y) semiconductor businesses, whilst indu...
>Lower than expected organic growth and EBITA. Disappointing FCF - Tietoevry reported its Q1 2024 results yesterday before market opening. Organic growth was -2.0% year-on-year (vs. ODDO BHF estimate of -0.2%), which represents a slowdown relative to 1% in Q4. Growth was impacted by a poor performance in 1/ Tech Services (organic growth of -7% vs. ODDO BHF estimate of -4.8%); 2/ Create (organic growth of -5% vs. ODDO BHF estimate of -0.7%), due to the ongoing weak eco...
>Neutral rating and target price of € 7.70 maintained - Following the publication of the Q1 revenues, we organised a virtual road show for European investors, excluding France. CFO Sylvine Bouan, Head of Marketing and Communications Loan Duong and Head of Investor Relations Armel Ahidazan were present. This discussion with investors essentially centred on a Q&A session. The group obviously confirmed its 2024 and 2027 trajectory but above all provided insights into inv...
>Q1 organic growth below expectations - Alten yesterday reported Q1 revenue of € 1,067m, with organic growth of 0.8%, below expectations (ODDO BHF: 3.1% organic; consensus: 2.3% organic; Q4: 5.8% organic). The performance was again driven by France, which posted organic growth of 6.0% (ODDO BHF: 8.0% organic), albeit at a much slower pace than in Q4 (11.3% organic). The performance was driven by the Aero, Defence, Automotive and Energy sectors, while Retail and Bank,...
>Opinion Neutre et OC 7.70 € maintenus - Dans la foulée de la publication du chiffre d’affaires du premier trimestre, nous avons organisé un roadshow virtuel à destination des investisseurs européens, hors France. La directrice financière, Sylvine Bouan, la responsable du marketing et de la communication, Loan Duong et le responsable des relations investisseurs Armel Ahidazan étaient présents. Cet échange avec les investisseurs a essentiellement été centré sur une séa...
>Only slight growth in Q1 sales – disappointment in the US - Manitou has reported Q1 2024 sales up 3% to € 685m, below our forecast for € 750m and a sharp slowdown relative to 2023 (+22%). Europe and Asia-Pacific were in the green (+6% for the two regions – European markets more dynamic than expected by management), whereas the Americas were in decline (-9% - North American market affected by increasing customer wait-and-see attitudes and a very gradual ramp-up...
>Q1 2024 sales 1.2% above css thanks to volume recovery in Equipment and services across the board - Q1 2024 sales came out 1.2% above consensus expectations at € 6,220m (ODDO BHF: € 6,080m, company compiled css: € 6,145m), showing a 19.1% l-f-l increase. In details:Propulsion sales were up 15.4% l-f-l to € 3,097m thanks to a solid civil aftermarket growth of 27.3% (vs 24% expected) driven by stronger-than-expected growth in LTSA (CFM56 and Leap) as well as incre...
>A slow start to the year… - With adjusted EBIT at € 577m (-26.9% y-o-y and margin -160bp), Q1 came out well below expectations (ODDO BHF € 715m, consensus € 789m) across all divisions. The gap between our forecasts and the actual figures was mainly attributable to i/ a more successful employee share ownership plan (ESOP), costing € 0.1bn more than in Q1 2023, ii/ an even bigger hiring effect than expected, with 12,400 additions at group level (operating effect of c10...
>Q1 in line despite weakness in EVs, H1 expected to be weaker than H2 - Valeo yesterday evening reported Q1 2024 sales of € 5,427m, down 1% as reported (+2% on an organic basis), in line with expectations (€ 5,410m). In the original equipment segment, the outperformance was only 2 points (vs c.4 points for Forvia and OPM), mainly due to the weakness of the High Voltage Electrification business (sales halved). Other than that, the full-year guidance has been confirmed,...
>Q1 2024 sales 1.2% above css thanks to volume recovery in Equipment and services across the board - Q1 2024 sales came out 1.2% above consensus expectations at € 6,220m (ODDO BHF: € 6,080m, company compiled css: € 6,145m), showing a 19.1% l-f-l increase. In details:Propulsion sales were up 15.4% l-f-l to € 3,097m thanks to a solid civil aftermarket growth of 27.3% (vs 24% expected) driven by stronger-than-expected growth in LTSA (CFM56 and Leap) as well as incre...
>Medidata took a toll on Q1 results - DSY had warned of a soft start to 2024, with Q1 guidance reflecting growth of 7-9% in software revenues. This was not out of excessive caution: software growth in Q1 came to +7% at cc, at the bottom end of the guidance range and 1pt below expectations because of the weakness of recurring revenues (+7% at cc vs guidance of 9-10% at cc), mainly since: i/ Medidata was down 3%, at the bottom end of management’s initial guidance range ...
>Opinion Surperformance réitérée, OC abaissé à 165 € vs 170 € - Le titre BESI était en baisse de 2% hier. Si les commandes T1 et la guidance T2 indiquent clairement une reprise cyclique plus lente que prévu, le groupe a rassuré sur sa dynamique dans l’hybrid bonding et semble en bonne position pour atteindre, voire dépasser les attentes du consensus (107 M€ vs notre estimation à 121 M€ que nous maintenons). Compte tenu d’une reprise plus faible qu’attendu au T2, nous ...
>Croissance org. et EBITA, inférieurs aux attentes. FCF décevant - TietoEVRY a publié hier avant Bourse ses résultats T1 2024. La croissance org. ressort à -2.0% y/y(vs ODDO BHF :-0.2% org), en décélération par rapport au T4 (1% org.). La croissance a été impactée par une faible performance sur les segments 1/ Tech Services (-7% org. vs ODDO BHF : -4.8% org.); 2/ Create (-5% org. vs ODDO BHF : -0.7% org.), en raison de la faiblesse persistante de l'environnement écon...
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