reports
- Nicolas David
Sopra Steria Group : Q1 sales roughly in line and FY guidance reiterat...
>Q1 2024 org growth of +0.3% marginally below Css but in line with the guidance - Q1 2024 revenue stands at € 1 587m up 13.8% y-o-y, roughly in line with expectations (ODDO BHF: € 1 584m; css: € 1570m).Organic growth stands at +0.3%, -5.9pts below previous quarter (vs Q4 23 +6.2% org). This figure is -50bp below expectations (ODDO BHF: 0.9 %; Css: 0.8%), impacted by a slowdown in discretionary investments in technology, high comps (9.1% growth in Q1 2023) and an ...
- Nicolas David
Sopra Steria Group : Q1 sales roughly in line and FY guidance reiterat...
>Q1 2024 org growth of +0.3% marginally below Css but in line with the guidance - Q1 2024 revenue stands at € 1 587m up 13.8% y/y, roughly in line with expectations (ODDO BHF: € 1 584m; css: € 1570m).Organic growth stands at +0.3%, -5.9pts below previous quarter (vs Q4 23 +6.2% org). This figure is -50bps below expectations (ODDO BHF: 0.9 %; Css: 0.8%), impacted by a slowdown in discretionary investments in technology, high comps (9.1% growth in Q1 2023) and an u...
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
BE Semiconductor Industries : Slower-than-expected upturn, acceleratio...
>Outperform recommendation reiterated, TP reduced to € 165 from € 170 - BESI’s share price fell 2% yesterday. While Q1 orders and Q2 guidance clearly indicated a slower-than-expected cyclical upturn, the group was reassuring about hybrid bonding momentum and seems to be in a good position to reach or even exceed the consensus forecast (€ 107m vs ODDO BHF estimate: € 121m which we maintain). Given the weaker-than-expected guidance for the Q2 rebound, we nevertheless cu...
- Jeremy Garnier
STEF : Resilient start to the year in an ongoing challenging climate
>Q1 sales of € 1,139m (vs. estimate of € 1,150.1m), up 5.7% or +0.7% lfl - STEF yesterday reported Q1 sales of € 1,139m, up 5.7% or +0.7% like-for-like, close to our estimate of 6.7% growth to € 1,150.1m, reflecting strong resilience despite the slowdown in consumer spending on food in France.Solid momentum supported by international operations - Sales in France (approx. 60% of Q1 sales) remained more or less stable at € 576.7m (vs. estimate of € 585m...
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
ams OSRAM : Q1 2024 results in line, Q2 guidance below expectations, i...
>Q1 2024 results globally in line with expectations but above on FCF - This morning, ams OSRAM reported its Q1 2024 results which were globally in line with expectations. Revenues were € 847m, in line with the Visible Alpha consensus at € 845m. They were down 7% q-o-q and down 9% y-o-y but up 5% y-o-y on a like-for-like basis. The main drivers for this year-on-year increase are the automotive (+13% y-o-y) and consumer (+15% y-o-y) semiconductor businesses, whilst indu...
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
ams OSRAM : Q1 2024 results in line, Q2 guidance below expectations, i...
>Q1 2024 results globally in line with expectations but above on FCF - This morning, ams OSRAM reported its Q1 2024 results which were globally in line with expectations. Revenues were € 847m, in line with the Visible Alpha consensus at € 845m. They were down 7% q-o-q and down 9% y-o-y but up 5% y-o-y on a like-for-like basis. The main drivers for this year-on-year increase are the automotive (+13% y-o-y) and consumer (+15% y-o-y) semiconductor businesses, whilst indu...
- Nicolas David
TietoEVRY : Lower than expected Q1 2024 results but full-year guidance...
>Lower than expected organic growth and EBITA. Disappointing FCF - Tietoevry reported its Q1 2024 results yesterday before market opening. Organic growth was -2.0% year-on-year (vs. ODDO BHF estimate of -0.2%), which represents a slowdown relative to 1% in Q4. Growth was impacted by a poor performance in 1/ Tech Services (organic growth of -7% vs. ODDO BHF estimate of -4.8%); 2/ Create (organic growth of -5% vs. ODDO BHF estimate of -0.7%), due to the ongoing weak eco...
- Jeremy Garnier
Clasquin : Q1 slightly above our expectations
>Q1 gross margin of € 34.7m (vs € 33m est) up 15.4% (2% l-f-l) - Clasquin published its Q1 gross margin yesterday evening which was up 15.4% to € 34.7m, slightly above our expectation of € 33m. Excluding the scope effect linked to Timar, organic growth stood at 2%. Still a great outperformance from the group - In Q1 the momentum was finally good for freight rates with by segment: 1/ the sea freight market which was strongly disrupted by the events oc...
- Jeremy Garnier
Roche Bobois : Q1 down sharply but 2024 outlook confirmed
>Q1 2024 sales down 9.4% to € 94.2m (vs € 104m est.) - Roche Bobois published yesterday evening its Q1 2024 sales, which came in slightly below our expectations at € 94.2m (vs. € 100m est.), down 9.4% (-9.5% cc). Slowdown across regions in Q1, upturn expected in H2 - Given the very high rate of deliveries in Q4 2023 and a slowdown in order intake at the end of the year, the group's business logically slowed down in Q1 2024 in all regions: France (-9...
- Nicolas David
Alten : Q1 2024 revenue below expectations. Less optimistic outlook fo...
>Q1 organic growth below expectations - Alten yesterday reported Q1 revenue of € 1,067m, with organic growth of 0.8%, below expectations (ODDO BHF: 3.1% organic; consensus: 2.3% organic; Q4: 5.8% organic). The performance was again driven by France, which posted organic growth of 6.0% (ODDO BHF: 8.0% organic), albeit at a much slower pace than in Q4 (11.3% organic). The performance was driven by the Aero, Defence, Automotive and Energy sectors, while Retail and Bank,...
- Jeremy Garnier
Showroomprive : Q1 in line with forecasts, 2024 will be a transition y...
>Q1 sales down 1.9% to € 152.6m (vs € 153m est.) - SRP group reported yesterday evening Q1 sales in line with our forecast at € 152.6m (vs € 153m est.), down 1.9% (vs -2%e), including an organic decline of -3% (another small scope effect linked to The Bradery). Disparities between segments – Strong momentum internationally and at The Bradery - Sales fell slightly in Q1, hit by a more demanding comparison base and a still challenging macroeconomic envi...
- Jeremy Garnier
Clasquin : T1 2024 légèrement supérieur à notre attente
>Marge brute T1 de 34.7 M€ (vs 33 M€e) en croissance de 15.4% (2% lfl) - Clasquin a publié hier soir sa marge brute T1 qui ressort en croissance de 15.4% à 34.7 M€ soit légèrement supérieure à notre attente de 33 M€. Hors effet périmètre lié à Timar la croissance organique ressort à 2%. Toujours une belle surperformance du groupe - Au T1 la dynamique a finalement été bonne pour les taux de fret avec par segment : 1/ le marché du fret maritime qui a é...
- Jeremy Garnier
Roche Bobois : T1 en baisse conséquente mais perspectives 2024 confirm...
>CA T1 en baisse de 9.4% à 94.2 M€ (vs 104 M€e) - Roche Bobois a publié hier soir son CA T1 qui ressort légèrement inférieur à notre attente à 94.2 M€ (vs 100 M€e) soit une baisse de 9.4% (-9.5% à taux de change constant). Un ralentissement sur toutes les zones au T1 - Rebond attendu au S2 - Compte tenu d’un rythme de livraisons très élevé au T4 2023 et d’un ralentissement des prises de commandes en fin d’année, l’activité du groupe a logiquement m...
- Nicolas David
Dassault Systemes : The de-rating seems excessive and H2 is promising
>Medidata took a toll on Q1 results - DSY had warned of a soft start to 2024, with Q1 guidance reflecting growth of 7-9% in software revenues. This was not out of excessive caution: software growth in Q1 came to +7% at cc, at the bottom end of the guidance range and 1pt below expectations because of the weakness of recurring revenues (+7% at cc vs guidance of 9-10% at cc), mainly since: i/ Medidata was down 3%, at the bottom end of management’s initial guidance range ...
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
BE Semiconductor Industries : Reprise plus lente que prévu, accélérati...
>Opinion Surperformance réitérée, OC abaissé à 165 € vs 170 € - Le titre BESI était en baisse de 2% hier. Si les commandes T1 et la guidance T2 indiquent clairement une reprise cyclique plus lente que prévu, le groupe a rassuré sur sa dynamique dans l’hybrid bonding et semble en bonne position pour atteindre, voire dépasser les attentes du consensus (107 M€ vs notre estimation à 121 M€ que nous maintenons). Compte tenu d’une reprise plus faible qu’attendu au T2, nous ...
- Jerôme Bodin
WPP : Le T2 devrait être en amélioration séquentielle mais pas d’accél...
>Une valorisation basse mais pas d’amélioration du momentum - WPP a publié son revenu net pour le T1 avec une décroissance organique de 1,6% en ligne avec les indications du groupe et les attentes. Le groupe a confirmé que le T1 serait le point bas et que le T2 devrait afficher une amélioration séquentielle. Nos attentes sont légèrement revues en baisse sous l’effet de l’évolution des changes alors que nos attentes organiques sont inchangées. Nous réitérons notre opi...
- Jerôme Bodin
WPP : Q2 should show a sequential improvement but no acceleration in m...
>A low valuation but no improvement in momentum - WPP has reported Q1 revenue with an organic decline of 1.6% in line with the group’s indications and forecasts. The group confirmed that Q1 should mark the low point with a sequential improvement in Q2. We have made a slight downward adjustment to our forecasts due to forex trends, although our organic estimates are unchanged. We reiterate our Neutral recommendation with a new target price of 950p (vs 990p) given the ...
- Jeremy Garnier
STEF : Un début d’année résilient face à un contexte toujours challeng...
>CA T1 de 1139 M€ (vs 1150.1 M€e) en hausse de 5.7% (+0.7% lfl) - STEF a publié hier son CA T1 qui est ressorti à 1 139 M€ en hausse de 5.7% (+0.7% lfl) proche de notre attente de 1150.1 M€e (+6.7%e) reflétant une bonne résilience de l’activité face à un ralentissement de la consommation alimentaire en France.Une dynamique solide soutenue par le déploiement à l’international - La France (~60% du CA T1) enregistre un CA quasiment stable à 576.7 M€ (vs ...
- Nicolas David
TietoEVRY : Résultats T1 2024 inférieurs aux attentes mais guidance an...
>Croissance org. et EBITA, inférieurs aux attentes. FCF décevant - TietoEVRY a publié hier avant Bourse ses résultats T1 2024. La croissance org. ressort à -2.0% y/y(vs ODDO BHF :-0.2% org), en décélération par rapport au T4 (1% org.). La croissance a été impactée par une faible performance sur les segments 1/ Tech Services (-7% org. vs ODDO BHF : -4.8% org.); 2/ Create (-5% org. vs ODDO BHF : -0.7% org.), en raison de la faiblesse persistante de l'environnement écon...
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
STMicroelectronics N.V. : Significant reset in expectations, with a lo...
>We lower our estimates by 33% to take into account the new scenario for 2024 and cut our target price to € 48 (vs € 50), but remain at Outperform - Following the publication of lower-than-expected Q1 2024 results, Q2 guidance that was also lower than expected and a drastic downward revision to the 2024 guidance, we cut our estimates by an average of 33%, and lower our target price (average of a DCF and SOP) to € 48 (vs € 50). The reset is significant and Q2 2024 shou...
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