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Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Holdings (700 HK): 4Q25 Results Preview: Intact Online Games A...

We expect Tencent’s revenue growth to remain solid at 13% yoy in 4Q25 despite macro headwinds and the ad-spend tax, continuing to benefit from inventory release and AI empowerment. We opine that near- to mid-term catalysts would include: a) multiple flagship new game launches in 2026, b) continued improvement in ad placement efficiency driven by AI, and c) the launch of AI-powered Mini Program code development tools on WeChat. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$800.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+10)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Thursday, January 22, 2026

Top Stories Sector Update | Healthcare At the recent investor conference, global investors viewed Chinese healthcare companies with increasing interest and optimism. Impressed by their advanced R&D pipelines and swift R&D-to-market execution capabilities, investors recognised Chinese companies’ potential for innovation and growth, particularly as they presented an array of cutting-edge products ready for global markets. This positive perception reflects a growing confidence in China's healthcar...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+14)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, January 22, 2026

Greater China Sector Update | Healthcare At the recent investor conference, global investors viewed Chinese healthcare companies with increasing interest and optimism. Impressed by their advanced R&D pipelines and swift R&D-to-market execution capabilities, investors recognised Chinese companies’ potential for innovation and growth, particularly as they presented an array of cutting-edge products ready for global markets. This positive perception reflects a growing confidence in China's healthca...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

JD.com (9618 HK): 4Q25 Results Preview: Lacklustre Top-line Growth; 1Q...

JD has guided for sluggish low single-digit top-line growth in 4Q25, moderating significantly from 3Q25’s revenue growth of 15% yoy, due to the high-base effect last year as a result of national subsidies. However, 4Q25’s revenue growth performance is likely to mark a cyclical trough, particularly for the JDR segment. We are optimistic about 1Q26 due to the resumption of national subsidies and strong seasonality during the Spring Festival. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$155.00 (US$...

Claire Wang Kelai ... (+5)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Thursday, January 15, 2026

Top Stories Economics | Trade Export growth accelerated to 6.6% yoy in December (+0.7ppt mom), well above consensus, supported by strong shipments growth to Hong Kong and ASEAN, while export growth to the US weakened further. Import growth surged to 5.7% yoy (+3.8ppt mom), beating expectations amid a broad-based commodity recovery. Trade surplus widened to US$114.1b. Growths of motor vehicle, hi-tech, and mechanical & electrical exports strengthened. Overall, December’s trade data is market pos...

Andrew Agita Buntoro ... (+13)
  • Andrew Agita Buntoro
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kai Jie Tang
  • Lester Siew
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, January 15, 2026

Greater China Economics | Trade Exports growth accelerated to 6.6% yoy in December (+0.7ppt mom), well above consensus, supported by strong shipments growth to Hong Kong and ASEAN, while exports growth to the US weakened further. Import growth surged to 5.7% yoy (+3.8ppt mom), beating expectations amid broad-based commodity recovery. Trade surplus widened to US$114.1b. Growths of motor vehicle, hi-tech, and mechanical & electrical exports strengthened. Overall, December’s trade data is marke...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 3QFY26 Results Preview: Lukewarm CMR Growth; ...

We expect Alibaba to report lacklustre 3QFY26 results but expect a gradual margin recovery on softer investment in instant delivery competition. We are cautiously optimistic on Alibaba’s core commerce business due to the high base last year and ongoing competition. Nevertheless, we are sanguine on its cloud strategy, which will position the company well to become a technology platform centred on AI + Cloud with long-term strategic value and growth flywheel. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target ...

Damon Shen ... (+5)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, January 13, 2026

Top Stories Sector Update | China Property Demand remained under pressure in Jan 26, with both new-home sales and secondary-home transactions continuing to post sharp yoy declines. Land market activity weakened notably towards the end of 2025, while capital and demand were further concentrated in a small number of strong Tier 1-2 cities, underscoring persistent divergence across regions amid still-soft market sentiment. We remain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s property sector, and expect high policy vo...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+12)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, January 13, 2026

Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand remained under pressure in Jan 26, with both new-home sales and secondary-home transactions continuing to post sharp yoy declines. Land market activity weakened notably toward the end of 2025, while capital and demand were further concentrated in a small number of strong Tier 1-2 cities, underscoring persistent divergence across regions amid still-soft market sentiment. We remain UNDERWEIGHT on China’s property sector, and expect high polic...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: Strong AI-driven IPO Wave Set To Unfold In 2026.

We reckon that the AI wave is driven by key themes including: a) recurring AI LLM/applications and cloud revenue growth, and b) a wider deployment of proprietary and data driven AI agents by vertical players to strengthen competitive moats. Amid an uncertain competitive backdrop, we opine that cloud hyper-scalers are key beneficiaries underpinned by their ecosystem scale and technological capabilities, underscoring growing investor confidence in the AI-driven sector’s re-rating. Maintain OVERWEI...

Claire Wang Kelai ... (+8)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Monday, January 12, 2026

Top Stories Economics | Inflation December CPI inflation rose to 0.8% yoy (+0.1ppt mom), the strongest reading ytd, with a sharp rebound in food prices. Core CPI remained at 1.2% yoy, the highest level for 2025, with goods inflation strengthening further while services inflation continued to ease slightly. PPI deflation moderated to 1.9% yoy (+0.3ppt mom), supported by improvements in mining and consumer goods pricing. Overall, the data suggests tentative price stabilisation, although deflation...

Audrey Celia ... (+16)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kai Jie Tang
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, January 12, 2026

Greater China Economics | Inflation December CPI inflation rose to 0.8% yoy (+0.1ppt mom), the strongest reading ytd, with a sharp rebound in food prices. Core CPI remained at 1.2% yoy, the highest level for 2025, with goods inflation strengthening further while services inflation continued to ease slightly. PPI deflation moderated to 1.9% yoy (+0.3ppt mom), supported by improvements in mining and consumer goods pricing. Overall, the data suggests tentative price stabilisation, although defl...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Baidu Inc (9888 HK): HK Listing Of Kunlunxin To Unlock Value Of Baidu ...

We are optimistic on Baidu as the Kunlunxin spin-off could help unlock financial value for Baidu and strengthen its AI ecosystem. Baidu announced that on 1 Jan 26, Kunlunxin applied for a listing on the HK Stock Exchange. Following the spin-off, Kunlunxin will remain a consolidated subsidiary, with Baidu retaining a controlling 59% stake. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$185.00).

Claire Wang Kelai ... (+5)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Top Stories Company Update | Baidu (9888 HK/BUY/HK$146.60/Target: HK$166.00) We are optimistic on Baidu as the Kunlunxin spin-off could help unlock financial value for Baidu and strengthen its AI ecosystem. Baidu announced that on 1 Jan 26, Kunlunxin applied for a listing on the HK Stock Exchange. Following the spin-off, Kunlunxin will remain a consolidated subsidiary, with Baidu retaining a controlling 59% stake. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$185.00). Company Update...

Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+14)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Ming San Soong
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Willinoy Sitorus
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, January 07, 2026

Greater China Company Update | Baidu (9888 HK/BUY/HK$146.60/Target: HK$166.00) We are optimistic on Baidu as the Kunlunxin spin-off could help unlock financial value for Baidu and strengthen its AI ecosystem. Baidu announced that on 1 Jan 26, Kunlunxin applied for a listing on the HK Stock Exchange. Following the spin-off, Kunlunxin will remain a consolidated subsidiary, with Baidu retaining a controlling 59% stake. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$166.00 (US$185.00). Company ...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK): Launch Of Kling AI’s Unified Multimodal...

We had a follow-up call with Kuaishou after it launched its first unified multimodal video model and provided several updates on complementary models, spanning audio generation, virtual avatars, and intelligent creation tools. We anticipate a higherthan- expected revenue contribution from Kling AI in 2026, as it continues to focus on user volume growth over profitability. We believe the company’s strong monetisation progress will create a moat against the competitive environment. Maintain BUY wi...

Claire Wang Kelai ... (+7)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Tuesday, December 9, 2025

Top Stories Economics | Trade Exports growth rebounded to 5.9% yoy in November, beating consensus estimates, driven by a recovery in EU and Japan shipments, although exports to the US weakened further. Imports rose 1.9% yoy, below consensus expectations, amid mixed commodity performances. The trade surplus widened to US$111.7b. Exports of motor vehicle, hi-tech and mechanical & electrical goods improved, while integrated circuit imports strengthened. Overall, trade data showed resilience via di...

Claire Wang Kelai ... (+12)
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kai Jie Tang
  • Ming San Soong
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, December 9, 2025

Greater China Economics | Trade Exports growth rebounded to 5.9% yoy in November, beating consensus estimates, driven by a recovery in EU and Japan shipments, although exports to the US weakened further. Imports rose 1.9% yoy, below consensus expectations, amid mixed commodity performances. The trade surplus widened to US$111.7b. Exports of motor vehicle, hi-tech and mechanical & electrical goods improved, while integrated circuit imports strengthened. Overall, trade data showed resilience via d...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

HERE Group (HERE US): 1QFY26: Encouraging FY26 Outlook; Pure Pop Toy B...

HERE’s 1QFY26 revenue came in at Rmb127m, up 93% qoq and beating our estimate of Rmb110m by 16%. 1QFY26 gross margin expanded 6.6ppt qoq to 41.2% while non-GAAP net loss expanded 6% yoy to Rmb18m due to a short-term restructuring impact. HERE expects 2QFY26 revenue to reach a lukewarm Rmb150m-160m, but maintains its FY26 revenue guidance at a robust Rmb750m-800m, with solid earnings visibility expected for the coming quarters. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of US$11.00.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

China Internet: 3Q25 Results Recap: Strong AI Cloud Top-line Growth; L...

China’s internet companies reported resilient 3Q25 top-line growth and continuous margin improvement in the online gaming and OTA sectors, empowered by improved AI efficiency and benign competition. Margin pressure in e-commerce due to the intense on-demand delivery competition is likely to ease in 4Q25, but could persist into 2026 given the continuous investment and tough comparison base boosted by the trade-in programme in 2025. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: Alibaba, Tencent, TCOM, TME, Ne...

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