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Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK): 3Q25: Solid Results Amid Strong Se...

TT reported intact 3Q25 results, with revenue growing 10.4% yoy to Rmb5.5b, in line with consensus estimate. Adjusted net profit rose 16.5% yoy to Rmb1,060m, 2% above our and consensus estimates and above its previous guidance of Rmb1.00b-1.05b. Non-IFRS net margin inched up 1ppt yoy to 19.2% in 3Q25. 4Q25 revenue is guided to grow 10-15% yoy, while adjusted net profit is guided at Rmb720m-770m for 4Q25, 2-3% below consensus. Maintain BUY with a slightly lower target price of HK$28.00.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Alibaba Group (9988 HK): 2QFY26: Solid CMR And Accelerating Cloud Reve...

Alibaba reported solid 2QFY26 results. Revenue grew 5% yoy to Rmb247.8b (15% like-for-like basis), in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb10.4b, down 72% yoy, missing our forecast, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In 3QFY26, management expects: a) significant narrowing of quick commerce losses, b) moderated CMR growth due to the high base last year, and c) continued strong cloud revenue growth. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$206.00 (US$206....

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+5)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Top Stories Company Results | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$157.80/Target: HK$206.00) Alibaba reported solid 2QFY26 results. Revenue grew 5% yoy to Rmb247.8b (15% like-for-like basis), in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb10.4b, down 72% yoy, missing our forecast, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In 3QFY26, management expects: a) significant narrowing of quick commerce losses, b) moderated CMR growth due to the high base last year, and c) continued str...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+13)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Audrey Celia
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Greater China Company Results | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$157.80/Target: HK$206.00) Alibaba reported solid 2QFY26 results. Revenue grew 5% yoy to Rmb247.8b (15% like-for-like basis), in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb10.4b, down 72% yoy, missing our forecast, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In 3QFY26, management expects: a) significant narrowing of quick commerce losses, b) moderated CMR growth due to the high base last year, and c) continued st...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

NetEase (9999 HK): 3Q25: Earnings In Line; Encouraging Deferred Revenu...

NetEase’s 3Q25 results were largely within expectations. Revenue grew 8.2% yoy to Rmb28.4b, 3% below consensus forecast. Gross profit jumped 10.3% yoy to Rmb18.2b, with gross margin rising 1ppt yoy to 64%. Non-GAAP operating profit increased 10% yoy to Rmb8.9b. Non-GAAP net profit rose 26.7% yoy to Rmb9.5b, in line with consensus estimate. Net margin expanded 5ppt yoy to 34% in 3Q25. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$276.00 (US$170.00).

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+15)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Joyce Chu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Friday, November 21, 2025

Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile The phasing out of subsidies has hammered auto sales. PV sales fell 14% yoy, and PEV sales edged up 1-2% yoy during 1-16 Nov 25. Subsidies are likely to continue into 2026 at reduced levels. We expect PV and EV sales to grow 4.9% and over 20%, driven by exports. Tighter regulatory oversight amid rising safety concerns should benefit OEMs such as Geely and Great Wall. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Company Res...

Audrey Celia ... (+22)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Joyce Chu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, November 21, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The phasing out of subsidies has hammered auto sales. PV sales fell 14% yoy, and PEV sales edged up 1-2% yoy during 1-16 Nov 25. Subsidies are likely to continue into 2026 at reduced levels. We expect PV and EV sales to grow 4.9% and over 20%, driven by exports. Tighter regulatory oversight amid rising safety concerns should benefit OEMs such as Geely and Great Wall. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Company Re...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK): 3Q25: Intact Top-line And Earnings Grow...

3Q25 results are in line with expectations. Revenue increased 14% yoy to Rmb35.6b, within consensus estimate. Gross profit margin remained flattish yoy at 55%. Non-IFRS net profit grew 26% yoy to Rmb5b, 3% above consensus forecast. Management guided a 4Q25 revenue growth of 10% while earnings are estimated to jump 15% yoy to Rmb5.4b, both in line with consensus estimates. Maintain BUY with a slightly lower target price of HK$88.00.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK): 3Q25: Results Miss On Lacklustre Online Games...

Kingsoft’s 3Q25 results missed expectations. Revenue dropped 17% yoy to Rmb2.4b, 6% below consensus estimate. Gross margin shrank 4ppt yoy to 80.4%, in line with consensus expectation. Operating profit plunged 76% yoy to Rmb277m, while operating margin fell 28ppt yoy to 11%, dampened by subdued revenue growth. Net profit declined 49% yoy to Rmb213m, with net margin shrinking 5ppt yoy to 8.8%. Maintain BUY with a slightly lower target price of HK$44.00.

Greater China Research Team ... (+3)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Thursday, November 20, 2025

Top Stories Company Results | Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK/BUY/HK$30.72/Target: HK$44.00) Kingsoft’s 3Q25 results missed expectations. Revenue dropped 17% yoy to Rmb2.4b, 6% below consensus estimate. Gross margin shrank 4ppt yoy to 80.4%, in line with consensus expectation. Operating profit plunged 76% yoy to Rmb277m, while operating margin fell 28ppt yoy to 11%, dampened by subdued revenue growth. Net profit declined 49% yoy to Rmb213m, with net margin shrinking 5ppt yoy to 8.8%. Maintain BUY with a...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+10)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Audrey Celia
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, November 20, 2025

Greater China Company Results | Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK/BUY/HK$30.72/Target: HK$44.00) Kingsoft’s 3Q25 results missed expectations. Revenue dropped 17% yoy to Rmb2.4b, 6% below consensus estimate. Gross margin shrank 4ppt yoy to 80.4%, in line with consensus expectation. Operating profit plunged 76% yoy to Rmb277m, while operating margin fell 28ppt yoy to 11%, dampened by subdued revenue growth. Net profit declined 49% yoy to Rmb213m, with net margin shrinking 5ppt yoy to 8.8%. Maintain BUY w...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Trip.com (9961 HK): 3Q25: Solid Results; International Travel Continue...

3Q25 earnings beat expectations. 3Q25 net revenue rose 15.5% yoy to Rmb18.4b, in line with consensus estimates. Non- GAAP net profit came in at Rmb19.2b in 3Q25. After stripping out the non-recurring item of a Rmb17b investment gain from MakeMyTrip, non-GAAP net profit grew 8% yoy to Rmb5.9b, beating the street’s estimates by 4%. TCOM guided for 4Q25 revenue growth of 15-20% yoy to Rmb16.7b, in line with consensus estimates. Maintain BUY with a slightly higher target price of HK$727.00 (US$94.00...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

PDD Holdings (PDD US): 3Q25: Earnings Beat Expectations; Recovering Co...

PDD’s 3Q25 earnings exceeded expectations. Revenue increased 9% yoy to Rmb108b, in line with consensus estimate. Non-GAAP net profit grew 14% yoy to Rmb31.4b, beating consensus forecast. Non-GAAP net margin expanded 1ppt to 29%. Looking ahead, PDD expects its top-line growth and profitability to continue fluctuating due to its merchant support strategy. Maintain BUY with a target price of US$156.00.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Baidu Inc (9888 HK): 3Q25: Earnings Beat Expectations; Subdued Top-lin...

Baidu’s 3Q25 earnings missed our expectations. Revenue dropped 7% yoy to Rmb31.2b, in line with consensus estimate. Gross margin dropped 10ppt yoy to 41.2%, below consensus expectation. Non-GAAP operating profit was Rmb2.2b, plunging 69% yoy, while non-GAAP operating profit margin came in at 7%. Non-GAAP net profit slumped 36% yoy to Rmb3.8b, beating consensus forecast. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$151.00 (US$167.00).

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+10)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Joyce Chu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, November 19, 2025

Top Stories Initiate Coverage | Pony AI Inc (PONY US/BUY/US$12.18/Target: US$26.10) Pony AI is a global leader in autonomous mobility, leveraging its virtual driver technology to enable the mass production and deployment of autonomous vehicles across diverse regions. We expect revenue to grow at a three-year CAGR of 65% from 2024-27, net loss to narrow, and bottom line to turn around in 2028, driven by large-scale commercialisation. Initiate coverage with BUY and a target price of US$26.10 for ...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+17)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Joyce Chu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Ming San Soong
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, November 19, 2025

Greater China Initiate Coverage | Pony AI Inc (PONY US/BUY/US$12.18/Target: US$26.10) Pony AI is a global leader in autonomous mobility, leveraging its virtual driver technology to enable the mass production and deployment of autonomous vehicles across diverse regions. We expect revenue to grow at a three-year CAGR of 65% from 2024-27, net loss to narrow, and bottom line to turn around in 2028, driven by large-scale commercialisation. Initiate coverage with BUY and a target price of US$26.10...

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

Tencent Holdings (700 HK): 3Q25: Solid Earnings Beat; Robust Overseas ...

Tencent’s 3Q25 earnings came in better than expected. Revenue grew 15.4% yoy to Rmb192.9b, 2-3% ahead of our and consensus estimates. Gross margin expanded 3.3ppt yoy to 56.4%, in line with consensus forecasts. Non-IFRS operating profit grew 18.4% yoy to Rmb72.6b, while non-IFRS operating margin expanded 1ppt yoy to 37.6% on a positive shift in revenue mix. Non-IFRS diluted EPS ramped up 19.5% yoy, 6.5% higher than consensus estimates. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$800.00.

Julia Pan Mengyao ... (+2)
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong

JD.com (9618 HK): 3Q25: Solid Revenue Growth; Investment In FD To Ease...

JD’s 3Q25 results came in above expectations. Revenue increased 15% yoy to Rmb299.1b, 2-3% above our and consensus estimates. in line with its previously guided double-digit growth. Non-GAAP operating profit slumped 98% yoy to Rmb211m, translating to a non-GAAP operating margin of 0.07%. Non-GAAP net profit fell 56% yoy to Rmb5.8b. Adjusted net margin shrank 3ppt yoy to 2%. Maintain BUY with a target price of HK$166.00 (US$46.00).

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+25)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kai Jie Tang
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, November 14, 2025

Greater China Economics | Money Supply M1 growth fell to 6.2% yoy in October, short of expectations, while M2 growth eased to 8.2% yoy. New bank loans dropped sharply to Rmb0.22t, and new TSF fell to Rmb0.81t, both below forecasts. Outstanding TSF and bank loan growth moderated to 8.5% (-0.2ppt mom) and 6.5% yoy (-0.1ppt mom) respectively, with the decline led by household loans. The numbers are not encouraging. Sector Update | Automobile China’s PV retail sales basically remained flat yoy in O...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+11)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon

Greater China Daily: Friday, November 14, 2025

Top Stories Economics | Money Supply M1 growth fell to 6.2% yoy in October, short of expectations, while M2 growth eased to 8.2% yoy. New bank loans dropped sharply to Rmb0.22t, and new TSF fell to Rmb0.81t, both below forecasts. Outstanding TSF and bank loan growth moderated to 8.5% (-0.2ppt mom) and 6.5% yoy (-0.1ppt mom) respectively, with the decline led by household loans. The numbers are not encouraging. Sector Update | Automobile China’s PV retail sales basically remained flat yoy in Oc...

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