KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Industrial Automation We continue to see rapid developments in China’s humanoid robot space, with supply chain players and key developers turning increasingly optimistic about the industry’s outlook. Comments indicate that technology development will take 2-3 years before full replacement of workers is feasible. Nevertheless, shipments will ramp up rapidly in the coming years, with cost reduction likely exceeding previous expectations. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Internet Ma...
GREATER CHINA Sector Industrial Automation: Development of humanoid robots continues to accelerate, but broader market lukewarm. Internet: JD’s new initiative in on-demand delivery is reshaping FD market dynamics. INDONESIA Update Bank Syariah Indonesia (BRIS IJ/BUY/Rp2,620/Target: Rp3,450): Danantara plans to acquire BRIS. MALAYSIA Results VS Industry (VSI MK/BUY/RM0.775/Target: RM0.92): 3QFY25: Within house but below consensus expectations; expect a stronger 4QFY25. Update Kossan Rubber (KRI...
Broader Tax Base, Minimal Public Burden The Ministry of Finance has announced that Malaysia’s expanded Sales and Service Tax (SST) will come into effect on 1 July 2025, as part of the broader Budget 2025 fiscal reform agenda. The initiative aims to broaden the country’s tax base and enhance government revenue, while ensuring minimal impact on the general public.
Volume Growth Intact; No Catalysts In Sight As Tariff Hike Is Priced In Signs of transshipment recovery can be observed in WPRTS’ 4M25 container volume data. By anticipating a resurgence in trade during the 90-day tariff cooldown, WPRTS can meet its unchanged volume growth guidance. Aside from the conclusion of the MSC-Huchitson deal, we do not foresee other catalysts, and think that the tariff hikes are fully priced in – regardless of whether they materialise or are deferred. MMC Port’s impendi...
GREATER CHINA Economics Inflation: Upstream deflationary pressures intensify. Trade: May data weighed down by higher tariffs. Sector Property: Shenzhen taps HPF for down payments to stabilise the property market; land market sees divergence among cities. INDONESIA Update Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ/BUY/Rp3,450/Target: Rp4,600): Capitalising on gold’s momentum despite environmental headwinds. MALAYSIA Sector Plantation: 1Q25 results largely met expectations. We expect 2Q25 earnings to be supported b...
Setbacks In Achieving Recurring Income Mix Are Priced In Uzma’s track record in production enhancement and maintenance services enabled it to capture high orderbook growth, mostly driven by the PS segment. However, it will be unable to achieve its five-year target (expiring next quarter) of a recurring income mix of 60%. One of the key reasons is the delay risk of SARA-WIF. We believe this downside risk is fully priced in, but recommend a wait-and-see approach for earnings delivery and ESG devel...
1Q25 Results Wrap-up: Short-Circuited Outlook The 1Q25 results season was more underwhelming than expected, mainly due to the US’ highly disruptive trade policies. Accordingly, we trim our bottom-up 2025-26 forecasts by 4.2%/3.6% respectively, and brace for further earnings downgrades. Nevertheless, with the worst of the US trade policy threats behind us, we maintain our end-25 FBMKLCI target of 1,620. We see opportunistic buying with the FBMKLCI’s 5.0% retreat from its May high to capitalise on...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls Add Prudential and Sino Biopharm to our BUY list. Take profit on SHKP and TCOM. Update Qingdao Port International (6198 HK/NOT RATED/Price: HK$6.54) Key takeaways from NDR. INDONESIA Update Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ/BUY/Rp2,620/Target: Rp3,000) Synergy potential from Lawson; expansion outside Java remains intact. MALAYSIA Strategy 1Q25 Results Wrap-Up ...
1Q25: Staying Cautious CIMB’s 1Q25 results are in line, supported by lower provisions, though pre-provision profit declined yoy. Maintain HOLD, with target price unchanged at RM7.70 (1.13x 2025F P/B, 11.1% ROE). While valuations at 1.03x P/B are fair, they align with the historical mean. We remain cautious of forex weakness from regional operations and credit costs amid regional macro headwinds. With earnings growth capped at 3% amid NIM pressure, the risk-reward is balanced, underpinned by a 5....
GREATER CHINA Strategy China Property & Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Manageable pressure in mainland property market; improved tourism and retail sales momentum in Hong Kong. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances in May Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Results CIMB Group (CIMB MK/HOLD/RM6.93/Target: RM7.70) 1Q25: Earnings in line, underpinned by lower provisions. Mai...
1Q25 results missed expectations, with revenue declining 21.9% yoy and adjusted net earnings falling 18.2% yoy. Management indicated that the previous positive 2025 revenue growth target is likely unachievable, but maintains confidence in its strong pipeline to secure major BD deals. While near-term revenue visibility remains limited, we believe CSPC’s continued R&D efforts will drive long-term value. Maintain HOLD with a higher target price of HK$7.70 to reflect its strengthened R&D capabilitie...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly 2H25 outlook: Eyeing domestic plays and names with potential turnaround. Sector Automobile China automaker stocks plummeted 10-11% this week on: a) the price war triggered by BYD, and b) worries over the financial soundness of auto OEMs raised by GWM’s Chairman Wei Jianjun’s critics and the Ministry of Commerce’s probe into “zero-mileage second-hand cars”. We deem these concerns valid but the risks remain manageable as long as sales keep growing....
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly: 2H25 outlook: Eyeing domestic plays and names with potential turnaround. Sector Automobile: Weekly: Is there an Evergrand in the China auto sector? Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely and XPeng. Results CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK/HOLD/HK$7.62/Target: HK$7.70): 1Q25: Results miss; expects enhanced pipelines to secure major BD deals. Li Auto Inc (2015 HK/BUY/HK$108.20/Target: HK$145.00): 1Q25: Earnings and forward guidance mi...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector REITs: S-REITs monthly update (May 25). Results Valuetronics (VALUE SP/BUY/S$0.685/Target: S$0.83): FY25: Record margins and dividend underpin healthy FY26; raise target price by 6%. TRADERS’ CORNER First Resources (FR SP): Trading BUY Yangzijiang Shipbuilding (YZJSGD SP): Trading SELL
Singapore is a haven due to fiscal discipline and having the lowest reciprocal tariff of 10%. The flight to safety is evidenced by a low 10-year Singapore government bond yield of 2.4% and 3-month compounded SORA of 2.3%. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Many blue-chip S-REITs are trading at attractive yields of 6-7%. BUY retail REITs CICT (Target: S$2.37) and FCT (Target: S$2.73), data centre REIT DCREIT (Target: US$0.90) and healthcare REIT PREIT (Target: S$4.85). We also like CLAS (Target: S$1.38).
3QFY25: Profit Misses Expectations Due To High Interest Costs 9MFY25 core profit misses expectations, comprising only 57% of our and consensus expectations. Like the sector, Uzma also faced setbacks due to the Petronas-Petros issue, which disturbed investor confidence within the ecosystem and delayed several key projects like Lang Lebah. For Uzma, we understand that its second water injection facility (WIF), the SARA-WIF (contracted for Hibiscus Petroleum), which was already delayed by 3 months ...
3QFY25: Underpinned By Strong Showing From Hong Leong Bank In line. Excluding a non-core loss of RM407m from Hong Leong Bank, Hong Leong Financial Group (HLFG) reported a 3QFY25 core net profit of RM974.1m (+19.1% YoY, +16.1% QoQ), bringing 9MFY25 core earnings to RM2,661.1m (+11.3% yoy). Results were marginally above expectations, with 9MFY25 core earnings accounting for 77% of both our and consensus full-year estimates. The positive variance was primarily driven by lumpy provision writebacks o...
1Q25: Below Expectations; Softer Growth RHB Bank’s 1Q25 results came in below expectations, primarily due to weaker-thananticipated non-interest income. Following our earnings revision, we downgrade the stock to HOLD, with a lower target price of RM7.30 (9.5% ROE and 0.95x 2025 PBV). The stock has outperformed the sector ytd, and we view the current risk-reward profile as balanced, with a moderating earnings outlook offset by an attractive dividend yield, underpinned by a strong CET1 ratio of 16...
1Q25: Profit Deemed In Line, As 2025 Is Expected To Be LNG Trough MISC’s 1Q25 profit is in line, considering its LNG fleet is still undergoing rejuvenation while LNGC market conditions may hit a low in 2025. Both the gas and petroleum segments are actively investing in a range of net-zero fuels and maritime decarbonisation. While sentiment on MISC may still be impacted by uncertainties over the MISC-Bumi Armada FPSO merger, a new CEO for AET (petroleum segment) may open doors for M&As or unlock ...
3QFY25: Supported By Strong Non-interest Income And Write-backs Hong Leong Bank’s core 9MFY25 earnings exceeded expectations, driven by provision write-backs, strong NOII, and positive operating Jaws. PPOP rose 10.3% yoy in 3QFY25 and 13.2% in 9MFY25. Valuations remain attractive at 1.00x P/BV vs the sector’s 1.15x, despite stronger ROEs. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of RM23.80 (1.22x FY26F P/BV, 11.5% ROE) as we roll forward to FY26.
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