Alpha Picks: Staying Selectively Defensive As Volatility Intensifies Highlights Our Mar 26 Alpha Picks marginally underperformed the FBMKLCI (-2.2% vs FBMKLCI: -1.5%). Bermaz Auto (+4.1%) and MISC (+4.6%) were the leaders but Gamuda was the main drag (-11.0%) followed by Yinson (-4.3%). On a quarterly basis, 1Q26 Alpha Picks’ returns outperformed on both priceand market cap-weighted bases, both outperforming by 2ppt each vs the FBMKLCI. For Apr 26, we adopt a barbell strategy – balancing r...
China online retail companies’ 4Q25 revenue and margins were pressured by the high-base effect and the persistently intense on-demand delivery competition, which are likely to ease in 2026, seeing the solid NBS retail data for Jan-Feb 26, and the latest policy. Meanwhile, online gaming and OTA reported resilient 4Q25 top-line growth and continuous margin improvement, empowered by improved AI efficiency and benign competition. We expect improving AI monetisation and mixed earnings as AI investmen...
Top Stories Strategy | Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls Chinese equities consolidated further in March amid outbreak of hostilities in the Middle East, with the HSI and MSCI China Index declining 6.9% mom and 7.5% mom respectively. We expect markets to stay volatile in April, though oversold rebounds are possible. We continue to focus on names with stronger fundamentals and remain buyers of tech names, adding Li Ning and Zijin Mining to our BUY list while taking profits on Ganfeng Lithium an...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls Chinese equities consolidated further in March amid outbreak of hostilities in the Middle East, with the HSI and MSCI China Index declining 6.9% mom and 7.5% mom respectively. We expect markets to stay volatile in April, though oversold rebounds are possible. We continue to focus on names with stronger fundamentals and remain buyers of tech names, adding Li Ning and Zijin Mining to our BUY list while taking profits on Ganfeng Lithium a...
Mindray’s 2025 results missed, with revenue down 9.38% yoy, and adjusted net earnings declining 27.3% yoy. All three main segments reported significant revenue decreases in 2025. Mindray expects revenue growth to turn positive in 2026 and accelerate in 2027, driven by continued overseas market expansion. Mindray expects net profit to achieve positive growth excluding potential foreign change impact. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Rmb195.00, factoring in the weak 2025 results and its r...
Top Stories Economics | PMI March's PMI beat Bloomberg's consensus, with manufacturing PMI rebounding to 50.4 (+1.4pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI returning to expansion at 50.1 (+0.6pt mom), as post-CNY activity resumed, though recovery diverged between services and construction industries. New export orders sub-index improved to 49.1 (+4.1pt mom) for manufacturing PMI and 48.8 (+4.1pt mom) for services PMI, pointing to genuine recovery in external demand. However, the purchase prices sub-in...
Positon Of Strength Highlights Bank Negara Malaysia’s (BNM) 2H25 Financial Stability report highlights continued improvements in banking system resilience and key financial metrics. This reinforces confidence that the sector is entering the current external headwinds from a position of strength. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Amid ongoing Middle East geopolitical uncertainties, we adopt a barbell strategy, favouring Public Bank and Hong Leong Bank for their defensive profiles and capital management ...
Retail properties are experiencing a new renaissance due to historical low vacancy, while Gen Z is flocking back for experiential interactions at malls. UHU will benefit from full-year contributions from the acquisitions of Dover Marketplace and Wallingford Fair in 2026. The new 53,000sf Dick’s Sporting Goods store opened at Hudson Valley Plaza in Mar 26. UHU trades at an attractive 2026 distribution yield of 9.8%. Maintain BUY. Target price: US$0.72.
S-REITs would be active in asset recycling in 2026, supported by depressed domestic interest rates. The sector is defensive and provides attractive yield spread of 3.6%, which is 0.5SD above the long-term mean. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chips CICT (Target: S$2.95), FLT (Target: S$1.22), MPACT (Target: S$1.84) and NTTDCR (Target: US$1.42).
Greater China Economics | PMI March's PMI beat Bloomberg's consensus, with manufacturing PMI rebounding to 50.4 (+1.4pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI returning to expansion at 50.1 (+0.6pt mom), as post-CNY activity resumed, though recovery diverged between services and construction industries. New export orders sub-index improved to 49.1 (+4.1pt mom) for manufacturing PMI and 48.8 (+4.1pt mom) for services PMI, pointing to genuine recovery in external demand. However, the purchase prices sub-i...
Top Stories Sector Update | REITs S-REITs would be active in asset recycling in 2026, supported by depressed domestic interest rates. The sector is defensive and provides attractive yield spread of 3.6%, which is 0.5SD above the long-term mean. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chips CICT (Target: S$2.95), FLT (Target: S$1.22), MPACT (Target: S$1.84) and NTTDCR (Target: US$1.42). Company Update | United Hampshire US REIT (UHU SP/BUY/US$0.505/Target: US$0.72) Retail properties are experiencin...
2025 results beat expectations with accelerated revenue and earnings growth of 22.6% yoy and 27.1% yoy respectively. The strong growth was mainly due to a surge in innovative product sales and collaboration revenue. Hansoh expects revenue growth to remain resilient at double-digit for 2026. The growing number of new product approvals and out-licensing deals will support sustainable revenue and earnings growth in the years ahead. Maintain BUY and lower target price to HK$45.00, factoring in recen...
Top Stories Company Results | BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$105.80/Target: HK$130.00) 4Q25 net profit came in as expected at Rmb9,286m (-38.2% yoy/+18.7% qoq). We believe BYD’s earnings bottomed out in 4Q25-1Q26, and 2026-28 profit will be driven by new tech launches, overseas expansion and external battery sales. We raise our 2026-27 net profit forecasts by 58%/100% to Rmb45.41b/Rmb56.35b respectively, and introduce our 2028 net profit forecast of Rmb69.64b, implying a 29% three-year CAGR. Upg...
Medlive reported solid 2025 results with revenue and adjusted net profit growing 15.0% and 5.7% yoy, in line with its guidance and our estimates for 2025. Management guided for 20% yoy product count growth in 2026, with platform scale and AI upgrades underpinning resilience. We maintain our 2026 revenue and adjusted net profit growth estimates at 15.4% and 14.1% yoy. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$11.00, applying a more conservative valuation multiple amid rising geopolitical tensi...
Shineway recorded a revenue decline of 17.0% yoy in 2025, while net earnings grew 13.1% yoy, beating our and consensus 2025 estimates. It remains conservative on 2026’s revenue growth amid continued policy and economic uncertainties. We expect revenue and net earnings to rebound gradually at 2.0% and 6.2% CAGR in 2025-27 respectively, with solid demand for TCM formula granules, exclusive oral products and new innovative products. Maintain HOLD with a target price of HK$9.00.
Top Stories Company Results | China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$8.09/Target: HK$9.20) CCB’s 4Q25 earnings grew 2.2% yoy, thanks to a surge in other non-NII amid increased bond trading gain, fee income growth and cost control. NIM was largely stable and management expects smaller NIM compression in 2026. Asset quality was largely stable despite some pressure on mortgages. These results reaffirm CCB's continued fundamental improvement and its attractive dividend yield of 5.3% stands out as a...
Greater China Company Results | China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$8.09/Target: HK$9.20) CCB’s 4Q25 earnings grew 2.2% yoy, thanks to a surge in other non-NII amid increased bond trading gain, fee income growth and cost control. NIM was largely stable and management expects smaller NIM compression in 2026. Asset quality was largely stable despite some pressure on mortgages. These results reaffirm CCB's continued fundamental improvement and its attractive dividend yield of 5.3% stands out as ...
Top Stories Sector Update | Banking Bond yields have risen as conflicts in the Middle East create uncertainties over the outlook for inflation. We now expect the Fed to pause rate cuts and keep the Fed Funds Rate stable at 3.5% in 2026. The OECD forecasts headline inflation in the US spiking temporarily to 4.2% in 2026, before falling to 1.6% in 2027. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top pick is DBS (BUY/Target: S$67.55) for its attractive 2026 dividend yield of 5.6%. We also like OCBC (BUY/Target: S$...
Sino Biopharm’s 2025 revenue rose 10.3% yoy and adjusted earnings surged 31.4% yoy. The company guided doubledigit revenue growth for 2026, supported by robust revenue growth of innovative products and increasing licence fee income. Earnings are likely to expand at a faster pace as the company continues to enhance its operating efficiency. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$7.70, factoring in significant impairment losses in 2025.
4Q25 earnings missed expectations. Total revenue increased 4% yoy to Rmb92b, in line with our and consensus estimates. Non-IFRS net loss totalled Rmb15b, with a net margin loss of 17%, missing consensus estimates. For 1Q26, Meituan expects core local commerce revenue growth to remain flattish or drop slightly, with losses projected to halve sequentially. Maintain SELL with a lower target price of HK$74.00.
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