GFL’s 4Q25 GAAP net profit came in above estimates at Rmb1,587m (+185.1% qoq), and adjusted net profit turned positive at Rmb557m. Earnings will be driven by a recovery of lithium carbonate prices, ramp-up of upstream projects and battery sales. Maintain our 2026/27 net profit forecasts at Rmb3.21b/Rmb5.24b, and introduce our 2028 net profit forecast of Rmb5.35b. Maintain BUY with unchanged target prices of HK$90.00/Rmb80.00for H-share/A-share.
4Q25 net profit of Rmb16m met guidance, driven by a 4.0ppt yoy gross margin expansion to 33.0% and strict cost controls, despite revenue missing expectations due to weak overseas sales. For 2026, management targets Rmb6b in revenue, a 1.0-2.0ppt margin expansion, and 45,000 robot shipments, with growth coming from the automotive, electronic, and Li-ion battery sectors. Maintain HOLD with a Rmb21.20 target price as we continue to monitor the company’s execution.
Top Stories Economics | PMI March's PMI beat Bloomberg's consensus, with manufacturing PMI rebounding to 50.4 (+1.4pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI returning to expansion at 50.1 (+0.6pt mom), as post-CNY activity resumed, though recovery diverged between services and construction industries. New export orders sub-index improved to 49.1 (+4.1pt mom) for manufacturing PMI and 48.8 (+4.1pt mom) for services PMI, pointing to genuine recovery in external demand. However, the purchase prices sub-in...
Top Stories Sector Update | Banking BNM’s 2H25 Financial Stability report highlights continued improvements in banking system resilience and key financial metrics. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Market Spotlight The FBMKLCI rebounded by 2.46pt (+0.15%) to close at 1,690.36 yesterday. US stocks were higher after the close on Tuesday, as gains in the technology, industrials and consumer services sectors led shares higher. Technical Analysis FBMKLCI, FCPO & FKLI Index Outlook Traders’ Corner Ancom Nylex ...
Greater China Economics | PMI March's PMI beat Bloomberg's consensus, with manufacturing PMI rebounding to 50.4 (+1.4pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI returning to expansion at 50.1 (+0.6pt mom), as post-CNY activity resumed, though recovery diverged between services and construction industries. New export orders sub-index improved to 49.1 (+4.1pt mom) for manufacturing PMI and 48.8 (+4.1pt mom) for services PMI, pointing to genuine recovery in external demand. However, the purchase prices sub-i...
2H25 net profit came in below estimates at Rmb1,263m (+429.4% yoy/-23.4% hoh) on sales volume and margins. Looking ahead, we expect Yadea’s earnings to be driven by the recovery of China’s electric two-wheeler market, product premiumisation, and exports. Trim our 2026-27 net profit forecasts by 11%/11% to Rmb3,205m/Rmb3,679m respectively and introduce 2028 net profit forecast of Rmb4,126m, implying 14% three-year CAGR. Maintain BUY; cut target price from HK$19.50 to HK$18.00, pegged to 15x 2026F...
2025 results beat expectations with accelerated revenue and earnings growth of 22.6% yoy and 27.1% yoy respectively. The strong growth was mainly due to a surge in innovative product sales and collaboration revenue. Hansoh expects revenue growth to remain resilient at double-digit for 2026. The growing number of new product approvals and out-licensing deals will support sustainable revenue and earnings growth in the years ahead. Maintain BUY and lower target price to HK$45.00, factoring in recen...
BYDE reported a significant 4Q25 earnings miss, with net profit declining 68.6% yoy to Rmb378m on a deteriorating product mix and market share losses in the higher-margin iPhone component business. Management guides for flattish 2026 revenue, positioning it as a transitional year before growth recovers in 2027 on improved AI server contributions and Apple business recovery. Downgrade to HOLD due to headwinds in 2026. Cut target price to HK$26.40.
4Q25 net profit came in as expected at Rmb9,286m (-38.2% yoy/+18.7% qoq). We believe BYD’s earnings bottomed out in 4Q25-1Q26, and 2026-28 profit will be driven by new tech launches, overseas expansion and external battery sales. We raise our 2026-27 net profit forecasts by 58%/100% to Rmb45.41b/Rmb56.35b respectively, and introduce our 2028 net profit forecast of Rmb69.64b, implying a 29% three-year CAGR. Upgrade from SELL to BUY; lift target price from HK$81.00 to HK$130.00.
Top Stories Company Results | BYD Company (1211 HK/BUY/HK$105.80/Target: HK$130.00) 4Q25 net profit came in as expected at Rmb9,286m (-38.2% yoy/+18.7% qoq). We believe BYD’s earnings bottomed out in 4Q25-1Q26, and 2026-28 profit will be driven by new tech launches, overseas expansion and external battery sales. We raise our 2026-27 net profit forecasts by 58%/100% to Rmb45.41b/Rmb56.35b respectively, and introduce our 2028 net profit forecast of Rmb69.64b, implying a 29% three-year CAGR. Upg...
Top Stories Company Update | Duopharma Biotech (DBB MK/BUY/RM1.25/Target: RM1.62) Duopharma’s supply chain is largely intact despite geopolitical uncertainties. Costs have risen but are highly manageable, further supported by healthy inventory levels. There is new management at the helm but Wan Amir-Jeffery is highly seasoned and provides familiarity and strategic continuity, while the award of the human insulin contract is expected to be announced in the near term. Maintain BUY and target price...
Medlive reported solid 2025 results with revenue and adjusted net profit growing 15.0% and 5.7% yoy, in line with its guidance and our estimates for 2025. Management guided for 20% yoy product count growth in 2026, with platform scale and AI upgrades underpinning resilience. We maintain our 2026 revenue and adjusted net profit growth estimates at 15.4% and 14.1% yoy. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$11.00, applying a more conservative valuation multiple amid rising geopolitical tensi...
4Q25 net profit came in below our estimates at Rmb1,319m (+71.7% yoy/+8.9% qoq) due to sales volume miss and margin erosion. Earnings will be driven by global capacity ramps in Malaysia, Hungary and China, together with new OEM and utility contracts. Considering the lower gross margin, we trim our 2026-27 net profit forecasts by 11%/19% to Rmb7.77b/Rmb10.18b respectively, and introduce our 2028 net profit forecast of Rmb11.29b. Maintain BUY and cut target price from Rmb90.00 to Rmb85.00.
Shineway recorded a revenue decline of 17.0% yoy in 2025, while net earnings grew 13.1% yoy, beating our and consensus 2025 estimates. It remains conservative on 2026’s revenue growth amid continued policy and economic uncertainties. We expect revenue and net earnings to rebound gradually at 2.0% and 6.2% CAGR in 2025-27 respectively, with solid demand for TCM formula granules, exclusive oral products and new innovative products. Maintain HOLD with a target price of HK$9.00.
4Q25 GAAP net profit came in as expected at Rmb1,230m (-45.6% yoy/-46.5% qoq) on margin erosion. Looking ahead, we expect GWM’s earnings to be driven by strong product pipelines, new tech launches and recovery of exports. We maintain our 2026-27 net profit forecasts of Rmb10.86b/Rmb13.53b respectively and introduce our 2028 net profit forecast of Rmb16.42b. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of HK$16.00, pegged to 11x 2026F PE.
Top Stories Company Results | China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$8.09/Target: HK$9.20) CCB’s 4Q25 earnings grew 2.2% yoy, thanks to a surge in other non-NII amid increased bond trading gain, fee income growth and cost control. NIM was largely stable and management expects smaller NIM compression in 2026. Asset quality was largely stable despite some pressure on mortgages. These results reaffirm CCB's continued fundamental improvement and its attractive dividend yield of 5.3% stands out as a...
Greater China Company Results | China Construction Bank (939 HK/BUY/HK$8.09/Target: HK$9.20) CCB’s 4Q25 earnings grew 2.2% yoy, thanks to a surge in other non-NII amid increased bond trading gain, fee income growth and cost control. NIM was largely stable and management expects smaller NIM compression in 2026. Asset quality was largely stable despite some pressure on mortgages. These results reaffirm CCB's continued fundamental improvement and its attractive dividend yield of 5.3% stands out as ...
Top Stories Sector Update | Property Rising costs are inevitable as the Iran conflict is prolonged, with our sensitivity analysis suggesting a 4-8% impact to earnings, assuming no cost pass-through. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the sector’s palatable valuations at 0.9x forward P/B (+0.5SD above mean), supported by: a) robust industrial momentum; b) potential capital inflow to Singapore and Malaysia, especially after the onset of the Iran conflict; and c) asset monetisation catalysts through potential ...
Highlights 4Q25 net profit missed our estimate at Rmb2,053m (-31.6% yoy/-36.5% qoq) on margin squeeze, bringing 2025 net profit to Rmb10.93b (-4.1% yoy). Weichai is entering 2-3 years of muted transitional earnings growth, as the old businesses are stagnating but the fast-growing AI-related businesses are still too small to elevate earnings growth. We cut our 2026-27 net profit forecasts by 16%/21% to Rmb11.56b/ Rmb12.29b respectively, and introduce our 2028 forecast of Rmb13.10b. Mainta...
Sino Biopharm’s 2025 revenue rose 10.3% yoy and adjusted earnings surged 31.4% yoy. The company guided doubledigit revenue growth for 2026, supported by robust revenue growth of innovative products and increasing licence fee income. Earnings are likely to expand at a faster pace as the company continues to enhance its operating efficiency. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of HK$7.70, factoring in significant impairment losses in 2025.
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