1QFY26: Quiet Start, Clear Catalysts Ahead Highlights Earnings are broadly within expectations. Backloaded festive sales and commenced commercial milk production in Malaysia should shore up earnings. Earnings are further supported by oncoming dairy related production in Cambodia, recovery in Thailand and input cost and forex tailwinds. Maintain BUY as Fraser & Neave Holdings (F&N) offers bargain valuations and its dairy project is gaining traction. Target price remains unchanged at RM40.00...
Greater China Company Results | Yum China Holdings, Inc (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$392.40) In 4Q25, YUMC’s total revenue reached US$2,823m, up 9% yoy. Total system sales grew 7% yoy, with a 3% increase in same-store sales. Operating profit rose 25% yoy to US$187m, with operating margin at 6.6% (+80bp). For 1Q26, management targets positive SSS. It aims to maintain flat yoy restaurant margin and operating profit margin on a high base. For 2026, it expects to open more than 1,900 net new stores, wi...
2QFY26: Sharp SSSG Contraction But Within Expectations Highlights Earnings come within expectations despite sharp sustained SSSG contraction, which was more than offset by expanded margins. SSSG has since displayed encouraging signs of recovery. Maintain HOLD as Eco-Shop’s attractive growth appears largely priced in. Unchanged target price of RM1.70.
Greater China Sector Update | China Property In 2025, CR Land and COLI saw 15-20% yoy profit declines and Longfor’s core profit may turn from positive to negative due to weak DP margins. For 2026, the outlook remains constrained, though as it is the first year of the 15th Five-Year Plan, SOEs are expected to have clearer growth targets. In Jan 26, new-home sales in 28 major cities fell 40% yoy, while second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities declined 4% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT, but we se...
2QFY26: Quarter Disappoints Highlights Earnings came in below expectations as external headwinds weighed on foreign patient volume that coincided with a higher-than-expected tax rate. Margins contracted sharply following pre-operating costs and promotional packages to increase local patient throughput. Maintain BUY as Alpha IVF Group’s (Alpha IVF) fundamentals remain intact despite near-term headwinds. Cut target price to RM0.40 (from RM0.43).
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile 12 Chinese automakers set ambitious targets for 2026. Despite weak sales from 1-18 January, we maintain our PV sales forecast of 30.4m units (+3% yoy), driven by exports and EVs. Policy shifts in the EU and Canada are creating a more favourable environment for Chinese EV exports, supporting overseas growth. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Ganfeng Lithium, Minth and Geely. Top SELL: Li Auto. Company Update | Longfor Group Holdings (960 HK/BUY/HK$...
Pockets Of Optimism Largely Priced In Highlights Pockets of optimism brought about by the Visit Malaysia Year and sustained government cash handout will support sentiment. Expected sector earnings growth of 9.2% yoy in 2026 is balanced by modest valuations. Downgrade 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings (99SM) and Eco-Shop Marketing (Eco-Shop) to HOLD following their recent impressive run. QL Resources (QL) is at risk of a FBMKLCI exclusion. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top sector picks: Fraser & Ne...
Greater China Economics | Trade Exports growth accelerated to 6.6% yoy in December (+0.7ppt mom), well above consensus, supported by strong shipments growth to Hong Kong and ASEAN, while exports growth to the US weakened further. Import growth surged to 5.7% yoy (+3.8ppt mom), beating expectations amid broad-based commodity recovery. Trade surplus widened to US$114.1b. Growths of motor vehicle, hi-tech, and mechanical & electrical exports strengthened. Overall, December’s trade data is marke...
Upgrade After Pullback; Prospects Intact Highlights Upcoming 2QFY26 SSSG appears soft but is improving. Sentiment coupled with improved store initiatives should underpin a further recovery. SSSG softness will be more than offset by gained margins, which could potentially be further enhanced by favourable forex. Upgrade to BUY as valuations appear attractive following some pullback, with a target price of RM1.70. The stock offers an appealing three-year CAGR earnings growth of 16.9% as well...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December...
Highly Exciting But Mostly Priced In For Now Highlights SSSG accelerates despite aggressive rollout for the year. Meanwhile, upcoming locations will benefit from an influx of tourist arrivals. International expansion is on the horizon, with firmed up details by 1Q26. Valuations have surged, pricing in most of its exciting prospects. Maintain HOLD and target price of RM1.20.
Greater China Sector Update | Consumer We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed segments and names include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include: Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands ...
2QFY26: Sluggish Performance Across Multiple Fronts Highlights Results are within our but below consensus expectations. QL Resources’ (QL) 2QFY26 core net profit came in at RM116.2m (+15.5% qoq, -9.4% yoy). This brought 1HFY26 core net profit to RM216.8m (-8.0% yoy). Earnings are within our but below consensus expectations, accounting for 50% and 46% of full-year forecasts respectively.
3Q25: Results In Line As Softness In Singapore Is Offset By Other Regions Highlights Within our but disappoints consensus expectations. IHH Healthcare (IHH) posted a 3Q25 core profit of RM462m (10.3% qoq, -12.5% yoy), bringing 9M25 core profit to RM1,306m (-4.59%). This is above our but within consensus expectations, accounting for 72% and 68% of forecasts respectively. One-offs that amounted to RM267m were primarily attributed to net monetary gain arising from a hyperinflationary economy tied...
2QFY26: Margins Hold Up As In-Roads Are Made in New Markets Highlights Beyond our but within consensus expectations. Farm Fresh reported a 2QFY26 core net profit of RM34.7m (5.7% qoq, 32.4% yoy). This brought 1HFY26 core profit to RM67.5m (+29.3% yoy). Earnings are beyond our but within consensus expectations, accounting for 54% and 48% of our and consensus full-year earnings estimates respectively. Core profit has been adjusted for a RM1.9 gain on disposal of an asset. Generating growth. Se...
2QFY26: Stable Earnings Amid NIM Pressure Highlights In line. Alliance Bank Malaysia (Alliance Bank) reported 2QFY26 net profit of RM206.6m (+8.8% yoy, +4.0 qoq), bringing 1HFY26 earnings to RM405.2m (+10.6% yoy). 1HFY26 earnings are deemed to be in line, representing 51% of both our and consensus’ full-year forecasts.
4QFY25: Within Expectations With Yet Another Record Sales Highlights Results were within expectations as quarterly sales reached a new milestone yet again. Margins eased across the board, in part due to seasonality in terms of store openings, while quarterly earnings contracted due to lumpy tax rates. Valuations have surged, and appear to have more than priced in the Visit Malaysia 2026 theme. Maintain HOLD and target price of RM1.20.
Greater China Company Results | Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$157.80/Target: HK$206.00) Alibaba reported solid 2QFY26 results. Revenue grew 5% yoy to Rmb247.8b (15% like-for-like basis), in line with the street’s estimate. Non-GAAP net profit was Rmb10.4b, down 72% yoy, missing our forecast, due to its investment in Taobao Instant Commerce. In 3QFY26, management expects: a) significant narrowing of quick commerce losses, b) moderated CMR growth due to the high base last year, and c) continued st...
3Q25: Slight Disappointment But KPJ Kuala Selangor Broke Even Highlights Below our estimates but within consensus expectations. KPJ Healthcare (KPJ) reported a 3Q25 net profit of RM93.9m (14.5% qoq, 9.2% yoy). This brought 9M25 core profit to RM239.2m (+11.4%). Core profit is below our estimate but within consensus expectations, accounting for 65% and 68% of our and consensus full-year forecasts respectively. An interim DPS of 1.23 sen was declared, bringing 9M25 DPS to 3.08 sen (9M24: 3.15 se...
3Q25: Earnings Supported By Benign Credit Cost And NOII Highlights Above expectations. Affin Bank reported 3Q25 net profit of RM145m (+1.0% qoq, -0.6 yoy), bringing 9M25 earnings to RM413m (+10.1% yoy). This was ahead of our and consensus expectations, making up 78% and 77% of our and consensus full-year forecasts respectively. The positive variance is attributed to robust non-interest income contributions, strong recoveries and a new write-back, resulting in lower-than-expected net credit cos...
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