Innovent’s total product sales amounted to approximately Rmb11.9b in 2025, representing a robust 45% yoy increase, beating our and consensus estimates by 43% and 41.8% yoy respectively. Despite the price adjustment for the products newly included in the NRDL, drug sales surged by over 60% yoy to reach Rmb3.3b in 4Q25. The strong performance reflects a sustained growth momentum. Innovent is on track to deliver targeted domestic product sales of Rmb20b in 2027. Maintain BUY with a target price of ...
Top Stories Sector Update | Automobile CPCA estimates January China passenger NEV wholesale sales at 900,000 units (+1% yoy/-42% mom), with front-loaded purchases ahead of the reduced purchase tax and delayed local subsidies weighing on volumes. Automakers with ICE-car exposure, such as Geely Auto and Great Wall Motor, saw relatively resilient January sales. We expect China’s auto sales to recover after Chinese New Year, with local subsidies in place. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Gan...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile CPCA estimates January China passenger NEV wholesale sales at 900,000 units (+1% yoy/-42% mom), with front-loaded purchases ahead of the reduced purchase tax and delayed local subsidies weighing on volumes. Automakers with ICE-car exposure, such as Geely Auto and Great Wall Motor, saw relatively resilient January sales. We expect China’s auto sales to recover after Chinese New Year, with the local subsidies in place. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: ...
Since OpenAI’s launch of ChatGPT Health, internet healthcare share prices have fluctuated significantly. In the period 15-29 January, PAGD and Medlive dropped 15.5% and 21.7% respectively, while Ant Group-backed Ali Health remained relatively stable. Many drug innovators retreated 5-10% after an early rally, but AI-driven Insilico surged 18.8%. With robust innovative pipelines, rapid R&D, and growing product offerings, China's healthcare sector is poised to become a key player in the global mark...
At the recent investor conference, global investors viewed Chinese healthcare companies with increasing interest and optimism. Impressed by their advanced R&D pipelines and swift R&D-to-market execution capabilities, investors recognised Chinese companies’ potential for innovation and growth, particularly as they presented an array of cuttingedge products ready for global markets. This positive perception reflects a growing confidence in China's healthcare sector as a key player on the internati...
In the first two weeks of Jan 26, Chinese healthcare stocks saw impressive share price increases. Fuelled by AI healthcare themes, Dian Diagnostics soared by 83.0%, while Ali Health and Medlive rose by 42.0% and 37.5% respectively. Expectations of strong revenue and earnings growths in 2026 also led to significant share price increases of 10-30% for drug innovators and CRDMO leaders. China’s healthcare sector will continue to outperform in 2026. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Greater China Economics | Money Supply December’s monetary data was mixed. M1 growth slowed further to 3.8% yoy, slightly below expectations, while M2 growth improved to 8.5% yoy on stronger time deposits growth. On a positive note, new bank loans rebounded to Rmb0.91t, mainly driven by corporate and government borrowing, and new TSF also beat forecasts. However, outstanding bank loan growth stayed at a year-low of 6.4% yoy and TSF growth eased to 8.3% yoy, underscoring still-fragile credit ...
The sector experienced a fruitful year of innovation in 2025, and we expect globalisation and improving operating efficiency to continue to drive rapid earnings growth for drug innovators and CRO leaders from 2026 onwards. Seeing strong online demand, internet healthcare players are likely to sustain solid revenue and earnings expansion in 2026. We also anticipate that domestic medical device manufacturers will experience a gradual sales growth recovery, fuelled by technological advancements and...
Greater China Sector Update | Healthcare The sector experienced a fruitful year of innovation in 2025, and we expect globalisation and improving operating efficiency to continue to drive rapid earnings growth for drug innovators and CRO leaders from 2026 onwards. Seeing strong online demand, internet healthcare players are likely to sustain solid revenue and earnings expansion in 2026. We also anticipate that domestic medical device manufacturers will experience a gradual sales growth recove...
China healthcare stocks were relatively weak during the first two weeks of Dec 25 as investors took profits, particularly for internet healthcare and drug innovator names. Fundamentals remain solid, supported by the new commercial insurance policy, lower costs of capital, and robust pipelines. Despite rising competition in areas like generics, GLP-1 drugs and surgical robots, companies continue to advance towards sustainable growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top picks are BeOne Medicines, Hansoh ...
Most Chinese healthcare stock prices fell along with the weak Hang Seng Index in the past two weeks. The share prices of leading drug innovators, however, have remained relatively stable. We expect drug innovators to continue to outperform, supported by possible further lowering of interest rates, increasing innovative product launches, and globalisation efforts. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks and GPO and other policy uncertainties will remain as key risks amid the recovery for CROs, medical serv...
Greater China Economics | PMI November PMI undershot expectations; manufacturing PMI was at 49.2 (+0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (-0.6pt mom), the first contraction in nearly three years. With the services industry index weakened to 49.5 (-0.7pt mom). PMI data confirms growth momentum is easing, so expect more supportive policies to be rolled out soon, but for economic confidence to return, we need a sustainable bottom in the real estate sector. Sector Update | Heal...
After a significant pullback over the past two months, most Chinese healthcare stock prices have stabilised and are beginning to regain strength. Major biopharmaceuticals are leading the recovery supported by their strong 9M25 results. We expect the momentum to continue, given improving fundamentals across sub-segments. Moreover, the lower cost of capital, continuous innovation and globalisation efforts, and supportive policies eg new Commercial Health Insurance Innovative Drug List, will suppor...
The collaboration with Takeda is expected to bring Innovent US$1.1b in revenue, accelerating its global R&D and growth into an integrated biopharmaceutical organisation. Aiming to bring five assets into pivotal studies globally by 2030, Innovent will establish itself as a significant player in the global market. Continued innovative product launches are projected to drive robust drug sales at a CAGR of 35% in 2024-27, supporting the target of Rmb20b by 2027. Maintain BUY with a higher target pri...
Greater China Sector Update | Internet Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude for a mid-single-digit GMV growth in 4Q25. The new phase of 11.11 is characterised by a longer cycle, simplified promotion mechanics, and deeper technological integration. Platform competition has shifted from “traffic wars” to “efficiency wars”, as AI enhances demand-supply matching and instant retail breaks offline barriers, reducing consumer decision costs. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT....
Top Stories Sector Update | Internet Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude for a mid-single-digit GMV growth in 4Q25. The new phase of 11.11 is characterised by a longer cycle, simplified promotion mechanics, and deeper technological integration. Platform competition has shifted from “traffic wars” to “efficiency wars”, as AI enhances demand-supply matching and instant retail breaks offline barriers, reducing consumer decision costs. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our...
Investors took profits on the sector amid concerns over possibly worsening US-China geopolitical tensions. Following the largest share price gain in previous months, biotech and CRDMOs saw significant setbacks in the first two weeks of October. We believe the pullback is temporary as the trend of innovation and globalisation among Chinese biopharmas remains strong, driven by robust pipelines, growing product launches and earnings expansion. CRDMOs and internet healthcare companies also expect to...
Greater China Economics | Inflation September’s CPI inflation improved slightly to -0.3% yoy (+0.1ppt), with core CPI reaching a ytd high of 1.0% yoy. However, food prices remained weak (-4.4% yoy), led by a 17% yoy fall in pork prices. PPI deflation eased to -2.3% yoy (+0.6ppt), with broad recovery in mining and quarrying and raw metal materials. Looking ahead, look out for improvement in consumer goods PPI inflation, which should be indicative of a sustainable improvement in pricing power....
After a strong run-up, China’s healthcare sector is in a technical correction. Despite geopolitical tensions, we believe the fundamentals remain sound, supporting bright long-term prospects. CRDMO, Biopharma and Internet Healthcare are embracing stronger revenue and earnings growth in the coming years driven by: a) lower cost of capital; b) a new wave of innovative product launches; c) strengthening R&D pipeline continuing to attract global collaborations; and d) positive domestic policy support...
Falling interest rates are expected to significantly benefit the biopharma and CRDMO segments. With lower capital costs, biopharma companies can secure R&D funding more easily. CROs and CDMOs are projected to increase their pharmaceutical R&D market share from 51.9% in 2024 to over 65% by 2034. In response to rising demand for new and complex modalities, WuXi Bio and WuXi AppTec are enhancing their service capabilities to seize growth opportunities from this new wave of innovation.
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