China healthcare stocks were relatively weak during the first two weeks of Dec 25 as investors took profits, particularly for internet healthcare and drug innovator names. Fundamentals remain solid, supported by the new commercial insurance policy, lower costs of capital, and robust pipelines. Despite rising competition in areas like generics, GLP-1 drugs and surgical robots, companies continue to advance towards sustainable growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our top picks are BeOne Medicines, Hansoh ...
Most Chinese healthcare stock prices fell along with the weak Hang Seng Index in the past two weeks. The share prices of leading drug innovators, however, have remained relatively stable. We expect drug innovators to continue to outperform, supported by possible further lowering of interest rates, increasing innovative product launches, and globalisation efforts. Meanwhile, geopolitical risks and GPO and other policy uncertainties will remain as key risks amid the recovery for CROs, medical serv...
Greater China Economics | PMI November PMI undershot expectations; manufacturing PMI was at 49.2 (+0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (-0.6pt mom), the first contraction in nearly three years. With the services industry index weakened to 49.5 (-0.7pt mom). PMI data confirms growth momentum is easing, so expect more supportive policies to be rolled out soon, but for economic confidence to return, we need a sustainable bottom in the real estate sector. Sector Update | Heal...
After a significant pullback over the past two months, most Chinese healthcare stock prices have stabilised and are beginning to regain strength. Major biopharmaceuticals are leading the recovery supported by their strong 9M25 results. We expect the momentum to continue, given improving fundamentals across sub-segments. Moreover, the lower cost of capital, continuous innovation and globalisation efforts, and supportive policies eg new Commercial Health Insurance Innovative Drug List, will suppor...
The collaboration with Takeda is expected to bring Innovent US$1.1b in revenue, accelerating its global R&D and growth into an integrated biopharmaceutical organisation. Aiming to bring five assets into pivotal studies globally by 2030, Innovent will establish itself as a significant player in the global market. Continued innovative product launches are projected to drive robust drug sales at a CAGR of 35% in 2024-27, supporting the target of Rmb20b by 2027. Maintain BUY with a higher target pri...
Greater China Sector Update | Internet Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude for a mid-single-digit GMV growth in 4Q25. The new phase of 11.11 is characterised by a longer cycle, simplified promotion mechanics, and deeper technological integration. Platform competition has shifted from “traffic wars” to “efficiency wars”, as AI enhances demand-supply matching and instant retail breaks offline barriers, reducing consumer decision costs. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT....
Top Stories Sector Update | Internet Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude for a mid-single-digit GMV growth in 4Q25. The new phase of 11.11 is characterised by a longer cycle, simplified promotion mechanics, and deeper technological integration. Platform competition has shifted from “traffic wars” to “efficiency wars”, as AI enhances demand-supply matching and instant retail breaks offline barriers, reducing consumer decision costs. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Our...
Investors took profits on the sector amid concerns over possibly worsening US-China geopolitical tensions. Following the largest share price gain in previous months, biotech and CRDMOs saw significant setbacks in the first two weeks of October. We believe the pullback is temporary as the trend of innovation and globalisation among Chinese biopharmas remains strong, driven by robust pipelines, growing product launches and earnings expansion. CRDMOs and internet healthcare companies also expect to...
Greater China Economics | Inflation September’s CPI inflation improved slightly to -0.3% yoy (+0.1ppt), with core CPI reaching a ytd high of 1.0% yoy. However, food prices remained weak (-4.4% yoy), led by a 17% yoy fall in pork prices. PPI deflation eased to -2.3% yoy (+0.6ppt), with broad recovery in mining and quarrying and raw metal materials. Looking ahead, look out for improvement in consumer goods PPI inflation, which should be indicative of a sustainable improvement in pricing power....
After a strong run-up, China’s healthcare sector is in a technical correction. Despite geopolitical tensions, we believe the fundamentals remain sound, supporting bright long-term prospects. CRDMO, Biopharma and Internet Healthcare are embracing stronger revenue and earnings growth in the coming years driven by: a) lower cost of capital; b) a new wave of innovative product launches; c) strengthening R&D pipeline continuing to attract global collaborations; and d) positive domestic policy support...
Falling interest rates are expected to significantly benefit the biopharma and CRDMO segments. With lower capital costs, biopharma companies can secure R&D funding more easily. CROs and CDMOs are projected to increase their pharmaceutical R&D market share from 51.9% in 2024 to over 65% by 2034. In response to rising demand for new and complex modalities, WuXi Bio and WuXi AppTec are enhancing their service capabilities to seize growth opportunities from this new wave of innovation.
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s PV sales rebounded last week, with PEV growth surging from below 5% to over 30% due to subsidies and new models. Geely and XPeng led, while BYD and Li Auto lagged. Vehicle exports rose 26% yoy in August, driven by gains in the EU, Africa, and Middle East. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL (target price raised to Rmb520) and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Update | Healthcare Falling interest rates are expected to significant...
The China healthcare stocks under our coverage exhibited a mixed performance during 1-15 Sep 25. Internet healthcare majors like Ali Health and JD Health outperformed, with share prices rising 18.8% and 8.6% respectively, thanks to strong revenue growth prospects and potential policy support. Investors took profits on major biopharmas amid concerns over possible in-licensing restrictions from the US. The trend of innovation and globalisation among Chinese biopharmas remains strong, driven by rob...
Leading drug innovators surpassed expectations in 1H25. We expect the biopharma segment to maintain its strong performance through 2H25 with robust innovative pipelines and active out-licensing efforts. Internet healthcare players are set for solid revenue growth and gradual margin expansion, while medical devices and top hospital players are recovering steadily. ICL and TCM companies may face ongoing policy uncertainties. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Greater China Economics | Trade China’s export momentum softened in August as front-loaded US demand has faded, exposing the vulnerability of shipments to the US market. While the trade diversion supported flows to ASEAN and the EU, overall growth moderated. Imports also weakened amid subdued agricultural demand, despite firmer commodity-related inflows. Pro...
Innovent’s 1H25 revenue surged 50.6% yoy to Rmb6.0b, far exceeding market estimates. Adjusted earnings reached Rmb1.2b in 1H25. With a new wave of product launches driving growth, Innovent has embarked on a dual-engine growth strategy in oncology and general biomedicines. Committed to developing pioneering pipeline assets for the global market, Innovent is poised to become a significant player in the global biopharma market. Maintain BUY with a higher target price of HK$120.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK/BUY/HK$24.46/Target: HK$28.90) Anhui Conch Cement reported 1H25 earnings of Rmb4,367.9m (+31.3% yoy), representing 42.5% of our full-year estimates, slightly above expectations. Gross margin for self-produced products rose to 28.9% (+5.8ppt yoy). Cement ASP edged up 1.5% yoy, while unit production cost fell 7.1% yoy, mainly on a 13.8% drop in fuel and power costs. Cement and clinker sales volume was broadly stable at 126mt (-0.4% yoy), outperfo...
GREATER CHINA Results Anta Sports (2020 HK/BUY/HK$101.60/Target: HK$114.20) 1H25: Results in line; lowers Anta brand target slightly, but maintains group-level target. CR Land (1109 HK/BUY/HK$30.40/Target: HK$34.10) 1H25: Results in line; positive 2H25 sales outlook & regular REIT expansion vision. Horizon Robotics (9660 HK/BUY/HK$7.94/Target: HK$8.88) 1H25: Hardware shipments more than double; eyeing mass pro...
In July, the HSI and MSCI China index extended their growths, rising 2.9% mom and 4.5% mom respectively to reach their peak on 24 July before pulling pack in the latest week, as investors tend to take profit after the Politburo announcement. With another 90-day tariff delay from the US, we maintain a positive outlook for leading domestic stocks in healthcare and IT. New additions to our BUY list are JBM Healthcare and Lenovo. We take profit on CATL, Han’s Laser, KE Holdings and Longfor.
All the healthcare stocks under our coverage exhibited a positive performance from 16-30 July. Due to expectations of strong results for 1H25, CRDMO companies were the top performers, with share prices surging by 22-34%. Supported by major BD/M&A deals, MicroPort, Sino Biopharm and Hengui Medicines also saw their stock prices rise significantly by 65.3%, 16.8% and 13.0%, respectively.
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