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Sandvik AB: 1 director

A director at Sandvik AB bought 23,000 shares at 216.300SEK and the significance rating of the trade was 73/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Sandvik (Hold, TP: SEK200.00) - No sign is a good sign

Despite increased uncertainty in its comments, management seems fairly upbeat, in our view, considering the macro turmoil. SMM daily order intake was stable in the first two weeks of Q2 versus Q1, and Sandvik sees a limited impact on the margin from tariffs. Mining remained solid in Q1, with a strong outlook (especially in gold and copper), while infrastructure and industrial activity remained low (weak cutting tools orders). We have lowered our 2025–2027e adj. EBITA by c4% (roughly half due to ...

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Sandvik (Hold, TP: SEK210.00) - Estimates cut due to FX

We are 3% below post-Q4 consensus on Q1e orders and adj. EBITA. We expect comments on demand to remain solid for Mining and soft for Infrastructure. Early trading remarks for daily order intake in SMM for the first few weeks of Q2 are likely to indicate a stable QOQ trend, but that overall short-cycle demand comments could be subdued given the uncertain macroeconomic picture. Having lowered our 2025–2027e adj. EBITA by 9% on average (mainly due to FX), we reiterate our HOLD, but have cut our tar...

Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Set for spicy growth

Our recent field trip to India (visiting Volvo, Epiroc, Trelleborg, Autoliv and others) alongside our analysis suggests the country is set to take centre stage as a global manufacturing hub over the coming decade, shifting from being the sixth- to the third-largest end-market for the Swedish Industrial sector. India’s strong economic growth trajectory and favourable demographics mean the companies: 1) see double-digit growth as sustainable; 2) are pursuing manufacturing capacity expansions; and ...

Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

The hard rock bustle

Our review of 12 major miners’ guidance suggests 6% YOY capex growth in 2025, with growth project capex up 23%. Copper remains a key investment priority, accounting for c35% of miners’ capex, driven by global megatrends and supply constraints. This is particularly supportive for our BUY names: Metso (32% copper exposure), Epiroc (28%), and FLSmidth (21%), while Sandvik (HOLD) also stands to benefit, although its large metal-cutting tools business reduces its direct copper exposure to 12%.

Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Who stands to benefit?

A potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine could unlock one of the largest reconstruction efforts in modern history. The World Bank estimates Ukraine will need USD486bn in rebuilding efforts over the next decade, but we estimate this would add only c2% to annual European construction spending. While the direct earnings effect may be modest, we expect the “rebuild Ukraine theme” to drive investor sentiment. We see Volvo, Epiroc, Hexagon, Metso, Hiab and ABB as some of the primary beneficia...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

ODDO : 2025 : potentiellement un meilleur cru que 2024

L’année 2025 verra, selon nous, une poursuite de la croissance du CA (5% estimé vs 1.5% en 2024e) et de l’amélioration de la marge (53 pb vs 14 pb en 2024e), à l’exception possible de quelques sociétés (marge optimisée ou risque lié aux hausses des droits de douane). Si quelques thématiques devraient rester inchangées (exposition USA, Green Capex, datacenters, etc), d’autres émergeront (construction, discrete automation) ou accélèreront (semiconducteurs) au cours de l’année. Dans ce contexte, no...

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