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FIMA Research
  • FIMA Research

Fima Daily Insight 10 May 2024

Please find enclosed our daily market report.Market CommentCroatia Shareholders of Croatia's Medika approve EUR 200 dividend per share (DIVY 2.8%) Varteks' bank account blocked over unpaid wages Croatia's trade gap widens 2.2% in Q1 Croatia's industrial PPI down 2% YoY in April Slovenia NLB bank plans to double assets, revenue and profit by the end of 2030 Romania MedLife reports 56% higher net profit in Q1’24 Digi has found a new ally to launch its mobile network in Spain Sa...

Research Team
  • Research Team
BRE MBANK SA
MOL MOL NYRT ... (+15)

WOOD Daily: MBK PW; OTP HB; MIL PW; CCC PW; DNP PW; EAT PW; MOL HB; M ...

HEADLINES: • mBank: solid 1Q24 results justify one of the top market valuations (1Q24 P/BV of 2.1x) POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 1Q24, keeps 2024E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 1Q24 results in line • CCC: 40% EBITDA beat in 1Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Dino: 2-7% EBITDA miss in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • AmRest: 1Q24 broadly in line with our forecasts, but below the consensus NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q24 results – EBITDA below expectations on maintenance NEUTRAL • MedLife: 1Q24 results poin...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Verbund : Positive points in the short term but uncertainties linger o...

>A publication in line with our forecasts - Yesterday morning, Verbund published Q1 2024 results in line with forecasts. EBITDA was € 883m (-9%) vs € 880m expected. Reported EBIT was also down to € 745m (-11.5%), in line with our estimate and attributable net profit was down to € 506m (-4%) vs € 513m forecast (ODDO BHF). The group experienced a far less favourable market price environment than last year with an average captured price on hydro of € 129.5/MWh (-31% y-o-...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Verbund : Du bon sur le court terme mais toujours des incertitudes sur...

>Une publication conforme à nos attentes - Verbund a publié hier matin des résultats T1 24 conformes aux prévisions. L'EBITDA ressort à 883 M€ (-9%) vs 880 M€ attendus. L'EBIT publié a également diminué à 745 M€ (-11.5%), en ligne avec nos estimations et le RNpg est en baisse à 506 M€ (-4%) contre 513 M€ attendus (ODDO BHF). Le groupe a connu un environnement de prix de marché beaucoup moins favorable que l'année dernière avec un prix capturé moyen sur l'hydroélectric...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Verbund : Results in line with expectation in all divisions

>Good set of result in all divisions - Verbund released its Q1 results this morning in line with forecast. EBITDA decreased by -9% to €  883m vs € 880m expected. The reported EBIT declined as well by -11.5% to € 745m bang in line with our forecast and the group net income was down 4% to € 506m vs € 513m expected (ODDO BHF). The group saw a much less favourable market price environment than last year with an average capture price on hydro of € 129.5/MWh (-31% y-o-y) bu...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Verbund : Results in line with expectation in all divisions

>Good set of result in all divisions - Verbund released its Q1 results this morning in line with forecast. EBITDA decreased by -9% to €  883m vs € 880m expected. The reported EBIT declined as well by -11.5% to € 745m bang in line with our forecast and the group net income was down 4% to € 506m vs € 513m expected (ODDO BHF). The group saw a much less favourable market price environment than last year with an average capture price on hydro of € 129.5/MWh (-31% y-o-y) bu...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BDX PW; EU Oil & Gas Monthly; BHW PW; PKO PW; MIL PW; CAR ...

HEADLINES: • Budimex: 1Q24 EBIT 13% above our forecast on solid gross margin, but broadly in line with the consensus POSITIVE • European oil and gas monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating • Bank Handlowy: to pay PLN 10/share dividend NEUTRAL • PKO BP: estimates cost of credit holidays extension at PLN 489m NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: expects a PLN 201-247m impact from the 2024E credit holidays extension for PLN mortgagors NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: April sales recover by 19.5% yoy POSITIVE • MOL: 1Q...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: VERBUND AG: Ergebnis Quartal 1/2024: Leicht rückläufige Erge...

EQS-News: VERBUND AG / Schlagwort(e): Quartalsergebnis VERBUND AG: Ergebnis Quartal 1/2024: Leicht rückläufige Ergebnisentwicklung trotz guter Wasserführung 08.05.2024 / 07:58 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. VERBUND blickt auf ein überaus erfolgreiches Jahr 2023 mit dem besten Ergebnis in der Unternehmensgeschichte zurück und startet als starkes, resilientes und gut positioniertes Unternehmen in das Jahr 2024. Die für das VERBUND-Ergebnis maßgeblichen energiewirtschaftlichen Werttreiber haben sich im Vergleich zu den H...

 PRESS RELEASE

EQS-News: VERBUND AG: Results for quarter 1/2024: slightly lower earni...

EQS-News: VERBUND AG / Key word(s): Quarter Results VERBUND AG: Results for quarter 1/2024: slightly lower earnings despite good water supply 08.05.2024 / 07:58 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. Having posted the best result in its history last year, VERBUND can look back on an extremely successful 2023 and is starting 2024 strong, resilient and well-positioned. However, the energy market value drivers that are key to VERBUND’s earnings have deteriorated compared to the highs of 2022. The second half of 2023 saw another sharp ...

Jonathan Lamb
  • Jonathan Lamb

European Oil and Gas Monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating

Refining margins retreated again in April, by USD 1.2/bbl, to USD 12.6/bbl, remaining about 40% higher than usual for the season. Petrol cracks continued their seasonal rising trend, but diesel weakened more. Polymer margins had a positive month, but olefins and aromatics saw their margins go the other way.

Mihaly Gajda
  • Mihaly Gajda

OMV exceeded market expectations in Q1 2024

Key Message OMV reported a clean CCS-based operating result of EUR 1,483 mn, marking a29% decrease YoY, but a 4% increase QoQ. This result is also considerablyabove the consensus estimate by 7%. With this result, OMV exceeded marketconsensus by 15%. The positive surprise was driven by the Chemicals(Petrochemistry) and Energy (E&P) segments, although the Fuels and Feedstocksegment performed below expectations.Key positives The most significant positive development is the recovery indicated by E...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 03/05/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.75 per share: Raising new equity to fund a high impact activity programme – ADX has raised A$13.5 mm of new equity priced at A$0.105 per share. One free-attaching option will be issued for evert two placement shares with an exercise price of A$0.15 per share and an expiry date of 08/05/2026. The proceeds from the raise will fund (1) the production testing of the 450 m gas column encountered at ...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

Santander : A robust start to 2024 and guidance confirmed

>Outperform rating maintained - Target price raised to € 5.5 (vs € 5.4) - Santander’s Q1 2024 results underpin our Outperform rating and lead us to increase our net profit estimates (+2% on average over the period 2024-2026e), due to a slightly more favourable stance on the top line trend. Our target price has thus been lifted to € 5.5 (vs € 5.4). The trend in the group’s operating performances remains broadly solid with the validation of the main financial targets se...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Steven Gould

Santander : Début d’année 2024 solide & guidances confirmées

>Opinion Surperformance maintenue – OC porté à 5.5 € (vs 5.4 €) - Les résultats T1 2024 de Santander viennent conforter notre opinion Surperformance et nous amènent à rehausser nos estimations de RN (+2% en moyenne sur la période 2024-26), en raison d’un biais un peu plus favorable notamment sur l’évolution de la topline. Notre OC est en conséquence porté à 5.5 € (vs 5.4 €). L’évolution des performances opérationnelles du groupe reste globalement solides avec une vali...

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