HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong delivery in 4Q24, due mainly to the lower costs booked POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 4Q24 EBIT 7% above our forecast; The Witcher 4 to be released after 2026E NEUTRAL • KazMunayGas: 4Q24 results – below expectations NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: earnings call takeaways – focus on flagship games’ monetisation improvement in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Eurowag: takeaways from the 2H24 earnings call NEUTRAL...
HEADLINES: • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 17% yoy, 8% above the consensus POSITIVE • Alior Bank: 2027E targets – PLN 2.6bn of net profit; ROE above 18%; payout ratio above 50% POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: mixed newsflow – solid 4Q24 adjusted EBITDA, strong dividend recommendation, but disappointing trading update POSITIVE • Eurowag: 2H24 operating results in line, special dividend announced NEUTRAL • Polish retail: Zabka's 4Q24 below the consensus NEGATIVE • CEZ: up...
EME Equity Market – February 2025 Poland outperforms, again; Türkiye declines. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.1% in EUR terms and 2.9% mom in USD terms in February. The Polish WIG20 was, once again, the best performer, adding 7.3% mom in February; followed by the Czech PX Index (+6.1% mom); while Greece (+3.8% mom), Hungary (+3.5% mom) and Romania (+3.0% mom) all reported rather similar performances. The Turkish ISE30 was the worst performer, declining 4.5% mom.
HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: surprises on the upside with 2024 delivery; guiding for 100% dividend payout ratio also for 2025E POSITIVE • ING BSK: solid 4Q24, but beat driven by low LLPs, while core revenues miss expectations; guiding for a solid DPS NEUTRAL • mBank: 2024 results; guiding for 2025E to be the last year with a material impact from the FX mortgage saga NEUTRAL • BRD-GSG: strong 4Q24 delivery beats expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Bank Handlowy: makes another impa...
EME Equity Market – January 2025 The markets entered 2025 on the right foot. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 7.7% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in January. The Polish WIG20 was the best performer (+12.7% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX and Czech PX indices (+8.9% mom and +6.2% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). There was also a very solid performance from the Greek ASE Index (+5.4% mom in EUR terms), but more muted performances from the Romanian BET and Turkish ISE 30 indices (+1.6%...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: 4Q24 results – a mixed bag NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (27 January-2 February) • Yapi Kredi: 4Q24 results and 2025E guidance highlights NEUTRAL • Polish TMT: Cyfrowy Polsat sells 10% stake in Asseco Poland for PLN 85/share POSITIVE • PZU: acting CEO Klesyk holds first capital markets conference • Richter: AbbVie’s 2025 Vraylar guidance USD 3.5bn, 8% below the consensus NEGATIVE • OMV: may acquire Nova Chemicals, with ADNOC (Borouge) POSITIVE • Piraeus Fin...
HEADLINES: • Elm: signs an agreement to acquire Thiqah for SAR 3.4bn POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: Investor Day takeaways NEUTRAL • Eurowag: solid 4Q24 results but slow growth and higher capex in 2025E NEGATIVE • PZU: appoints Andrzej Klesyk to the supervisory board • CCC: 4Q24E prelims preview - we expect 82% yoy EBITDA growth (due on 10 February, TBC) • Jeronimo Martins: 4Q24E results preview – we expect 2% yoy EBITDA erosion (due on 19 March)
HEADLINES: • Text: key takeaways from the 3Q24-25 preliminary earnings call NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: 4Q24 bookings down by 2% qoq, slight miss vs. our expectations NEUTRAL • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 4Q24 NEGATIVE • Polish media: CPS audience share at 22.72%, while WP TV at 0.72% in December 2024 NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: 4Q24E trading update preview – 5% yoy sales growth expected (due on 14 January) NEUTRAL
EME Equity Market – December 2024 A green December. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 2.9% in EUR terms and 0.8% in USD terms in December. The Greek ASE Index (+5.5% mom in EUR terms) was the best performer, followed closely by the Czech PX Index (+5.0% mom in EUR terms). Solid performances were also reported by the BET (+2.4% mom), BUX (+2.2% mom) and ISE 30 (+1.5% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). The Polish WIG 20 Index (+0.4% mom in EUR terms) reported a muted performance.
HEADLINES: • CEZ: government may try to include support for coal plants in draft gas bill NEUTRAL • Wizz Air: extends compensation agreement with PW until YE26 NEUTRAL • mBank: sees PLN 907m of FX mortgage saga costs in 4Q24E NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: update on increased fees in Wałbrzych for 2018 NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: agrees to acquire Invia Group for c.EUR 240m POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: December bookings estimate jumps by 18% mom, to USD 13m POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: December bookings estimat...
HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: strong FY 1H25 financial results; conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Kety: Roman Przybylski (current deputy CEO) to become new CEO NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: update on the US class action lawsuit regarding the technical solutions used by GOG NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: starts marketing campaign for Moonlighter 2 publishing project NEUTRAL • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2024 • 11 bit studios: postcard from Prague • Benefit Systems: postcard from Prague...
EME Equity Market – November 2024 Rebound in Türkiye, Romania hammered. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 3.8% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms in November. The Turkish ISE30 recouped the losses of the previous month, adding 10.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX added 4.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the PX (+2.9% mom), the ASE (+0.8% mom) and the WIG (+0.8% mom) (all in EUR terms). Following the first round of presidential elections, and the polemic and uncertainty that ensued, the BET ...
HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: HOLD, on valuation grounds (downgraded to HOLD) • Polish mobile game development: missing the growth, counting cash (Huuuge Games stays BUY, Ten Square Games stays HOLD) • PCF Group: 3Q24 EBIT in positive territory, above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: 3Q24 – miss on the adjusted EBITDA and bottom line NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: 3Q24 EBITDA 8% below our forecast, 5% above the consensus NEUTRAL • PGE: 3Q24 results fully in line with the prelim...
In this report, we maintain our BUY rating on Huuuge Games (HUG), with our 12M price target (PT) cut to PLN 24.8 (vs. PLN 34.6). For Ten Square Games (TEN), we reiterate our HOLD rating, having cut our 12M PT to PLN 83 (vs. PLN 100). On our revised down forecasts, both HUG and TEN offer significantly weaker earnings outlooks vs. their foreign peers (a 3Y adjusted EBITDA CAGR of -17% for HUG and -8% for TEN, vs. +6% for their peers, on the consensus). We mostly blame the low diversification (two ...
HEADLINES: • 11 bit studios: 3Q24 surprises slightly positively, but ytd Frostpunk 2 sales disappoint NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: small beat in 3Q24 – new Cioccolatitaliani franchise signed for Italy POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 3Q24 – flat RASK, CASKX up 14%; 27% lower EBIT, on 4% lower ASK (in line) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 3Q24 results and interim dividend NEUTRAL • OTE: 3Q24 results review – soft quarter, with flat yoy adjusted EBITDA, in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 3Q24 results N...
HEADLINES: • AmRest: 3Q24 in line, on a EUR 9m positive one-off NEGATIVE • Eurocash: 3Q24 weak, as expected; FY25E guidance cancelled NEGATIVE • cyber_Folks: 3Q24 results review – 26% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 2% above our estimate POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 3Q24 EBITDA up 26% yoy, 22-28% above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • Allegro: 3Q24 EBITDA beat, but yoy decline guided for 4Q24E, due to international operations NEUTRAL • Vercom: 3Q24 results - 28% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with ou...
HEADLINES: • Otokar: weak set of 3Q24 results NEGATIVE • Piraeus Financial Holdings: 3Q24 highlights – decent quarter, with revised guidance POSITIVE • Brisa: profitability should return in 4Q, on October price hikes NEUTRAL • Elm: strong 3Q24 financial results POSITIVE • Jahez: strong 3Q24 results POSITIVE • Alkaloid AD Skopje: strong 3Q24 sales and a qoq margin rebound POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (28 October-3 November) • Magyar Telekom: reaches agreement with the trade uni...
HEADLINES: • Footshop (FTSHP CP): a sneakerhead’s dream – soft coverage (NOT RATED) • Poland macro: weaker consumption boosts prospects for early rate cuts • Sarantis: 3Q trading update in line, FY24E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB signals a longer pause • PKO BP: CEO Midera gives the gist of key strategic directions in Puls Biznesu interview NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: Wakacje.pl and Itaka extend cooperation NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: 9M24 trading update preview (due ou...
HEADLINES: • Otokar: Romania selects Otokar for its giant military vehicle project POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: UKE has launched the 700/800MHz auction NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: 3Q24 bookings up 6% qoq POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: 3Q24 bookings down 7% qoq NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: takes over the Attiki Odos road concession, all eyes now on Egnatia POSITIVE • CEZ: has reportedly contracted an order for a 70MW PV plant POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: higher corporate tax rate approved by the government NEGATIVE •...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: summer traffic in line, but consensus seems too bullish on earnings • Benefit Systems: net additions of 20k sport cards in 3Q24 POSITIVE • PCF Group: earnings call takeaways - Echo to be smaller than the other WFH projects NEUTRAL • Polish consumer staples: Netto plans to open 350 discount stores in Poland by 2028E NEGATIVE • 11 bit studios: delays the release of The Alters to 1Q25E NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: September bookings estimate up 10% mom, but flat for the flagship ...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.