reports
- John Zolidis
Restaurant Industry EPS Upside/ Downside Forecast & ROIC Analysis
This report summarizes ROIC trends at the unit and corporate level for 16 companies in the industry that primarily operate their own restaurants. We further break out new unit ROIC from average unit ROIC. This work in turn is used as a forecasting tool and we rank expected upside or downside to Street expectations for the balance of the year. Companies included in the report: BJRI, CAKE, CBRL, CHUY, CMG, DFRG, EAT, NDLS, HABT, PLAY, RRGB, SBUX, TACO, TXRH, YUMC and ZOES
ZOES ZOES KITCHEN INC
TXRH TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC.
TACO DEL TACO RESTAURANTS INC.
SBUX STARBUCKS CORPORATION
RRGB RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS INC.
PLAY DAVE & BUSTER'S ENTERTAINMENT INC.
NDLS NOODLES & COMPANY
EAT BRINKER INTERNATIONAL INC.
DFRG DEL FRISCO'S RESTAURANT GROUP
CHUY CHUY'S HOLDINGS INC.
CBRL CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY STORE INC.
CAKE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INCORPORATED
BJRI BJ'S RESTAURANTS INC.
CMG CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC.
YUMC YUM CHINA HOLDINGS INC.
- John Zolidis
SHAK SHAKE SHACK INC. CLASS A
ZOES ZOES KITCHEN INC
TXRH TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC.
TACO DEL TACO RESTAURANTS INC.
SBUX STARBUCKS CORPORATION
RRGB RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS INC.
PLAY DAVE & BUSTER'S ENTERTAINMENT INC.
EAT BRINKER INTERNATIONAL INC.
DFRG DEL FRISCO'S RESTAURANT GROUP
CHUY CHUY'S HOLDINGS INC.
CBRL CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY STORE INC.
CAKE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INCORPORATED
BJRI BJ'S RESTAURANTS INC.
CMG CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC.
- John Zolidis
The Restaurant Recession is Over
In this report we discuss current trends in the restaurant industry and implications for stock price performance. In particular we look at sales trends, which have been accelerating. We also analyze restaurant level margin trends for each of the 15 names we follow closely in the group. We conclude by picking whih restaurant names we believe still have upside and those where we would still be cautious.
ZOES ZOES KITCHEN INC
TXRH TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC.
TACO DEL TACO RESTAURANTS INC.
SBUX STARBUCKS CORPORATION
RRGB RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS INC.
PLAY DAVE & BUSTER'S ENTERTAINMENT INC.
EAT BRINKER INTERNATIONAL INC.
DFRG DEL FRISCO'S RESTAURANT GROUP
CHUY CHUY'S HOLDINGS INC.
CBRL CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY STORE INC.
CAKE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INCORPORATED
BJRI BJ'S RESTAURANTS INC.
CMG CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC.
Zoës Kitchen to Announce First Quarter 2018 Results on May 24, 2018
PLANO, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Zoe’s Kitchen, Inc. (“Zoës Kitchen”) (NYSE:ZOES) today announced that it will host a conference call to discuss its first quarter 2018 financial results on Thursday, May 24, 2018 at 4:30 PM Eastern Time. A press release with first quarter 2018 financial results will be issued that same day, shortly after the market close. Hosting the conference call will be Kevin Miles, Chief Executive Officer and President, and Sunil Doshi, Chief Financial Officer. The conference call can be accessed live over...
Zoës Kitchen Enhances ZK Rewards Loyalty Program
PLANO, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Zoës Kitchen (NYSE: ZOES), a fast-casual Mediterranean restaurant group, announced today enhancements to ZK Rewards, its omnichannel loyalty program that launched late 2017. In recognition of the company’s iconic stripes used as part of its brand identity, the loyalty program will now comprise of a points-based program that gives guests the chance to earn “ZK Stripes.” Guests will receive a stripe for every dollar spent in exchange for rewards in addition to its surprise and delight offers. The new rewa...
- John Zolidis
Updated Restaurant Industry Unit and Corporate ROIC and Expected Earni...
In this report, we present our signature analysis of the industry. We break apart and estimate ROIC trends for new units, average units and at the corporate level. We identify which companies are showing improving, deteroirating or inflecting trends, as well as those that appear to be stable. We summarize for each company in the group whether we believe current consensus estimates reflect these trends and the factors behind them and provide our opinon on names to buy or sell. Companies discu...
SHAK SHAKE SHACK INC. CLASS A
ZOES ZOES KITCHEN INC
TXRH TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC.
TACO DEL TACO RESTAURANTS INC.
SBUX STARBUCKS CORPORATION
RRGB RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS INC.
PLAY DAVE & BUSTER'S ENTERTAINMENT INC.
EAT BRINKER INTERNATIONAL INC.
DFRG DEL FRISCO'S RESTAURANT GROUP
CHUY CHUY'S HOLDINGS INC.
CBRL CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY STORE INC.
CAKE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INCORPORATED
BJRI BJ'S RESTAURANTS INC.
CMG CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC.
Zoës Kitchen Introduces Baked Falafel and New Mediterranean Family Di...
PLANO, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Zoës Kitchen (NYSE: ZOES), a fast-casual Mediterranean restaurant group, today announced the launch of new menu offerings, including baked falafel, a new gluten-free and vegan protein option, and three new Mediterranean Family Dinners. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20180301005551/en/ Moroccan Citrus Roasted Chicken - Zesty pan roasted whole chicken seasoned with bright Mediterranean herbs and spices including cinnamon, clove, turmeric and gi...
- Jonathan Moreland
1A80 ACCELERATE DIAGNOSTICS INC.
PE PARSLEY ENERGY INC. CLASS A
ZOES ZOES KITCHEN INC
UEPS NET 1 U.E.P.S. TECHNOLOGIES INC.
TTSH TILE SHOP HOLDINGS INC.
TICC OXFORD SQUARE CAPITAL CORP
REG REGENCY CENTERS CORPORATION
PSEC PROSPECT CAPITAL CORPORATION
IVAC INTEVAC INC.
HCAP HARVEST CAPITAL CREDIT CORP
HASI HANNON ARMSTRONG SUSTAINABLE INFRASTRUCTURE CAPITAL INC.
ARRS ARRIS INTERNATIONAL PLC
AIMT AIMMUNE THERAPEUTICS INC
UVE UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC.
SLCA U.S. SILICA HOLDINGS INC.
CBB CINCINNATI BELL INC.
UHAL AMERCO
MLI MUELLER INDUSTRIES INC.
GCBC GREENE COUNTY BANCORP INC.
PI IMPINJ INC.
CLCT COLLECTORS UNIVERSE INC.
ANDX ANDEAVOR LOGISTICS LP
VRME VERIFYME
XTNT XTANT MEDICAL HOLDINGS
THMG THUNDER MOUNTAIN GOLD INC.
TMUS T MOBILE USA
Zoës Kitchen Announces Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2017 Results
PLANO, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Zoe's Kitchen, Inc. ("Zoës Kitchen" or the "Company") (NYSE:ZOES) today reported financial results for the twelve and fifty-two weeks ended December 25, 2017. Highlights for the twelve weeks ended December 25, 2017, as compared to the twelve weeks ended December 26, 2016: Total revenue increased 15.2% to $71.4 million. Comparable restaurant sales increased 0.3%. Five new Company-owned restaurants opened. Loss from operations ...
- John Zolidis
Restaurant Industry: Analysis of Exposure to Labor Pressure
In this report we examine trends in labor as a percentage of sales for 14 companies in the restaurant industry. We calcuate deleverage of labor by company over the past two years. We forecast estimated deleverage in 2018. We call out which companies are experiencing the greatest pressure and disucss the reasons behind this. We also compare our forecasts to consensus and draw investment conclusions based on expected revisions trends for the group. Companies included are BJRI CAKE CBRL CHUY C...
SHAK SHAKE SHACK INC. CLASS A
ZOES ZOES KITCHEN INC
TXRH TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC.
TACO DEL TACO RESTAURANTS INC.
SBUX STARBUCKS CORPORATION
RRGB RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS INC.
PLAY DAVE & BUSTER'S ENTERTAINMENT INC.
DFRG DEL FRISCO'S RESTAURANT GROUP
CHUY CHUY'S HOLDINGS INC.
CBRL CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY STORE INC.
CAKE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INCORPORATED
BJRI BJ'S RESTAURANTS INC.
CMG CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC.
Zoës Kitchen to Announce Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2017 Results ...
PLANO, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Zoe’s Kitchen, Inc. (“Zoës Kitchen”) (NYSE:ZOES) today announced that it will host a conference call to discuss its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2017 financial results on Thursday, February 22, 2018 at 4:30 PM Eastern Time. A press release with fourth quarter and fiscal year 2017 financial results will be issued that same day, shortly after the market close. Hosting the conference call will be Kevin Miles, Chief Executive Officer and President, and Sunil Doshi, Chief Financial Officer. The co...
- John Zolidis
Unit & Corporate ROIC Industry Overview
In this report, we add estimated ROIC metrics for BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI) to our peer comparison. We examine estimates ROIC at the unit level and at the corporate level. We discuss how our metholodgy for these estimates, which are produced via the same metholodgy and approach and intended to create and apples-to-apples comparison. We also look briefly at trends in ROIC and discuss where returns are getting better or worse for each company. Lastly, we compare valuation, growth, profitab...
SHAK SHAKE SHACK INC. CLASS A
ZOES ZOES KITCHEN INC
TXRH TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC.
TACO DEL TACO RESTAURANTS INC.
SBUX STARBUCKS CORPORATION
RRGB RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS INC.
PLAY DAVE & BUSTER'S ENTERTAINMENT INC.
CHUY CHUY'S HOLDINGS INC.
CBRL CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY STORE INC.
CAKE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INCORPORATED
BJRI BJ'S RESTAURANTS INC.
CMG CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC.
Zoës Kitchen Unveils New Prototype Restaurant in Raleigh, N.C.
PLANO, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Zoës Kitchen (NYSE: ZOES), a fast-casual Mediterranean restaurant group, announced the opening of its new restaurant prototype design in Raleigh, N.C., tomorrow, January 16, 2018. Located at 6004 Falls of Neuse Road, Suite 100, the prototype includes a variety of new features designed to enhance guests’ dining experience, provide more convenience offerings and appeal more broadly to dinner guests. The company held a private preview party last week to unveil the new space. This press release features mult...
Zoës Kitchen to Participate in the 20th Annual ICR Conference
PLANO, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Zoe’s Kitchen, Inc. (“Zoës Kitchen”) (NYSE:ZOES) today announced that Kevin Miles, President and Chief Executive Officer and Sunil Doshi, Chief Financial Officer will participate in the 20th Annual ICR Conference at the Grande Lakes Orlando Resort in Florida. Zoës’ presentation will take place on Tuesday, January 9, 2018 at 11:30 AM Eastern Time, and will be webcast live and archived on the Zoës’ website. To access the webcast, please visit www.zoeskitchen.com under the “Investor Relations” tab...
- John Zolidis
Restaurant Industry Unit & Corporate Level ROIC Analysis & Forecasts
In this report, our signature analysis, we evaluate ROIC trends at new units, average restaurants and at the corporate level for 12 companies in the industry. We subsequently use this work to discuss trends at each respective company and our conclusions in terms of which restaurants can achieve or cannot achieve consensus earnings expectations for 2018. We quantify expected varience in results vs. consensus and give our opinion on names to buy and sell in the space. Companies included are BWL...
SHAK SHAKE SHACK INC. CLASS A
ZOES ZOES KITCHEN INC
TXRH TEXAS ROADHOUSE INC.
TACO DEL TACO RESTAURANTS INC.
SBUX STARBUCKS CORPORATION
RRGB RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS INC.
PLAY DAVE & BUSTER'S ENTERTAINMENT INC.
CHUY CHUY'S HOLDINGS INC.
CBRL CRACKER BARREL OLD COUNTRY STORE INC.
CAKE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INCORPORATED
CMG CHIPOTLE MEXICAN GRILL INC.
Zoës Kitchen Kicks Off Holiday Season with Gift Card Program Benefitt...
PLANO, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Zoës Kitchen (NYSE:ZOES), a fast-casual Mediterranean restaurant group, today announced its holiday gift card program benefitting No Kid Hungry, a nonprofit organization that is ending childhood hunger in America. For every $25 gift card sold now through December 31, Zoës Kitchen will donate enough for No Kid Hungry to connect kids in need to 25 nutritious meals. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20171128005633/en/ For every $25 gi...
Zoës Kitchen Launches Employee Support Program - The Goodness Fund™
PLANO, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Zoës Kitchen (NYSE: ZOES), a fast-casual Mediterranean restaurant group, announced today the launch of The Goodness Fund, a charitable program that provides monetary grants to Zoës Kitchen team members experiencing unforeseen emergencies that they are not financially prepared to deal with, such as serious illness, natural disaster, and other grave challenges. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20171116006066/en/ “As a people-fi...
Zoës Kitchen Announces Third Quarter 2017 Results
PLANO, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Zoe's Kitchen, Inc. ("Zoës Kitchen" or the "Company") (NYSE: ZOES) today reported financial results for the twelve and forty weeks ended October 2, 2017. Highlights for the twelve weeks ended October 2, 2017, as compared to the twelve weeks ended October 3, 2016: Total revenue increased 15.7% to $77.9 million inclusive of an estimated $1.1 million of negative revenue impact related to Hurricanes Harvey and Irma. Comparable restaurant sales decreased 0...
Zoës Kitchen Offers Guests an Extra Taste of the Mediterranean with H...
PLANO, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Zoës Kitchen (NYSE:ZOES), a fast-casual Mediterranean restaurant group, today announced the launch of its Win A Trip To The Mediterranean Sweepstakes. The sweepstakes offers one lucky winner and a guest the opportunity to indulge in all that the Mediterranean has to offer for six days and five nights with first class accommodations in Athens and Rome. This press release features multimedia. View the full release here: http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20171103005237/en/ Win a Trip to the Mediterran...
Zoës Kitchen to Announce Third Quarter 2017 Results on November 9, 20...
PLANO, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Zoe’s Kitchen, Inc. (“Zoës Kitchen”) (NYSE:ZOES) today announced that it will host a conference call to discuss its third quarter 2017 financial results on Thursday, November 9, 2017 at 4:30 PM Eastern Time. A press release with third quarter 2017 financial results will be issued that same day, shortly after the market close. Hosting the conference call will be Kevin Miles, Chief Executive Officer and President, and Sunil Doshi, Chief Financial Officer. The conference call can be accessed live ...
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