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Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Siam Cement (SCC TB) - 4Q25: The Worst Quarter With The Largest Net Lo...

Company Results | Siam Cement (SCC TB/BUY/Bt216.00/Target: Bt250.00) SCC reported a net loss of Bt3.69b in 4Q25, with losses increasing both qoq and yoy, mainly due to impairment losses and stock losses. Core earnings in 4Q25 also turned to a loss, driven by larger losses in the petrochemical business. SCC announced a 2H25 dividend of Bt2.50/share. We expect core earnings to recover qoq in 1Q26, supported by the cement and packaging businesses. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt250.00.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+2)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul

Thailand Daily - Thursday, January 29, 2026

Top Stories Company Results | Siam Cement (SCC TB/BUY/Bt216.00/Target: Bt250.00) SCC reported a net loss of Bt3.69b in 4Q25, with losses increasing both qoq and yoy, mainly due to impairment losses and stock losses. Core earnings in 4Q25 also turned to a loss, driven by larger losses in the petrochemical business. SCC announced a 2H25 dividend of Bt2.50/share. We expect core earnings to recover qoq in 1Q26, supported by the cement and packaging businesses. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt250.00. ...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+14)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, January 29, 2026

Greater China Company Results | New Oriental Education (EDU US/BUY/US$58.95/Target: US$68.00) EDU delivered a solid 2QFY26 results beat. Revenue grew 15% yoy to US$1,191m, 3% higher than our and consensus estimates. Non-GAAP net profit came in at US$73m, beating our and consensus estimates by 27-30% due to ongoing prudent cost control, while net margin expanded 2ppt yoy to 6% for 2QFY26. EDU expects 3QFY26 revenue to grow at an intact 11-14% yoy to US$1,313.2m-1,348.7m, in line with consensus fo...

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Siam Cement (SCC TB) - 4Q25 Earnings Are Expected To Remain In A Net L...

Company Update | Siam Cement (SCC TB/BUY/Bt199.00/Target: Bt250.00) We expect SCC to post a net loss of Bt3.2b in 4Q25, widening both qoq and yoy, driven by impairment charges and inventory losses. Core earnings are projected to turn to a loss in 4Q25, reflecting deeper losses in the petrochemical business. We estimate a 2H25 dividend of Bt2.50/share. Looking ahead, core earnings in 1Q26 are expected to recover qoq, supported by the cement and packaging business. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt2...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+2)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Thailand Daily - Monday, January 12, 2026

Top Stories Company Update | Siam Cement (SCC TB/BUY/Bt199.00/Target: Bt250.00) We expect SCC to post a net loss of Bt3.2b in 4Q25, widening both qoq and yoy, driven by impairment charges and inventory losses. Core earnings are projected to turn to a loss in 4Q25, reflecting deeper losses in the petrochemical business. We estimate a 2H25 dividend of Bt2.50/share. Looking ahead, core earnings in 1Q26 are expected to recover qoq, supported by the cement and packaging business. Maintain BUY. Targ...

Audrey Celia ... (+16)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kai Jie Tang
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, January 12, 2026

Greater China Economics | Inflation December CPI inflation rose to 0.8% yoy (+0.1ppt mom), the strongest reading ytd, with a sharp rebound in food prices. Core CPI remained at 1.2% yoy, the highest level for 2025, with goods inflation strengthening further while services inflation continued to ease slightly. PPI deflation moderated to 1.9% yoy (+0.3ppt mom), supported by improvements in mining and consumer goods pricing. Overall, the data suggests tentative price stabilisation, although defl...

Audrey Celia ... (+18)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, October 30, 2025

Greater China Company Results | Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH/BUY/Rmb80.80/Target: Rmb89.50) FII registered a stellar quarter, with net profit beating our and consensus estimates on stronger-than-expected margins. Top-line lagged our expectations, likely due to differences in product mix, and also the reason behind margins remaining elevated despite the product ramp-up of the lower-margin GB200 NVL72 racks. With the recent checks continuing to point towards a much stronger-than-expected...

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Siam Cement (SCC TB) - 3Q25: Posts Larger-than-expected 3Q25 Net Loss;...

Company Results | Siam Cement (SCC TB/BUY/Bt207.00/Target: Bt290.00) SCC reported a net loss of Bt669m in 3Q25, larger than both our and the consensus forecasts, mainly due to substantial inventory losses. The weak 3Q25 performance reflected seasonal factors and continued softness in olefins spreads. However, we expect earnings to return to a profit in 4Q25, supported by stronger performance from the cement and packaging businesses. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt290.00.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+3)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Thailand Daily: Thursday, October 30, 2025

Top Stories Company Results | Siam Cement (SCC TB/BUY/Bt207.00/Target: Bt290.00) SCC reported a net loss of Bt669m in 3Q25, larger than both our and the consensus forecasts, mainly due to substantial inventory losses. The weak 3Q25 performance reflected seasonal factors and continued softness in olefins spreads. However, we expect earnings to return to a profit in 4Q25, supported by stronger performance from the cement and packaging businesses. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt290.00. Company U...

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Aeon Thana Sinsap (Thailand) (AEONTS TB) - 2QFY26: Results In Line; C...

Highlights • AEONTS posted a 2QFY26 net profit of Bt792m, down 4% yoy but up 3% qoq, • Credit costs and NPL ratio rose qoq. • Maintain BUY on AEONTS with a target price of Bt140.00.

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Siam Cement (SCC TB) - Expected To Swing Back To A Net Loss In 3Q25

Highlights • We expect SCC to post a net loss again in 3Q25. • Cement price increases are expected to persist through to early-26. • Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt290.00/share in 2026.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+2)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Thailand Daily - Thursday, October 09 , 2025

Top Stories Company Results | Aeon Thana Sinsap (Thailand) (AEONTS TB/BUY/Bt118.50/Target: Bt140.00) AEONTS posted a 2QFY26 net profit of Bt792m, down 4% yoy but up 3% qoq, in line with our and consensus expectations. The company reported a gain on sale of written-off receivables of Bt102m in 2QFY26, down 41% yoy. Credit costs and NPL ratio rose qoq in 2QFY26. AEONTS has announced an interim dividend of Bt2.95/share, same as that of Oct 24. Maintain BUY on AEONTS with a target price of Bt140.00...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+10)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Joyce Chu
  • Kate Luang
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Lester Siew
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, October 9, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | China Banking We take a closer look at the rapidly-growing financial investments, which now account for 21% of total banking assets. The shift in asset mix has been driven by the increasing supply of government bonds and sluggish loan demand, while bond trading income has become more prominent amid the bullish bond market. However, we expect interest rates to become more volatile going forward, posing downside risks to banks if a sharp rate reversal occurs. Maintain...

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Siam Cement (SCC TB) - LSP Plant Operating Smoothly

Highlights • LSP has started operations and can achieve breakeven at the cash cost level. LSPE is progressing according to plan, with CODs by the end of 2027. • SCGC is expected to be listed on the SET in 2028. • Maintain BUY with a rolled-over SOTP-based target of Bt290.00 in 2026.

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Thailand Daily - Monday, September 22, 2025

Top Stories Company Update | Siam Cement (SCC TB/BUY/Bt224.00/Target: Bt290.00) The LSP project in Vietnam started operations on 20 August with a 90% utilisation rate and can achieve breakeven at a cash cost of around US$350/tonne. The LSPE project is expected to be completed by the end of 2027. We are positive on this as it helps reduce costs by using ethane instead of naphtha and increases feedstock sourcing flexibility. SCGC is expected to be listed on the SET in 2028 after the LSPE is co...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+7)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Singapore Research Team

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, September 22, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | Internet Following the release of 2Q25 results, the market has started to re-value AI-related and ad-tech upgrade themes. The AI theme garnered the most interest, attributable to: a) re-accelerated cloud revenue growth, b) the emergence of AI agents, c) broader AI application, and d) development of self-sufficient chips. Potential beneficiaries of the AI theme poised for continuous re-rating include Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu. Tongcheng could see robust travel ...

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Siam Cement (SCC TB) - 2Q25: Core Earnings Below Our And Consensus Exp...

SCC recorded strong qoq and yoy growth in net profit for 2Q25, mainly supported by substantial one-time gains. Stripping out these gains, core earnings came in below our and consensus estimates by 27% and 17% respectively. Core earnings improved qoq, driven by recoveries at SCGC and SCGP, and lower financing costs following debt repayment using the one-time gains. We have revised up our core earnings projections for 2025-26. Upgrade to BUY. Target price: Bt240.00.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+2)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul

Thailand Daily: Thursday, July 31, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Food Poultry operators stand out as key winners from trade deal tailwinds. Results Siam Cement (SCC TB/BUY/Bt207.00/Target: Bt240.00) 2Q25: Core earnings below our and consensus expectations, but 2H25 earnings improve hoh. Upgrade to BUY. Update COM7 (COM7 TB/BUY/Bt21.10/Target: Bt29.50) 2Q25 results preview: Solid growth expected.

Audrey Celia ... (+16)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Ming San Soong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, July 31, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Bi-Weekly: Expecting strong 1H25 results. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH/BUY/Rmb277.09 /Target: Rmb390.00) 2Q25: Earnings in line, with margins hitting record-high levels. Maintain A-share at BUY. Downgrade H-share to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$44.37/Target: US$55.00) ...

Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish

Siam Cement (SCC TB) - 2Q25 Net Profit Expected To Recover qoq

We expect SCC to post a 2Q25 net profit of approximately Bt2.2b, up 103% qoq, driven by a recovery in both the petrochemical and packaging businesses. This estimate does not yet include potential one-time gains, such as the recognition of negative goodwill from CAP acquiring the Shell refinery complex in Singapore, or gains from the sale of CAP shares in early-June. As for the LSP project, SCC’s management expects operations to resume by the end of 3Q25. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt160.00.

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