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Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK): Decelerated sell-through in 3Q2...

In 3Q24, the core Xtep brand recorded mid-single-digit retail sell-through growth, weaker than management’s expectation. Although there has been a sequential improvement in business operations qtd, the company deems it challenging to achieve the full-year revenue target. Inventory and discount remained healthy. Management intends to prioritise inventory and profit rather than pursuing fast retail sell-through growth, expecting improved discounts for this year’s Double 11. Maintain BUY. Target pr...

Colin Lee ... (+8)
  • Colin Lee
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Thursday, October 24, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$314.80/Target: HK$364.00) HKEX reported a 6.5% yoy earnings growth in 3Q24 after a sharp increase in headline ADT following the rollout of stimulus packages by China in late-September. Although market velocity has normalised, ADT remains elevated, and NII could be more resilient going forward, suggesting more upside for earnings. The risk-to-reward ratio is more balanced now after the recent correction as HKEX is trading ...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+15)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, October 24, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/BUY/HK$314.80/Target: HK$364.00) 3Q24: Risk-and-reward is more balanced. Upgrade to BUY. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/HOLD/Rmb24.42/Target: Rmb22.70) 3Q24: Net profit misses, but visibility of recovery improving. Downgrade to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$62.15/Target: US$85.00) 1QFY25: In line; moderated growth outlook in 2QFY25 on low seasonality. Update Xtep International Holdings (...

Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: Golden Week -- Tourism and home appliances the...

China consumer stocks under our coverage have rebounded by 33% on average since end-Sep 24, but current valuations are still undemanding. With direct policy support and a potential wealth effect, we believe China consumers are restoring their confidence. China consumer companies should see better earnings visibility in 2024, which should support further re-rating. We suggest investors refocus on the China theme in the near term. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Mengniu and Midea. Maintai...

Jonathan Koh ... (+9)
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, October 09, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Golden Week: Tourism and home appliances the bright spots; refocus on China theme. Internet Government policy rollout to boost consumption and drive valuation repair. Update Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK/HOLD/HK$340.80/Target: HK$355.00) Further valuation re-rating requires more sustainable AD...

02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
002230 IFLYTEK CO. LTD. CLASS A
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
600872 JONJEE HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
03690 MEITUAN CLASS B
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
MUST MANULIFE US REAL ESTATE INV
00780 TONGCHENG-ELONG HOLDINGS LIMITED
TGIF 1933 INDUSTRIES
2013 WEIMOB INC
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
OXMU PRIME US REIT
09618 JD.COM INC. CLASS A
KORE KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
BUKA BUKALAPAK.COM PT TBK
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
TSVT 2SEVENTY BIO INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
Z29 029 GROUP SE
09961 CTRIP.COM INTERNATIONAL
ITMAX ITMAX SYSTEMS BHD
Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: Mid-Autumn Festival: Strongest tourism and dut...

For Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, tourism, duty-free shopping and home appliance consumption were the bright spots. Domestic tourism and duty-free shopping had the strongest recovery among mini breaks this year. For the home appliance sector, trade-in policies are beginning to stimulate consumer demand. We prefer companies that: a) are disciplined in business operation; b) have good prospects in overseas business; and c) maintain healthy inventories. We prefer Anta, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea...

Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: 2Q24/1H24 results wrap-up: Lowered expectation...

After the 2Q24/1H24 results, we are now more cautious on China’s consumer sector. For consumer discretionary, domestic operations were impacted by weak offline traffic. Companies remained concrete on overseas expansion and became more disciplined on cost control to protect the margin level amid the slower top-line growth. For consumer staple, we observed slower product mix upgrade. Companies adopted proactive shipment control to manage channel inventories. Operating efficiency improvement became...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+9)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Ken Lee
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, September 13, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales rebound by 14.7% yoy, beating estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV, and Geely. Top SELL: GAC. Consumer 2Q24/1H24 results wrap-up: Lowered expectations; disciplined operations matter. INDONESIA Update Sido Muncul (SIDO IJ/BUY/Rp680/Target: Rp900) ...

MAJOR MAJOR CINEPLEX GROUP PCL
600690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS A
02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
300014 EVE ENERGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
SIDO INDUSTRI JAMU DAN FARMASI SI
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
IOIPG IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Xtep (1368 HK): 1H24: Results in line; lower revenue expectation for 2...

Retail sales of the core Xtep brand saw a slight increase in the offline channel, and rose >20% yoy in the online channel during Jul-Aug 24. Management now expects a lower revenue growth this year, which we estimate to be in the mid to high single digit. However, given: a) strengthened expense control, b) proactive inventory and discount management, and c) narrowing of losses thanks to the divestiture of KP, management expects net profit to grow >20% yoy in 2024. Maintain BUY and target price of...

Damon Shen ... (+8)
  • Damon Shen
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, August 21, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$44.40/Target: HK$70.00) Kuaishou delivered a solid 2Q24 earnings beat. Revenue increased 12% yoy to Rmb31b, in line with consensus estimate. Gross profit margin improved 5ppt yoy to 55%. Non-IFRS profit for the period grew 74% yoy to Rmb4.7b, beating consensus forecast. Management guided a lukewarm 3Q24 revenue growth of 11-12% due to a subdued macro backdrop with earnings to exceed Rmb4b and in line with consensus estimate. Maintain...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+13)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Damon Shen
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, August 21, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$44.40/Target: HK$70.00): 2Q24: Solid earnings beat; strategic focus on AIGC monetisation. Poly Property Services (6049 HK/BUY/HK$25.25 /Target: HK$37.30): 1H24: Earnings in line on improved operational efficiency; expansion and cash generation capabilities weakened. Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK/HOLD/HK$13.12/Target: HK$14.00): 2Q24: Results in line; shifting focus to margin improvement amid soft macro environment. Downgrade to HOLD. ...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK): Weak offline sales in 1H24; mor...

The core Xtep brand’s offline sales performance in 1H24 was below management’s expectations, and the weak momentum has yet to recover. Management now has a more conservative tone on the full-year targets, expecting core Xtep brand to achieve >10% retail sell-through growth in 2024. The company also aims to slow down the store opening pace for the core Xtep brand, given the decline of same-store sales in 1H24. Maintain BUY and increase target price by 3% to HK$7.20 to reflect the KP divestiture.

Greater China Research Team ... (+4)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Friday, July 12, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$5.00/Target: HK$7.20) The core Xtep brand’s offline sales performance in 1H24 was below management’s expectations, and the weak momentum has yet to recover. Management now has a more conservative tone on the full-year targets, expecting core Xtep brand to achieve >10% retail sell-through growth in 2024. The company also aims to slow down the store opening pace for the core Xtep brand, given the decline of same-store sales in 1H24...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+10)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Philip Wong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Regional Morning Notes - Friday, July 12, 2024

GREATER CHINA Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$5.00/Target: HK$7.20): Weak offline sales in 1H24; more conservative tone on full-year targets. INDONESIA Update Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI IJ/BUY/Rp4,840/Target: Rp5,800): Focus on restructuring micro segment; to grow corporate segment instead. MALAYSIA Update Alpha IVF (ALPHA MK/BUY/RM0.315/Target: RM0.40): Alhaya is humming along nicely. Maintain BUY and target price of RM0.40. Malakoff Corporation (MLK MK/BUY/RM0.825/Target:...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: 618 overall GMV down 7% yoy. Channel shift to livestre...

2024’s 618 overall GMV was down by 7% yoy. By channel, livestreaming platforms continued to gain momentum, with GMV up 12% yoy, while the cosmetics category saw a significant shift towards livestreaming platforms. By brand, domestic cosmetics and sportswear brands recorded strong performances. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China’s consumer sector.

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Dragon Boat Festival: Consumer services, experiential ...

During the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, consumer services, experiential spending (eg tourism) and lower-tier cities continued to lead the growth. For China’s consumer sector, we keep Anta, CTGDF, Haidilao, Haier and Shenzhou as our most preferred stocks. At the same time, we add Miniso but remove CR Beer and Midea from the stock picks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China’s consumer sector.

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+10)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, June 12, 2024

GREATER CHINA Sector Consumer Dragon Boat Festival: Consumer services, experiential spending, and lower-tier cities lead growth. INDONESIA Update Vale Indonesia (INCO IJ/HOLD/Rp4,300/Target: Rp4,300) Issuance of new shares to complete the divestment process. MALAYSIA Sector Telecommunications 1Q24 earnings up 14% yoy on the back ...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Tourism and catering strong performances during the La...

During the Labour Day holiday, tourism and catering continued to record strong performances, while DF per capita spending showed a downward trend. We reiterate our key theses for the consumer sector, highlighting companies with: a) overseas expansion or turnaround prospects, b) upside potential of improving operating efficiency, or c) near-term catalysts. We keep Anta, CR Beer, CTGDF, Haidilao, Haier, Midea and Shenzhou as our most preferred stocks, but remove Galaxy from the stock picks. Mainta...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK): Expect double-digit% yoy growth...

The core Xtep brand recorded a high single-digit % yoy growth in retail sell-through in 1Q24, and the growth accelerated to double-digit% in April. With the high-base effect fading away, continuous new product launches, and quick orders from products launched in 1Q24, management expects retail sell-through to achieve double-digit% yoy growth in 2Q24 and 2024. Maintain BUY and target price of HKS7.00.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+7)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Friday, April 19, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile Weekly: PEV sales up 21% yoy/19% wow in the second week of April, in line. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top SELLs: BYD, Li Auto and XPeng. Top BUYs: CATL and Desay SV. Results Han’s Laser (002008 CH/HOLD/Rmb18.95/Target: Rm17.10) 4Q23: Misses expectations on operating expenses. Margin pressure may continue through 2024. Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$4.46/Target: HK$7.00) Expect double-digit% yoy growth in retail sell-through for 2Q24 and 2024....

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