We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed names and segments include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands China. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Greater China Sector Update | Consumer We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed segments and names include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include: Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands ...
At the NDR with Xtep in Thailand and Malaysia, management reiterated its full-year targets. It expects Saucony’s revenue to double by 2027 vs 2024, supported by 30-40 new store openings annually and robust same-store sales growth. Management highlighted that the core Xtep brand maintains strong price competitiveness through its mass-market series, particularly in Tier 3 and 4 cities where consumers are more price-sensitive. It expects inventory value to trend downward to below Rmb2b by year-end....
Top Stories Sector Update | China Property Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second‑hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance. Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% of 2019’s...
Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance. Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% o...
Highlights In 3Q25, the core Xtep brand achieved a low single-digit retail sell-through growth, with momentum in July-August stronger than that in September. By channel, online retail sell-through continued to outperform offline. The 11.11 pre-sale performance was in line with management’s expectations, and the overall discount level remained largely unchanged. In 3Q25, Saucony achieved >20% retail sell-through growth, but its online performance was dragged by operational adjustments. Manag...
We observed the following trends in holiday consumption: a) jewellery performed well on rising gold prices; b) retail and catering consumption was modest, with growth decelerating from that during the 2025 Spring Festival and Labour Day; c) specialty retail (duty-free) saw per capita spending improve; and d) consumers continued to show enthusiasm for tourism and leisure spending, with domestic long-haul travel and outbound travel gaining popularity. The lower-than-expected Macau visitor arrivals...
On 16 Sep 25, the Ministry of Commerce and eight other government departments jointly issued a plan to expand service consumption. This plan introduces 19 measures focusing on five areas. We highlight IP-related consumption and tourism as the two primary themes positioned to benefit the most. In addition, the government plans to optimise student vacation schedules by exploring the possibility of shortening winter and summer vacations while introducing spring and autumn vacations to increase the ...
In 2Q25/1H25, among 22 companies under our coverage, 9 beat / 7 inline or mixed / 6 missed. We observed: a) Deflation persists. b) Companies with more diversified product portfolios, along with product offerings ridding on the emerging consumption trends, stay constructive. c) Companies are expanding into new consumption channels. d) Sectors supported by monetised policy stimulus continue to demonstrate robust domestic sales in 3Q25. e) Companies are committed to enhancing shareholder returns. W...
Greater China Sector Updates | Consumer In 2Q25/1H25, among 22 companies under our coverage, 9 beat / 7 inline or mixed / 6 missed. We observed: a) Deflation persists. b) Companies with more diversified product portfolios, along with product offerings ridding on the emerging consumption trends, stay constructive. c) Companies are expanding into new consumption channels. d) Sectors supported by monetised policy stimulus continue to demonstrate robust domestic sales in 3Q25. e) Companies are c...
Xtep’s 1H25 revenue exceeded its full-year target of positive growth. Retail sellthrough demonstrated improved performance in July vs June, reinforcing our confidence that the company will achieve its full-year targets of positive revenue growth and over 10% net profit growth. Going forward, Saucony will further expand its lifestyle apparel and OG products, and Merrell will become the company’s next key focus for development in 1-2 years. Maintain BUY with target price at HK$8.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly Keeping an eye on JBM Healthcare’s upcoming marketing campaigns in 2H25. Results China Resources Building Materials Technology (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.92/Target: HK$2.30) CR Bldg Mat’s 1H25 earnings rose 85% yoy to Rmb306.7m, in line with expectations. Gross margin increased to 18.5% (+3.5ppt) on firmer cement ASP and cheaper coal. Cement volumes fell 12.6% yoy as pricing discipline took priority. Concrete sales rose 36% yoy on supply chain integration...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Small-Mid Cap Monthly: Keeping an eye on JBM Healthcare’s upcoming marketing campaigns in 2H25. Results China Resources Building Materials Technology (1313 HK/BUY/HK$1.92/Target: HK$2.30): 1H25: In line; cement margins rebound, concrete delivers growth. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company (3692 HK/BUY/HK$37.06/Target: HK$50.00): 1H25: Results beat; increases revenue growth guidance to high double-digit. Sino Biopharmaceutical (1177 HK/BUY/HK$7.91/Target: HK$10.50): 1H25: R...
The core Xtep brand recorded low single-digit retail sell-through growth in 2Q25, with momentum in Jul 25 improving from Jun 25. With new running product launches in 2H25, management is confident in achieving the full-year targets of revenue growth and over 10% net profit growth. For Saucony, its store expansion is expected to accelerate in 2H25. The company is on track to achieve its mid-term target of doubling Saucony’s revenue within three years. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$5.34/Target: HK$8.00) The core Xtep brand recorded low single-digit retail sell-through growth in 2Q25, with momentum in Jul 25 improving from Jun 25. With new running product launches in 2H25, management is confident in achieving the full-year targets of revenue growth and over 10% net profit growth. For Saucony, its store expansion is expected to accelerate in 2H25. The company is on track to achieve its mid-term target of dou...
GREATER CHINA Update Xtep International Holdings (1368 HK/BUY/HK$5.34/Target: HK$8.00) Confident in achieving full-year targets; Saucony on track to reach mid-term goal. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights Bank KB Bukopin (BBKP IJ/NOT RATED/Rp60) Turnaround hinges on CoF reduction. MALAYSIA Update Kuala Lumpur Kepong (KLK MK/HOLD/RM20.46/Target: RM20.50) We expect 3QFY25 results to come in flat qoq, supported by firmer plantation output and lower forex ...
During the Labour Day holiday (1-5 May), Macau's visitor arrivals significantly beat the government's expectation. Retail and catering sales showed a modest improvement in terms of yoy growth compared with the Chinese New Year holiday, while home appliance sales continued to benefit from the trade-in programme, with premium products demonstrating robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the China consumer sector. Our top picks include CR Beer, Mengniu, and Moutai.
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property Market watch around May holiday: New-home sales recovery weakens in Apr 25; the trend of Hong Kong resident travelling north remains strong. Sector Consumer Strong Macau visitations and robust home appliance sales during Labour Day Holiday. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target:...
In 1Q25, the core Xtep brand achieved a mid-single-digit retail sell-through growth, and the momentum has remained in line with management’s expectations month to date. The company maintains its targets of achieving positive revenue growth and a >10% net profit growth for 2025. For Saucony, management is confident of achieving 30-40% sales growth in 2025 and aims to double both the revenue and store efficiency over the next 3-5 years. Maintain BUY and target price of HK$8.00.
2024 results were in line. For 2025, Xtep targets positive revenue growth and >10% net profit growth, with potential upside if the consumption environment improves. It plans to transition the core Xtep brand to a DTC model, with 400-500 Xtep branded stores to be involved in 2H25-2026. Saucony is expected to achieve 30-40% sales growth in 2025 and to double the sales in three years. Maintain BUY; cut target price by 2% to HK$8.00.
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