HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q prelims in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Budimex: bids rank highest in two PSE tenders NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 4Q25 operational results NEUTRAL • Romania macro: positive news • OTE: Greek telecoms regulator launches public consultations on 900MHz and 1,800MHz spectrum POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells 283MW UK solar portfolio to Schroders Greencoat POSITIVE • Aselsan: strategic JV agreement with CSG POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on...
HEADLINES: • Santander BP: posts solid 4Q25 numbers; rebranding costs guidance in line; DPS of PLN 46 seems very feasible NEUTRAL • Polish media: CPS's audience share at 22.30%, while WP TV is at 0.57% in January 2026 NEUTRAL • Develia: management targets for 2026E close to our forecasts NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q25 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Jumbo: January sales +8% on easy comps; guiding for 5% sales growth and EUR 310-320m net earnings in 2026E NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong ...
Summary We leave our TP at 20.0 GBP and reiterate our Buy recommendation, reflecting the ongoing restructuring story. Following the fiscal Q3/26 conference call held on 29 January, we repeatedly concluded that the fruitful strategic overhaul is under way. The management is building back confidence, so that’s good news for value investors. The problem is that they have to manage high-capacity growth (+24% seats and +30% ASK) during fiscal Q2/27. Key question remains how the market will be able ...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Raiffeisen Bank International: preliminary 2025 results, and initial 2026E guidance • Budimex: consortium wins PLN 4bn PKP PLK Rail Baltica tender POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: 3Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA up 15% qoq (due on 20 March) • OMV: 4Q25E results preview (due on 4 February) NEUTRAL • Krka: preliminary 4Q25 revenues in line, but operating earnings miss NEGATIVE • Short News (HTO, ASELS)
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: 3Q FY26 – broadly in line NEUTRAL • CCC: profit warning – 4Q25 EBITDA down 50-60% yoy, FY25E guidance missed by 15% NEGATIVE • Allegro/InPost: Allegro raises delivery fees by c.4%, effective as of 2 March NEUTRAL • Budimex: extension of strategic options review process for FBSerwis until April 2026 NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: 4Q25E preview (due on 4 February) • OMV Petrom: 4Q25E results preview (due on 4 February) NEUTRAL • Titan: EUR 350m bond at 3.5% to fund M&A and...
HEADLINES: • Kazakhstan macro: untangling oil and policy tightening risks • Poland macro: retail sales rebound in December 2025 • Eurowag: 2025 trading update and FY26E guidance POSITIVE • Titan: to issue EUR 350m five-year senior unsecured notes NEUTRAL • Aselsan: new export wins in APAC and from NATO POSITIVE • Krka: preliminary 4Q25E results (due on 29 January)
We have downgraded Orlen to HOLD (from Buy), with a new price target (PT) of PLN 102.7 (from PLN 73.3), offering upside of -2.2%. For Orlen, 2025 was an annus mirabilis and the share price broke new records, so we see limited upside from here. Gas prices fell in 2025, lowering our expectations for upstream and supply EBITDA. Capex in 2025E was below plan, but we expect negative FCF in 2026-27E. Acquisitions and discoveries keep Orlen’s upstream segment on a growing trajectory, while the first of...
HEADLINES: • Shopper Park Plus: shopping for yield (HOLD – initiation of coverage) • Asseco Poland: incentive scheme for CEO announced NEUTRAL • PL telecoms: UKE approves the deregulation of Orange on the BSA and LLU markets NEUTRAL • Premier Energy: completion of the Hungarian acquisition NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: enters 40/60 JV with Tsakos for large hybrid RES project in Greece NEUTRAL • Türkiye macro: CBT delivers 100bp cut • Alior Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on 24 February)
In an interview with Bloomberg, Wizz Air’s CEO, Jozsef Varadi, has suggested that the airline may grow faster than the latest guidance implied, driven by the unparking of grounded aircraft and new aircraft deliveries. Bloomberg has reported that the CEO was suggesting that the airline may grow capacity by around 20% in FY26E yoy. We believe this is a misinterpretation of what the CEO meant, as it would require an unrealistic acceleration of capacity growth in the January-March period. We have re...
HEADLINES: • Poland macro: rates unchanged, and some positive news • Murapol: sells 767 and hands over 1,286 units in 4Q25 NEGATIVE • Pepco Group: 1Q26 revenues growth eases to 4% yoy; FY26E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • XTB S.A.: over 250k new clients in 4Q25 in sight NEUTRAL • PZU/Bank Pekao: merger uncertain even by end-4Q27E, according to the Minister of State Assets NEUTRAL • CTP: prices EUR 500m 4Y bond at 3.4%; leases space in Amsterdam to Crisp POSITIVE • Wizz Air: may grow capacity by ...
HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: bags new DIRCM contract from APAC POSITIVE • Zabka: 4Q25 trading update – sales +14.4% on lfl of 4.8%; FY adjusted EBITDA margin maintained at upper end of 12-13% range NEUTRAL • Develia: sells 3.3k units in 2025, at the top of the guided range NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 4Q25 revenue at USD 58.6m, down 5% yoy, but up 5% qoq POSITIVE • CEZ: informs customers about the cancelling of the RES surcharge NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: expands local Defence Hub f...
HEADLINES: • CEZ: government reiterates intention to seek full control of generation assets NEUTRAL • Text: key takeaways from the 3Q25-26 preliminary earnings call NEUTRAL • DataWalk: key takeaways from an interview with the CEO NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: December sales growth accelerates to 17.9% yoy POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 23.20%, while WP TV at 0.57% in December 2025 NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: 4Q25E trading update preview – 8% yoy sales growth expected...
EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).
A director at Astarta Holding N.V. bought 84,306 shares at 55.500PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years ...
HEADLINES: • Lamda Development: 3Q25 - malls and marinas steady, bond and land sale to boost liquidity • Kety: 4Q25 results and 2026E guidance conference call NEUTRAL • Orlen: to acquire butadiene plant at Plock, Poland, from Synthos NEGATIVE • PGE: to acquire a 350MW offshore project from RWE POSITIVE • Polish utilities: offshore auction results - minimum price at PLN 477/MWh POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: CNB extends the pause
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