HEADLINES: • Bank Millennium: 2Q25 results beat, on lower FX mortgage saga costs; core operating in line, but very solid levels NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 2Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 4% yoy, 3% above the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Tofas: 2Q25 results – in line operationally; 2025E guidance indicates higher profitability outlook POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: strong bottom-line delivery in 2Q25, ahead of expectations POSITIVE • Budimex: preliminary 2Q25 broadly in line with o...
HEADLINES: • Ukraine macro: notes on the economy and the reconstruction process • VIGO Photonics: 2Q25 sales down 11% yoy, to PLN 20.3m NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: refund of interest on the overpayment related to the 2017 waste disposal decision NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk to be released for Apple Macs tomorrow NEUTRAL • Sipchem: 2Q25E results preview (due on 21 July) NEUTRAL • Budimex: 2Q25E preview – EBIT up slightly, by 5% yoy (prelims due on 28 July) • Tupras: 2Q25E results preview (due on 29 Ju...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: MPC turns cautiously dovish on the fiscal package • Hungary macro: June inflation picks up further • Kruk: 2Q25 trading update shows a pick up in recoveries vs. 1Q25 NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 2Q25 revenue at USD 59m, down 7% yoy and 6% qoq NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: June sales growth at 10% yoy, implying 2Q25E revenue growth of also 10% yoy NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: 280k copies of The Alters sold NEUTRAL • Murapol: sells 708 apartments and hands over 289 units in...
HEADLINES: • Cimsa: on a path of growth and diversification (stays BUY) • EME Macro/Strategy: inflation – short- and medium-term forecasts • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (30 June-6 July) • Ten Square Games: 2Q25 bookings down 10% qoq, but slightly better than Sensor Tower's estimates NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2 anime series in production NEUTRAL • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 2Q25 NEUTRAL • Optima Bank SA: listing of new shares due to share split NEUTR...
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
HEADLINES: • Athens Exchange Group: Euronext bids for 100% all-share takeover POSITIVE • Wizz Air: June pax up by 10% yoy • Mo-BRUK: NSA verdicts on 2015 and 2017 increased fees NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 22.73%, while WP TV at 0.70% in June 2025 NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 2Q25E preview – flat EBITDAaL yoy expected (due on 28 July)
HEADLINES: • LPP: fire at Romanian warehouse causes temporary disruption in SEE operations; c.PLN 400m in assets destroyed (all insured) NEGATIVE • ADNOC Drilling: oilfield services awarded a five-year contract for hydraulic fracturing POSITIVE • Richter: European Commission approval for denosumab biosimilars NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: June Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: June Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: PLN 3.15/share...
HEADLINES: • Brisa: takeaways from the virtual CMD, and FY25E guidance • mBank: 2Q25 FX mortgage saga costs at PLN 539.6m NEUTRAL • Polish telecoms: T-Mobile Poland announces new 2P mobile & fibre bundle POSITIVE • Metlen: details of the 1-for-1 share exchange offer • Short News (CEZ)
HEADLINES: • LPP: beat vs. 1Q25 consensus expectations, slow start to 2Q, FY25E rollout plans cut to 1,200 stores POSITIVE • DO & CO: strong 4Q FY25 numbers beat the consensus and our expectations POSITIVE • Poland macro: PM Tusk wins vote of confidence, as expected POSITIVE • InPost: English High Court dismisses motion against Yodel POSITIVE • Polish retail: possible retail sales tax extension to e-commerce NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: key takeaways from Parkiet interview with the CEO NEUTRAL • Hu...
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: May sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: Steam demo of Moonlighter 2 attracted limited interest and disappointing reviews NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: increases prices for its Nju mobile post-paid tariffs POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: acquires Romanian hosting company Hosterion for EUR 6.7m NEUTRAL • DO & CO: 4Q FY25E preview - 7% EBITDA growth yoy (due on 12 June) • Text: 4Q24-25E preview – 10% yoy EBITDA increase expected (due on 27 June)
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
HEADLINES: • OPAP: 1Q25 – strong, as expected NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: 1Q25 EBIT broadly as expected, guidance on three unannounced projects POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: adjusted EBITDA up 2x yoy (on a low base), in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 1Q25 numbers fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 1Q25 results – much weaker than expected NEGATIVE • Lamda Development: 1Q25 results – opex outside the Ellinikon better than expected, but quarterly capex still slow ...
HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: 1Q25 EBITDA 7% below our forecast, but a substantial 24% miss vs. the consensus NEGATIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: weak 1Q25 – EBITDA down 70% yoy NEGATIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 1Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 5% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Liechtenstein court dismisses Zygmunt Solorz's lawsuit against his children POSITIVE • Pepco Group: 1H25 slightly below expectations on worsening Poundland; lfl improvement at Pepco; another EUR 234m impair...
HEADLINES • Budimex: growth acceleration on the horizon (upgraded to BUY) • Halyk Bank: 1Q25 results highlights before the call POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA 15% above our forecast, but April sales disappoint NEGATIVE • GEVORKYAN: strong 1Q25 - EBITDA 15% above our expectations; 2025E conservative guidance POSITIVE • Titan Cement: completes divestment of its 75% stake in Adocim in Eastern Türkiye NEUTRAL • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: key takeaways from our call with the CF...
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