HEADLINES: • AmRest: 4Q25 miss, due mainly to allegations about food safety in Czechia NEGATIVE • Kruk: 4Q25 results – bit of a mixed bag • Text: 3Q25-26 (calendar 4Q25) results – EBITDA down 25% yoy, 3% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Enea: impairments and higher provisions to reduce 2025 net income by PLN 1.37bn and EBITDA by PLN 162m NEUTRAL • CTP: 4Q25 results and conference call • Richter: 4Q25 beat, on gross margin and tight opex control POSITIVE • Duna House: 4Q25 in line, guidance implies ...
In 2025, Graphisoft Park delivered stable FFO, despite earlier concerns about headwinds. Higher rental income, alongside negative revaluations, lifted the yield on the standing properties to almost 9% at YE25. A successful land sale reduced the net LTV to 22%. Despite the low leverage, the company generated a 9% FFO ROE. This ranks it among the least levered listed real estate companies in Europe, while among the most profitable ones, at the same time.
HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: 4Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 7% yoy, 2% above the consensus; strong 2026E guidance POSITIVE • CD Projekt: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt – Complete Edition available on Xbox Game Pass on 19 February NEUTRAL • Richter: announces R&D collaboration for endometriosis drug candidate NEUTRAL • Romania macro: NBR extends the pause • OMV Petrom / Romgaz: Romania to postpone gas price liberalisation until 2027E NEGATIVE • Romgaz: 4Q25 preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ En...
HEADLINES: • NLB Group: 4Q25 net profit materially ahead of expectations • Polish banks: CJEU rules on WIBOR case, in line with the General Attorney's opinion, issued on 11 September 2025 NEUTRAL • DataWalk: issues shares worth PLN 116.3m POSITIVE • Allegro: changes in MOV are negative for lockers NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: 2026-29 incentive programme net profit condition set at PLN 5.0bn NEUTRAL • Asseco Poland: 4Q25E preview – 11% yoy organic net profit growth expected (due on 31 March) • OPAP: Al...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: only 6.7% of shares elect for cash exit; free float to remain above all-important 20% level POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: TUI renews cooperation with Wakacje.pl POSITIVE • Budimex: signs PLN 481m contract with GAZ-SYSTEM NEUTRAL • Orlen: 4Q25E results preview (due on 19 February) NEUTRAL • InPost: 4Q25E preview – flattish adjusted EBITDA expected (due on 18 March) NEUTRAL • Enea: 4Q25E preview – 11% EBITDA drop on weaker Generation and Mining (prelims due on 23 March; full due ...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: grow baby, grow! (BUY - transfer of coverage) • ING BSK: 4Q25 results beat; solid DPS guidance; recent share price rally might have consumed part of the upside • mBank: solid 4Q25; rather cautious on the 2026E revenue outlook NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: January sales increase by 4.0% yoy NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 4Q25E results preview – solid yoy adjusted EBITDA improvement expected (due on 16 March) • GEK Terna: seals c.EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects – positive, b...
HEADLINES: • AmRest/Sphera Group: no beauty and no beast (AmRest stays BUY, Sphera downgraded to HOLD) • InPost: EUR 15.6 offer from FedEx, Advent, A&R and PPF consortium POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: solid 4Q25 delivery, beat due to tax differences NEUTRAL • PGE: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: January sales growth drops to 3.4% yoy NEGATIVE • Develia: 4Q25E preview – 30% EBITDA drop, following margin normalisation (due on 3 April) • 4iG: 4Q25E preview – 4%...
HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: neutral 2025 results and DPS; 2026E dividend payout ratio trimmed and no major upside surprise in the 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Tauron / Enea: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q25E preview – a weak quarter, with a 10% yoy pro-forma adjusted EBITDA drop expected (due on 24 March) • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • Magyar Telekom: 4Q25E preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 25 February) • BRD-GSG: 4Q25 net profit...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • cyber_Folks: 4Q25E results preview – 18% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Shoper: 4Q25E results preview – 11% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Vercom: 4Q25E results preview – 23% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Ten Square Games: 4Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA -7% qoq on higher U...
We keep our positive bias on the Polish banks, although the upside is melting away, with the continuous positive share price performance. The upside left for our median 12M PTs lands at 17%+, just enough to keep our marginally positive stance on the sector. The WIG Banks index has returned c.45%+ in the LTM, mostly a function of a multiples expansion, as the 2025E median EPS change was almost zero in the LTM and the 2026E EPS saw a median cut of 10% in the LTM, driven mostly by the change in the...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: 3Q FY26 – broadly in line NEUTRAL • CCC: profit warning – 4Q25 EBITDA down 50-60% yoy, FY25E guidance missed by 15% NEGATIVE • Allegro/InPost: Allegro raises delivery fees by c.4%, effective as of 2 March NEUTRAL • Budimex: extension of strategic options review process for FBSerwis until April 2026 NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: 4Q25E preview (due on 4 February) • OMV Petrom: 4Q25E results preview (due on 4 February) NEUTRAL • Titan: EUR 350m bond at 3.5% to fund M&A and...
HEADLINES: • Titan: three deals cemented, more to come (stays BUY) • Eurocash: wins court battle with antimonopoly watchdog POSITIVE • PKO BP: 4Q25E preview (due on 12 March) • Mo-BRUK: 4Q25E – 21% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 23 April) • Hungary macro: MNB on hold • Hidroelectrica: shareholders’ approval for key strategic projects • DIGI Communications: hires Linklaters and Uría Menéndez for legal work in its Spanish IPO NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: MSCI – consultations under way to reclassify...
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