reports
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Chinese Telcos Q4 25 review: Muted topline but capex reduction positi...
Chinese telcos continued to face slower service revenue growth on mobile headwind and one off expenses that resulted in earnings declines in 4Q. Total capex for the three were guided to be 9% lower YoY in 2026, which should drive FCFE yield. Despite the weak Q4, full year earnings grew low to mid single digits for all three in 2025, while there is still upside to 60-70% payout ratios.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
TIGO SDB MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR SA SWEDISH DEPOSITORY RECEIPT
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
TRUE TRUE CORP. PUBLIC CO. LTD.
VIVT3 TELEFONICA BRASIL S.A.
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
VEON VEON LTD. SPONSORED ADR
LILAB LIBERTY GLOBAL PLC LILAC
AAF AIRTEL AFRICA
AMX AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV
- Chris Hoare
Indian Telcos Q3 FY26 review: AGR relief for Vodafone Idea, Jio’s IPO...
India’s mobile revenue growth moderated as expected, as July 2024’s tariff increase has now been lapped. Jio’s IPO seems to be gathering steam, with Reliance rumoured to have appointed bankers after the government approved a change to allow listings with only 2.5% free float. Either before, or shortly after, we foresee another price increase.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Thai Telcos Q4 25 review: Continued market repair
Thai telcos maintained 3% service revenue growth, with a solid EBITDA performance (+10% YoY), as both Mobile and Broadband ARPU recovers. TRUE’s net additions inflected to positive in Q4 in line with management’s outlook, following May’s network outage.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR280, +52%) MTN Rwanda – Q4 25: Decent quarter; Focus...
MTN Rwanda has reported a decent set of Q4 results. Top line trends remained robust, but EBITDA trends slowed. The company has maintained its medium-term guidance for service revenue growth and EBITDA margins but has cut its capex guide and although net income is back into positive territory this year, the BoD has recommended no dividends for 2025.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR280, +33%) MTN Nigeria – Q4 25: Strong quarter and s...
MTN Nigeria has reported another strong set of results. The company has maintained its MT guidance for service revenue growth (“at least the low 20%”) and upgraded its MT guidance for EBITDA margins, from “53-55%” to “mid to high 50%”
- Chris Hoare
EM Telcos Pricing power returns; where best; why (some) EM Telcos’ mu...
The resumption of pricing power is one of the key drivers of the rally in EM Telcos and perhaps the area where consensus is most sceptical. In this note we analyse which markets have the greatest potential for sustained pricing power, looking at key issues: affordability and regulatory and competitive structure.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers – Strong start – NSR GEM Top-10 February ‘26...
Our portfolio of Top Picks has started 2026 strongly, up 6% ytd already. This month we make no changes to our top picks. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Chinese Telcos & Tower Outlook 2026: Grind higher expected, Unicom t...
After a banner 2024 (+33% on average), 2025 saw further absolute upside for the Chinese telcos, albeit underperforming a strong local index (HSI +32%). Valuations have increased relative to the past, but the stocks remain cheap in our view, and should grind higher, as modest top line growth and falling capex lead to decent cash flow and shareholder remuneration growth.
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