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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Sub-Saharan African Telecoms Excellent year; slowdown expected in 202...

Q4 was another good quarter for the Sub-Saharan African (SSA) operators with YoY service revenue growth in USD creeping up and good KPIs.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Nigerian Telcos Q4 25 review: Strong, especially margins

Q4 was another strong quarter for the Nigerian Telco market with local EBITDA growing above 80% and real revenue growing above 30%.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indian Mobile – Implications for Bharti & Jio if Vodafone IDEA raises ...

Vodafone IDEA’s performance has improved somewhat since the previous capital increase, although not as much as hoped at the time in our view.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indian Telcos Q3 FY26 review: AGR relief for Vodafone Idea, Jio’s IPO...

India’s mobile revenue growth moderated as expected, as July 2024’s tariff increase has now been lapped. Jio’s IPO seems to be gathering steam, with Reliance rumoured to have appointed bankers after the government approved a change to allow listings with only 2.5% free float. Either before, or shortly after, we foresee another price increase.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN Group (Buy, TP: ZAR280, +43%) Q4 25: Improved shareholder remuner...

MTN has reported a good set of Q4 results and announced an increased dividend for 2025 and a positive shareholder remuneration over the medium term.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Thai Telcos Q4 25 review: Continued market repair

Thai telcos maintained 3% service revenue growth, with a solid EBITDA performance (+10% YoY), as both Mobile and Broadband ARPU recovers. TRUE’s net additions inflected to positive in Q4 in line with management’s outlook, following May’s network outage.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR280, +54%) MTN Uganda – Q4 25: Decent quarter; MT gu...

MTN Uganda reported a decent set of Q4 results today. Trends slightly decelerated vs. Q3 but remained good.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR280, +52%) MTN Rwanda – Q4 25: Decent quarter; Focus...

MTN Rwanda has reported a decent set of Q4 results. Top line trends remained robust, but EBITDA trends slowed. The company has maintained its medium-term guidance for service revenue growth and EBITDA margins but has cut its capex guide and although net income is back into positive territory this year, the BoD has recommended no dividends for 2025.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR280, +33%) MTN Nigeria – Q4 25: Strong quarter and s...

MTN Nigeria has reported another strong set of results. The company has maintained its MT guidance for service revenue growth (“at least the low 20%”) and upgraded its MT guidance for EBITDA margins, from “53-55%” to “mid to high 50%”

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy: ZAR280, +43%) IHS Towers (Neutral, TP: $8.50, +5%) was Buy (...

Double announcement from IHS today: 1) the sale of its LatAm business to Macquarie (excluding i-Systems which is being sold to TIM Brasil) and 2) the proposed sale to MTN for $6.2bn ($8.50 per share).

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR280, +58%) IHS Towers (Buy, TP: $10, +26%) MTN / IHS...

MTN announced today that it is at an advanced stage of discussions with IHS to acquire the 75% shares in IHS it does not already own.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Sub-Saharan African Telecoms Another great quarter, upgrade AAF, MTN,...

Q3 was another great quarter for the Sub-Saharan African (SSA) operators with YoY service revenue growth in USD reaching >30% and rising EBITDA margins.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Nigerian Telcos Q3 25 review: Real revenue growth remains 40%

Q3 was another very strong quarter for the Nigerian Telco market with EBITDA more than doubling in local and real revenue growth stable at 40%.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Thai Telcos Q3 25 review: Upgrade AIS price target on continued ARPU ...

Thai telcos maintained 3% service revenue growth, with a solid EBITDA performance (+9% YoY), as both Mobile and Broadband ARPU recovers. TRUE is confident net additions should resume in Q4 following May’s network outage.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Bharti Airtel (Buy, INR 2,750 from INR 2,180, +32%) All cylinders fir...

Bharti has always performed well in anticipation of price increases, which we think are likely in H1 next year. The company also looks set to be seeing accelerating growth in both Home, and Enterprise, while Airtel Africa continues to knock it out of the park, and capex is constrained. What’s not to like? PT to 2,750.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare
Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+20)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Andrew Agita Buntoro
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Lester Siew
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Sunny Chen
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, November 04, 2025

Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...

KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
GFPT GFPT
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
BURSA MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
PEP BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
RATCH PPB GROUP BERHAD
2633 RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
HCM JACOBSON PHARMA CORP LTD
AIS HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
RSTON ADVANCED INFO SYSTEMS
FEH RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
UHU FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
MPM FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CRPU CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
CICT SASSEUR REIT (S CHIP)
SCGP CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP SCG PACKAGING PCL
2269 LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
HMN PRIME US REIT
CLCT ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
KORE CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
OR KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
MXNU PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
CLAR ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
DCRU CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
MTEL IJ DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
02161 PT DAYAMITRA TELEKOMUNIKASI
02015 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
0303 LI AUTO INC
LAGENDA ALPHA IVF GROUP
SDG LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
BRMS IJ SD GUTHRIE BHD
AADI IJ BUMI RESOURCES MINERALS
002371 CH ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
ASL SP NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare
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