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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +57%) Q3 24: Solid, SR growth back on track wit...

MTN has reported a solid set of Q3 results with service revenue and EBITDA trends accelerating and service revenue trending back in line with the MT guidance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +52%) MTN Rwanda – Q3 24 Quick take: Mixed quar...

MTN Rwanda has reported a mixed set of Q3 numbers. Service revenue trends inflected and are back into positive territory while EBITDA trends eased but remained under pressure.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN Uganda (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +47%) – Q3 24 Quick Take: Slower but soli...

MTN Uganda has reported a slower but solid set of Q3 numbers and has upgraded medium-term guidance for service revenue growth.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +50%) MTN Ghana – Q3 24 Quick Take: Faster quart...

MTN Ghana has reported a good set of Q3 results with both service revenue and EBITDA trends accelerating and solid data subscriber net additions.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +48%) MTN Nigeria Q3 24 Quick Take: A much bette...

MTN Nigeria has reported a much better set of results. Top line growth accelerated again, and EBITDA growth is back into positive territory, helped by the tower lease renegotiations.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

5G FWA in EM Hold on for a massive acceleration in FWA demand, Bharti...

When Jio announced it was targeting 100m 5G FWA customers we said this was likely to be game changing for the industry globally, and so it is proving.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indian Mobile Broadband upgraded as FWA takes off; Bharti price targe...

Jio’s recent FWA figures suggest India is entering an S-curve of adoption. We think this means Jio is set to capture the lion’s share of a $20bn revenue industry (by 2030). Bharti is likely to benefit strongly too.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EMEA & African Telcos & Towers - High Yield Review – Initiate Coverage...

Following similar efforts in Europe and LatAm we are launching coverage on the HY Telcos & Towers in EMEA & Africa. New names under coverage include Helios (also initiated on equity, pt GBp140), Axian Telecom and Liquid Intelligent. We also address IHS Towers (pt cut to US$ 6), VEON and Helios’ bonds.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indian Telcos – Final AGR ruling and Vodafone IDEA Equipment deal – Ou...

Yesterday, Vodafone Idea announced a INR 300bn (US$3.6bn) network equipment deal with Nokia, Ericsson and Samsung over the next three years to expand its 4G coverage and introduce 5G in key cities.

Chris Hoare ... (+2)
  • Chris Hoare
  • David Lopes

Thai Telcos Q2 24 review: Strong momentum with continued margin uplif...

Thai operators delivered good margins uplift again, and TRUE upgraded guidance. After turning the corner in Q4, Thai mobile growth sustained in the 4% range on prepaid strength. With the outlook now positive , we stay bullish on the two with TRUE staying on as one of our top pick in EM Telcos.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

African Telcos - Catch Back: Headwinds easing, many markets to 2 playe...

We see signs that the macro pressure of the last 2 years is leading to easing competition, as has happened in the past.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

South African Telcos - Upgrade as the long cycle turns. Vodacom to Buy...

As the long cycle of competition turns, we upgrade price targets for both MTN and Vodacom.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +47%) Q2 24: Better topline trends including im...

Service revenue trends were faster off better Uganda, Nigeria and South Africa as network availability improved. While underlying service revenue improved from Q1, it was still below the mid-teen medium term guidance. However, the Group maintained its guidance, with full year’s capex (Rs28-33bn) expected to be down around 30% from last year off lower spend in Nigeria. HoldCo leverage had also improved to 1.6x this quarter with better upstreaming.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Indian Telcos Q1 FY25 review: Slower mobile with modest rise in margi...

Indian mobile revenue rose steadily despite slowing this quarter due to softer ARPU trend. Both Bharti and Jio continue to take share from Vodafone Idea again. Mobile EBITDA kept ahead of topline with all three seeing YoY improvements in margin. Overall, Bharti remained ahead on both metrics.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +54%) MTN Rwanda – Q2 24 Quick take: Tough quar...

MTN Rwanda has reported a disappointing set of Q2 numbers. Service revenue and EBITDA trends continued to deteriorate as they continue to be impacted by the MTR cut and higher competition on price. Additionally, EBITDA continued to be impacted by the One Network Area initiative, handset subsidy and the local currency depreciating vs. the USD. As a result, management has cut FY24 guidance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Bharti Airtel (Neutral, TP: INR 1,500, +3%) Bharti Global to acquire ...

Bharti Enterprise's investment arm, Bharti Global, has sought to acquire 24.5% stake in BT from Altice UK. Although Bharti Airtel is separately owned by Bharti Enterprise (through Bharti Telecom), we share our thoughts on why we perceive this to be a likely overhang on Bharti Airtel.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +73%) IHS Towers (Buy, TP: $8, +167%) MTN and I...

Both MTN Nigeria and IHS Nigeria have announced the renewal and extension of all their MLAs in Nigeria, including new financial terms. This development is materially positive for both companies in our view. This means all MLAs in Africa between MTN and IHS have now been renewed and extended. Separately, MTN has also announced the exit from Guinea-Bissau.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +75%) MTN Uganda – Q2 24 Quick Take: Strong qua...

MTN Uganda has reported a strong set of Q2 numbers with both service revenue and EBITDA trends accelerating again.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +65%) MTN Ghana – Q2 24 Quick Take: Another sol...

MTN Ghana has reported a solid set of Q2 results. Both service revenue and EBITDA trends came in above our expectations this quarter. We think this performance remains a good support for the group.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Singtel/AIS Merger of Intouch and Gulf Energy; VTO of AIS. Implicatio...

The merger between Intouch Holdings (where Singtel owns a 24.99% stake) and Gulf Energy was announced today. Following this, a waiver had been obtained to trigger a Voluntary Tender Offer (VTO) instead of a Mandatory Offer for 36.25% of AIS shares. We outline the implications for Singtel and AIS below.

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