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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 27/06/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ New Zealand Energy (NZ CN)C: Financial update – New Zealand has received short term loans totalling C$0.48 mm from Charlestown Energy Partners and a company controlled by New Zealand’s Chairman. The loans, which were issued with an original issuance discount of 10%. are unsecured and non-convertible, with interest payable at 15% per annum and repayment is due on August 27, 2025, The company now intends to complete a private placement. ...

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 23/05/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.30 per share: Adding four low risk drill-ready shallow gas prospects to start drilling by YE25 – ADX has now matured 13 shallow gas prospects across the ADX-AT-I and ADX-AT-II licence areas in Austria. The play is proven, supported by historical discoveries within the basin. Nearby historical discoveries in the area have produced 220 bcf to date. The prospects benefit from AVO anomalies, enhanc...

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 09/05/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK49 per share: ~12 mbbl/d in 1Q25. Re-iterating FY25 guidance – 1Q25 production was ~12 mbbl/d, including 6,841 bbl/d in Gabon, 3,661 bbl/d in Equatorial Guinea and 1,492 bbl/d in Tunisia. Production in Gabon and Equatorial Guinea was previously reported by BW Energy and Kosmos Energy. Equatorial Guinea output was temporarily impacted by unplanned downtime at the Ceiba Cluster, but operations ...

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+6)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder
Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thijs Berkelder
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Aker BP (Buy, TP: NOK280.00) - Well-supported dividends

Q1 results were in line with expectations. While near-term FCF could alarm investors, we believe dividends remain well-supported by the strong balance sheet. From 2027–2028e, FCF is set to rise meaningfully as production ramps up, with our estimates indicating an oil price of ~USD60/bbl would be sufficient to cover the dividend. We reiterate our BUY and NOK280 target price.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Varying dividend sustainability

With oil prices approaching USD60/bbl, we believe investors will be looking for E&P exposure with the least risk of cuts to shareholder distributions. We continue to prefer Aker BP, as we consider its dividend safe despite prospects of muted near-term cash flow, and believe it has the most flexibility to adjust capex to protect cash flow and dividends medium-term.

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