reports
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 09/05/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK49 per share: ~12 mbbl/d in 1Q25. Re-iterating FY25 guidance – 1Q25 production was ~12 mbbl/d, including 6,841 bbl/d in Gabon, 3,661 bbl/d in Equatorial Guinea and 1,492 bbl/d in Tunisia. Production in Gabon and Equatorial Guinea was previously reported by BW Energy and Kosmos Energy. Equatorial Guinea output was temporarily impacted by unplanned downtime at the Ceiba Cluster, but operations ...
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GPRK GEOPARK
MSMN MOSMAN OIL AND GAS
CNE CAIRN ENERGY PLC
TXP TOUCHSTONE EXPLORATION
GENL GENEL ENERGY
MUR MURPHY OIL CORPORATION
PXT PAREX RESOURCES INC.
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
SNM SHAMARAN PETROLEUM CORP.
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
KOS KOSMOS ENERGY LTD.
BWE BW ENERGY
HBR HARBOUR ENERGY PLC
IGAS IGAS ENERGY PLC
TNZ TENAZ ENERGY CORP
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LR LEGRAND
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
G1A GEA GROUP AG
APAML APERAM SA
PUM PUMA SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
ERA ERAMET SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
POST OSTERREICHISCHE POST AG
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
CTPNV CTP NV
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
IFX INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LR LEGRAND
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
G1A GEA GROUP AG
APAML APERAM SA
PUM PUMA SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
ADEN ADECCO GROUP AG
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
ERA ERAMET SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
IHG INTERCONTINENTAL HOTELS GROUP PLC
NEXI NEXI S.P.A.
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
CTPNV CTP NV
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thijs Berkelder
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thijs Berkelder
- Steffen Evjen
Aker BP (Buy, TP: NOK280.00) - Well-supported dividends
Q1 results were in line with expectations. While near-term FCF could alarm investors, we believe dividends remain well-supported by the strong balance sheet. From 2027–2028e, FCF is set to rise meaningfully as production ramps up, with our estimates indicating an oil price of ~USD60/bbl would be sufficient to cover the dividend. We reiterate our BUY and NOK280 target price.
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- John Olaisen
- Steffen Evjen
Varying dividend sustainability
With oil prices approaching USD60/bbl, we believe investors will be looking for E&P exposure with the least risk of cuts to shareholder distributions. We continue to prefer Aker BP, as we consider its dividend safe despite prospects of muted near-term cash flow, and believe it has the most flexibility to adjust capex to protect cash flow and dividends medium-term.
- Konrad Zomer
V1S ARKEMA
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
AKRBP AKER BP ASA
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG
LR LEGRAND
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
UBSN UBS GROUP AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
VNA VONOVIA SE
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ISP INTESA SANPAOLO S.P.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
WPP WPP PLC
BA. BAE SYSTEMS PLC
RACE FERRARI NV
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
HAVAS HAVAS N.V
- Konrad Zomer
V1S ARKEMA
CON CONTINENTAL AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
AKRBP AKER BP ASA
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG
LR LEGRAND
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
UBSN UBS GROUP AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
VNA VONOVIA SE
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ISP INTESA SANPAOLO S.P.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
FRE FRESENIUS SE & CO. KGAA
WPP WPP PLC
BA. BAE SYSTEMS PLC
RACE FERRARI NV
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
HAVAS HAVAS N.V
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thijs Berkelder
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thijs Berkelder
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- John Olaisen
- Steffen Evjen
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, Equinor reported Q1 results in line with expectations. However, we continue to see valuation downside due to Empire Wind risks and a likely sharp YOY drop in 2026e buybacks. OKEA also reported in-line Q1 results. In other news, Equinor announced it agreed to sell its 60% Peregrino stake at a solid price, although we believe the proceeds would have to support near-term shareholder returns to drive a positive share price reaction.
- Mattias Holmberg
Atlas Copco (Buy, TP: SEK170.00) - Solid story lacking execution
The Q1 report was a bit soft, with orders in line, adj. EBIT 5% below consensus and a reduction of the outlook, now expecting weaker customer activity near-term. VT not missing consensus orders and margins was a relief, and a restructuring of the division is underway, with full margin recovery expected by 2026. Having trimmed our organic growth and adj. EBIT margin assumptions, we have lowered our 2025–2027e adj. EBIT by c3% on average. We reiterate our BUY, but have lowered our target price to ...
- Steffen Evjen
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, Vår Energi reported Q1 results very much in line with expectations. The company also reaffirmed its 2025 guidance and maintained its dividend. Also, OKEA reported a solid Q1, with production and prices slightly above our estimates. While a technical goodwill impairment reduces its dividend basket for 2025, we view this as non-material, as we do not expect any dividends before 2027. Meanwhile, we are 5% below consensus on Q1e EBIT ahead of Equinor’s Q1 results on 30 April (07:00 CET), ...
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