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ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth

Estimates lowered on delayed Tyra ramp-up

Q1 figures in line. Short-term estimates lowered on delayed Tyra ramp-up. But limited NPV impact, we reiterate BUY, TP NOK 660 (675)

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

Key takeaways from this week are: 1) BlueNord’s Q1 figures were in line with our estimates, and due to technical issues, the Tyra plateau ramp-up was prolonged to mid-Q4 (2024 production guidance reduced from >40kboed to ~35kboed); 2) DNO’s Q1 report showed net production slightly above consensus, and it announced it has acquired stakes in five fields in the Norne area from Vår Energi, adding ~3kboed of net production near-term; and 3) Panoro Energy’s Q1 trading update showed net production of 9...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 10/05/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$26 per share: More favourable offtake contract in Colombia – GeoPark has signe da new offtake contract with Vitol for a minimum of 20 mbbl/d. The agreement improves GeoPark’s price realizations by US$0.15/bbl vs the current agreement. As part of this transaction, GeoPark will obtain immediate access to committed funding from Vitol for up to US$300 mm, with an option to increase by another US$200 m...

 PRESS RELEASE

BW Energy: Hibiscus South pilot well confirms hydrocarbons

BW Energy: Hibiscus South pilot well confirms hydrocarbons BW Energy: Hibiscus South pilot well confirms hydrocarbons BW Energy is pleased to announce that the DHBSM-2P pilot well confirms that the Hibiscus South deposit extends into the northern part of the field with good reservoir quality, increasing reserve estimates. The Company plans to complete the well as a production well later in 2024. The DHBSM-2P pilot was drilled from the MaBoMo production platform to a total depth of 5,130 metres. The target area is located approximately 3.2 kilometres west-northwest of the MaBoMo and was dr...

ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
 PRESS RELEASE

DNO Reports Strong First Quarter Results, Steps Up North Sea Activity

DNO Reports Strong First Quarter Results, Steps Up North Sea Activity Oslo, 8 May 2024 – DNO ASA, the Norwegian oil and gas operator, today reported first quarter 2024 operating profit of USD 61 million, 61 percent higher than the previous quarter, on the back of revenues totaling USD 183 million. Free cash flow at USD 44 million was up 31 percent from the fourth quarter of 2023. Net production climbed 14 percent quarter-on-quarter and averaged 74,800 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd) in the first three months of 2024, to which the Kurdistan region of Iraq contributed 57,200 boep...

 PRESS RELEASE

Key Information Relating to Cash Dividend

Key Information Relating to Cash Dividend Oslo, 8 May 2024 - DNO ASA, the Norwegian oil and gas operator, today announced that pursuant to the authorization granted at the Annual General Meeting held on 25 May 2023, the Board of Directors has approved a dividend payment of NOK 0.25 per share to be made on or about 28 May 2024 to all shareholders of record as of 21 May 2024. DNO shares will be traded ex-dividend as of 16 May 2024. Dividend amount: NOK 0.25 per shareDeclared currency: NOKLast day including right: 15 May 2024Ex-date: 16 May 2024Record date: 21 May 2024Payment date: 28 May 202...

 PRESS RELEASE

DNO Acquires Portfolio of Producing Assets Boosting Position in Norne ...

DNO Acquires Portfolio of Producing Assets Boosting Position in Norne Area Offshore Norway Oslo, 8 May 2024 – DNO ASA, the Norwegian oil and gas operator, today announced that the Company’s wholly-owned subsidiary DNO Norge AS has entered into an agreement to acquire stakes in five oil and gas fields in the Norne area in the Norwegian Sea from Vår Energi ASA. The transaction creates a new core area for DNO in the North Sea as DNO will hold interests in all producing and under development fields in the greater Norne area, including the Norne hub.  The transaction includes an interest in fo...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

BlueNord (Buy, TP: NOK615.00) - Look past the near-term noise

BlueNord reported Q1 EBITDA of USD88m, in line with our USD86m estimate and Bloomberg consensus of USD85m. Technical issues means the ramp-up to the Tyra plateau is now prolonged to mid-Q4, triggering the company to cut its 2024 production guidance from >40kboed to c35kboed. Being conservative, we have cut our 2024 production estimate by 18%, to ~32kboed. However, we emphasise that this has no effect on our estimates beyond 2024, and that in our view this is purely a timing issue. We reiterate o...

ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
 PRESS RELEASE

Restructuring of ownership in BW Energy Limited and exemption from the...

Restructuring of ownership in BW Energy Limited and exemption from the mandatory offer obligation Restructuring of ownership in BW Energy Limited and exemption from the mandatory offer obligation As previously disclosed, BW Group Limited ("BW Group") currently owns 191,903,110 shares in BW Energy Limited ("BW Energy"), corresponding to 74.38% of the issued and outstanding shares and voting rights in BW Energy. As part of a corporate restructuring, BW Group is planning to separate BW Energy, as an oil & gas exploration business, from the maritime businesses held by BW Group.  This will not...

 PRESS RELEASE

Invitation to DNO Q1 2024 Earnings Call

Invitation to DNO Q1 2024 Earnings Call Oslo, 6 May 2024 – DNO ASA, the Norwegian oil and gas operator, will publish its Q1 2024 operating and interim financial results on 8 May at 07:00 (CET). A videoconference call with executive management will follow at 12:30 (CET). Please visit for login details ahead of the call. – For further information, please contact:Media:  Investors:  – DNO ASA is a Norwegian oil and gas operator active in the Middle East, the North Sea and West Africa. Founded in 1971 and listed on the Oslo Stock Exchange, the Company holds stakes in onshore an...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Weekly news, topics & discussion

This week, we published a note on Aker BP highlighting our growing concerns of sharp cuts to consensus FCF, with capex assumptions beyond 2026 looking far too low to us – we are ~40% below consensus on 2027–2030e FCF. As well as BW Energy’s Q1 trading update revealing net production just below our estimate, it announced a sale & leaseback agreement, which we see as marginally accretive to our NAV. In other news, we believe the Tyra ramp-up will be in focus in BlueNord’s Q1 results, due next week

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 03/05/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.75 per share: Raising new equity to fund a high impact activity programme – ADX has raised A$13.5 mm of new equity priced at A$0.105 per share. One free-attaching option will be issued for evert two placement shares with an exercise price of A$0.15 per share and an expiry date of 08/05/2026. The proceeds from the raise will fund (1) the production testing of the 450 m gas column encountered at ...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Aker BP (Buy, TP: NOK290.00) - Capex concerns looming

While investor concerns appear tilted towards a near-term production decline, we are increasingly concerned that consensus FCF will face meaningful negative revisions, as capex assumptions beyond 2026 look far too low. For 2027–2030, our FCF estimates are ~40% below consensus. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to NOK290 (325) on a lower fair P/NAV.

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen
Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

BW Energy (Buy, TP: NOK33.00) - Boosts liquidity at attractive terms

BW Energy reported net production of 27.2kboed for Q1, slightly below our ~29kboed estimate, with production from Dussafu broadly in line with our forecast, while production from Golfinho was slightly below. With its Q1 trading update, it also announced a sale/leaseback agreement for the MaBoMo production facility, boosting liquidity by USD110m at what we consider attractive financing terms (SOFR+3.75%). We see the transaction as marginally positive to our NAV. We reiterate our BUY and have incr...

Steffen Evjen
  • Steffen Evjen

Valuation update

In this note, we show updated valuation statistics for the E&P sector.

 PRESS RELEASE

Notifiable trading – Equinor ASA

Notifiable trading – Equinor ASA A close associate to a primary insider in Equinor ASA (OSE: EQNR, NYSE: EQNR) has sold shares in Equinor ASA. Alf Torstensen, close associate to executive vice president Siv Helen Rygh Torstensen, has on 30 April 2024 sold 350 shares in Equinor ASA at a price of NOK 300.90 per share. Details of the sale of shares are set forth in the attached notification. This is information that Equinor ASA is obliged to make public pursuant to Article 19 of the EU Market Abuse Regulation and subject to the disclosure requirements pursuant to Section 5-12 of the Norwegi...

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