reports
- Steffen Evjen
Aker BP (Buy, TP: NOK290.00) - Capex concerns looming
While investor concerns appear tilted towards a near-term production decline, we are increasingly concerned that consensus FCF will face meaningful negative revisions, as capex assumptions beyond 2026 look far too low. For 2027–2030, our FCF estimates are ~40% below consensus. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to NOK290 (325) on a lower fair P/NAV.
- ABGSC Seafood Research
- Martin Kaland
- Simon Brun
- ABGSC Seafood Research
- Martin Kaland
- Simon Brun
- Steffen Evjen
- ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
- Adrian Gilani
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Olof Cederholm
- Stian Wibstad
ORSTED ORSTED
HEX HEXAGON COMPOSITES ASA
NEL NEL ASA
SSO SCATEC ASA
EOLU B EOLUS VIND AB
FKRFT FJORDKRAFT HOLDING ASA
CADLR CADELER
VOLUE VOLUE AS
A2QKGG HEXAGON PURUS
ZAP ZAPTEC
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
EWIND EDDA WIND ASA
TOM TOMRA SYSTEMS ASA
IWS-NO INTEGRATED WIND SOLUTIONS
OX2-SE OX2
- Alexander Aukner
LSG LEROY SEAFOOD GROUP ASA
AUSS AUSTEVOLL SEAFOOD ASA
AKVA AKVA GROUP ASA
SALM SALMAR ASA
GSF GRIEG SEAFOOD ASA
MOWI MOWI ASA
BAKKA BAKKAFROST P/F
SALMOCAM SALMONES CAMANCHACA SA
IFISH ICE FISH FARM AS
ASA ATLANTIC SAPPHIRE
SALME SALMON EVOLUTION HOLDING
KING THE KINGFISH COMPANY NV
AKBM AKER BIOMARINE
ISLAX ARNARLAX AS
AFISH ARCTIC FISH HOLDING AS
MAS MÅSØVAL
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, Equinor, Aker BP and Vår Energi released their Q1 results. In short: Equinor reported on the strong side, with a solid FCF beat fuelled by a working capital tailwind. Aker BP had a solid Q1 all around, while there was limited new news on Johan Sverdrup. For Vår Energi, with the results in line with our expectations, we believe investor focus remains on the Jotun FPSO sail-away.
- Håkon Astrup
SpareBank 1 Helgeland (Hold, TP: NOK134.00) - Turn in NII momentum
Helped by strong trading income, HELG reported a Q1 ROE of ~12% versus its >11% target, despite the pre-announced elevated loan losses. With one less interest day and margin pressure, ‘real NII’ fell 2.2% QOQ. While down QOQ, the CET1 ratio remained solid at 18.1% (>16.5% target). We have cut our 2025–2026e EPS by ~3–5%, driven by lower NII, and lowered our target price to NOK134 (139). Trading at a 2025e P/E of ~9.0x, we continue to find a more attractive risk/reward elsewhere in the sector and...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 26/04/2024
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$1.00 per share: Important step to unlock Sicily – The Italian ministry has informed ADX that it will be granted the d 363C.R-.AX gas exploration permit in the Sicily Channel. In addition, the Regional Administrative Court of Rome has annulled the Plan for the Sustainable Energy Transition of Eligible Areas that prevented the oil redevelopment, appraisal and exploration activities on the licence. ...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GPRK GEOPARK
SOU SOUND ENERGY PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
SEI. SINTANA ENERGY
PEN PANORO ENERGY ASA
NOG NOSTRUM OIL & GAS PLC
SQZ SERICA ENERGY
ZPHR ZEPHYR ENERGY
OKEA OKEA
I3E I3 ENERGY
RHC ROYAL HELIUM LTD
TRIN TRINITY CAPITAL INC
SOUC SOUTHERN ENERGY CORP
ITH ITHACA ENERGY PLC
TCF TRILLION ENERGY INTERNATIONAL INC. (TCF)
SEAPT NO SEACREST PETROLEO BERMUDA - SEAPT NO
ADX ADX ENERGY LTD
J4V VAR ENERGI ASA
LNGE LNG ENERGY GROUP CORP.
- Paul de Froment
- Sebastián Marroquin Mérida
- Thomas Mordelle
Nel: Capacity reservation agreement with Hy Stor Energy
This morning, Nel announced a multi-year capacity reservation agreement (CRA) with Hy Stor Energy, representing more than 1GW of alkaline electrolyser capacity combined over 2025/2027, for its Mississippi Clean Hydrogen Hub (MCHH) project. The project is still pending regulatory approvals, financin
- Håkon Astrup
Pareto Bank (Buy, TP: NOK68.00) - Loan-loss downtick
Helped by further NII expansion and a loan-loss downtick, Pareto Bank reported a solid Q1 ROE of 14.3%. While the CET1 ratio fell QOQ after strong lending growth (2.2% QOQ), the bank has a still-solid ~1.4%-point headroom to its 16.7% target. With the stock trading at a 2025e P/E of ~6.7x, we continue to find the valuation attractive. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to NOK68 (63).
- Håkon Astrup
Sparebanken Møre (Hold, TP: NOK92.00) - Strong capital position
With NII at still-high levels and moderate loan losses, MORG reported a Q1 ROE of ~13% (>12% target), despite elevated cost inflation. Even with solid lending growth, the CET1 ratio rose ~25bp QOQ, leaving ample 2.3%-points headroom to its 16.15% requirement (including P2G). We have cut our 2025–2026e EPS by ~2–4%, driven by lower core revenues and higher costs, and in turn trimmed our target price to NOK92 (95). With the stock trading at a 2025e P/E of 9.5x, we continue to find a more attractiv...
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Emmanuel Matot
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 04/25/2024
Having flirted with the 495-point mark on Friday, which could have triggered an extension of the correction, the market has rebounded well since then. Our technical analysis highlights a configuration in which we are only at the start of a powerful rally. Target of 622 points for Stoxx 600 index (+11%) by the end of the year confirmed. Prefer banks to insurance companies in the short term. - ...
LHN LAFARGEHOLCIM LTD.
REL RELX PLC
GET GETLINK SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
CA CARREFOUR SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
ORA ORANGE SA
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
ULVR UNILEVER PLC
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
NESN NESTLE S.A.
ENI ENI S.P.A.
BAS BASF SE
SAN SANOFI
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
SY1 SYMRISE AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
IBE IBERDROLA SA
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
HFG HELLOFRESH SE
ADYEN ADYEN NV
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
- Charlotte Vaisse
- Emmanuel Matot
- Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
- Konrad Zomer
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 25/04/2024
Après avoir frôlé vendredi la barre des 495 points qui aurait pu déclencher la poursuite de la correction, le marché a ensuite bien rebondi. Notre analyse technique met en lumière une configuration où nous ne serions qu’au début d’un rallye puissant. Objectif 622 points (+11%) d’ici à la fin de l’année confirmé sur le Stoxx 600. Préférer les banques aux assurances à court terme. - ...
LHN LAFARGEHOLCIM LTD.
REL RELX PLC
GET GETLINK SE
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
CA CARREFOUR SA
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
ORA ORANGE SA
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
ULVR UNILEVER PLC
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
NESN NESTLE S.A.
ENI ENI S.P.A.
BAS BASF SE
SAN SANOFI
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
SY1 SYMRISE AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
KGX KION GROUP AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
IBE IBERDROLA SA
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
HFG HELLOFRESH SE
ADYEN ADYEN NV
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thijs Berkelder
Aker BP : Q1 results beat expectations, pressure on cash and few catal...
>Operating profit 4% higher than expected - Aker BP released its Q1 2024 results showing revenues fully in line with expectations but EBITDA and EBIT 4% higher than expected at $ 2.8bn (-17.7% q-o-q) and € 2.2bn (+1.9% q-o-q), respectively. Net profit was 13% higher than expected at $ 531m, boosted by a tax rate of 75% vs 92% in Q4. CFFO was virtually flat at $ 1.45bn and FCF was down -26% to $ 339m.Good operating performance but upcoming maintenance st...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thijs Berkelder
Aker BP : Résultats T1 supérieurs aux attentes, pression sur le cash e...
>Un résultat opérationnel 4% supérieur aux attentes - Aker BP a publié ses résultats du T1 2024 avec des revenus parfaitement en ligne mais un EBITDA et EBIT 4% supérieurs aux attentes à respectivement 2.8 Md$ (-17.7% QoQ) et 2.2 Md$ (+1.9% QoQ). Le résultat net ressort 13% supérieur aux attentes à 531 M$ bénéficiant d’un taux d’impôts à 75% vs 92% au T4. Le CFFO est quasi stable à 1.45 Md$ et le FCF est en baisse de 26% à 339 M$.Une bonne performance op...
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- John Olaisen
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Sven Edelfelt
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
AI AIR LIQUIDE SA
IPN IPSEN SA
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
RNO RENAULT SA
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
COV COVIVIO SA
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
ORA ORANGE SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
FGR EIFFAGE SA
KER KERING SA
RAND RANDSTAD NV
ENI ENI S.P.A.
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
INGA ING GROEP NV
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
EPI A EPIROC AB
- Ahmed Ben Salem
- Thijs Berkelder
Aker BP : Q1 2024 results slightly ahead of expectations but weaker FC...
>Q1 2024 results beat expectations by 4% at the operating level and by 13% at the NI with lower taxes - AkerBP just released its Q1 2024 results with 1/ revenues of $ 3,078m, down 13.4% q-o-q and 1% ahead of the consensus. 2/ EBITDA totalled $ 2,787m, down 12.2%, 1.3% below our expectations and 4% ahead of estimates. EBIT came in at $ 2,194m, in line with our expectations and 4% ahead of the consensus. Adjusted net income was robust at $ 531m, up 223% q-o-q and 13% ah...
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