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James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone to Virgin spectrum sale: More details revealed

As part of the Vodafone-Three merger (VOD3UK), the merging companies committed to sell a portfolio of spectrum to VMO2. The details of that spectrum portfolio have now been formally disclosed by Ofcom, which has published a notification listing the frequencies that are due to be transferred (LINK). In this note, we run through the final decisions and implications for potential UK revenue share.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

BT (Buy, 265p, +47%) Was 240p Upside beyond the mythical £3bn FCF t...

BT’s target to reach £3bn FCF by the end of the decade has almost become mythical in status. Initially set back in 2021, is it the longest-standing piece of guidance (ever) in the telecoms sector? Quite possibly – and yet we are only half-way there.

 PRESS RELEASE

Talkspace to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences

Talkspace to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences NEW YORK, June 06, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Talkspace (Nasdaq: TALK), a leading behavioral healthcare company, today announced that members of senior management will participate in the following upcoming investor conferences: The Truist Healthcare Disruptors & Digital Health Conference, being held in New York, including 1x1 meetings with investors on Tuesday, June 24, 2025, and a panel discussion on “Addressing the Mental Health Crisis” with Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Jon Cohen, on Wednesday, June 25, 2025 at 2:40pm ET.The North...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

The company started seeing signs of recovery as subscriber losses begu...

As we expected, the UK merger completed this morning, so we wanted to take this opportunity to highlight the note we put out on Saturday, in which we published our new model (including the UK merger, and assuming Vodafone buys out the Hutchinson minority in 3 years’ time). The terms of the deal are as initially announced. We believe the value creation is +9p per share, included within our 120p price target. We still see >50% upside from current levels.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone (Buy, 120p, +56%) Was 135p Target price/ model update: T...

We don't usually aim to publish price target updates over the weekend, so please do forgive us, but with today being May 31st and Vodafone's desire to close the UK merger during H1 and at a month-end, we would like to think that the UK deal closing could be very imminent - and maybe even today.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

BT (Buy, £2.40, +46%) Dig a bit deeper and it is better than the headl...

Going into these results, we believe that two numbers were in focus – the Openreach line losses and the new FY26 guidance. In this note we dig into both of these in more detail and highlight why having TalkTalk as a major ISP on the Openreach network is causing them specific issues driving some of the higher line losses.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone (Buy, 135p, +82%) FY 2025: Trying to move the debate on from ...

The broad theme of Vodafone’s results remains the same as in past periods: Germany has been disappointing and has been the main focus of the market, but other parts of the business have been able to offset it, with increasing weight now on Vodacom for FY26.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

BT (Buy, £2.40, +45%) TNT Sports exit - what are the financial implica...

The FT has reported that BT could sell its 50% stake in TNT Sports to WBD – maybe this week alongside FY results on Thursday. We assess the potential financial implications of this as it might be positive vs. market perception but could be negative vs. our valuation.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone (Buy, 135p, +87%) Vodafone CFO departing: Quick thoughts

Vodafone has announced that Luka Mucic will be stepping down as Vodafone CFO by year-end, after only taking on the role in September 2023. We run through some quick thoughts on this move here and set out our estimates ahead of results in 2 weeks time

 PRESS RELEASE

Talkspace Announces First Quarter 2025 Results

Talkspace Announces First Quarter 2025 Results 1Q 2025 Total revenue grew 15% year-over-year to $52.2 million driven by 33% year-over-year growth in Payor revenue 1Q 2025 Net income of $0.3 million and adjusted EBITDA1 of $2.0 million 1Q 2025 Share repurchases of $7.0 million NEW YORK, May 06, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- (“Talkspace” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: TALK), today reported first quarter 2025 financial results.   Three Months Ended March 31, 2025     Unaudited Results % Variance fromPrior Year (In thousands unless otherwise noted)     Number of completed Payor sessi...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone (Buy, 135p, +93%) Vodacom upside undervalued

When talking about Vodafone with market participants, almost all of the discussion tends to be on Germany. However, this morning my colleague Chris has upgraded his estimates for Vodacom and we have increased our target from ZAR150 to ZAR180 – with the full details published here. We believe the positive benefits from Vodacom are being overlooked in the Vodafone share price and we re-visit that thesis in this note with an updated view on Vodafone.

 PRESS RELEASE

Talkspace to Report First Quarter 2025 Results and Host Conference Cal...

Talkspace to Report First Quarter 2025 Results and Host Conference Call NEW YORK, April 16, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Talkspace (Nasdaq: TALK), a leading behavioral healthcare company, today announced that it will release its first quarter 2025 results on Tuesday, May 6, 2025, before market open and host a conference call to review the results at 8:30am ET. Conference Call DetailsThe conference call will be available via audio webcast at / and can also be accessed by dialing (888) 596-4144 for U.S. participants, or +1 (646) 968-2525 for international participants, and referencing particip...

Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer
  • Russell Waller

EU TELCOS: What a recessionary scenario might look like

When the news of the Trump tariffs first hit the tapes, we didn’t write anything initially as a) we didn’t think we had much of value to add to the thousands of column inches already written on the topic, and b) the direct impact from the tariffs to the EU telecoms sector is minimal – resulting in relative outperformance for the group over the past few days.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone (Buy, 135p, +87%) India value extraction on the horizon?

Vodafone’s lock-up in India expires at the end of this month. Given the news today on a debt-for-equity swap involving the Indian Government at Vodafone Idea, we explore the implications of this and whether there could be a surprise value crystallisation for Vodafone on the cards.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

UK Telecoms Access Review What now happens beyond 2031? BT (Buy, £2.4...

Ofcom has published their long-awaited regulatory review setting out the framework for the period 2026-31. The good news is that in reality not much changes between now and 2031 – in line with expectations - and we see this as supportive for our Buy case on BT.

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Liberty Global to buy out VodafoneZiggo? Our Take.

It is being reported that Liberty Global is in talks with Vodafone about potentially buying out their 50% stake in VodafoneZiggo.

 PRESS RELEASE

Talkspace Supports U.S. Navy Pilot to Provide Free Virtual Mental Heal...

Talkspace Supports U.S. Navy Pilot to Provide Free Virtual Mental Health Services NEW YORK, March 10, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Today (NASDAQ: TALK), a leading online behavioral health care company, announced it will support the U.S. Navy’s pilot program to provide access to therapy and mental health resources for approximately 25,000 sailors and their dependents. The pilot, which is the first of its kind for the U.S. Navy, launched for 6 bases: Newport News Shipyard, Puget Sound Naval Shipyard, Naval Base Guam, Naval Base Ventura County (Port Hueneme), Naval Construction Battalion Center...

 PRESS RELEASE

Talkspace to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences

Talkspace to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferences NEW YORK, Feb. 25, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Talkspace (Nasdaq: TALK), a leading behavioral healthcare company, today announced that members of senior management will participate in the following upcoming investor conferences: The TD Cowen 45th Annual Health Care Conference, being held in Boston, on Monday, March 3, 2025, including a fireside chat presentation at 11:10am ET.The Barclays 27th Annual Global Healthcare Conference, being held in Miami, on Tuesday, March 11, 2025, including a fireside chat presentation at 1:00pm ET. A w...

 PRESS RELEASE

Talkspace Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Results

Talkspace Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Results Full year 2024 total revenue grew 25% year-over-year to $187.6 millionFull year 2024 net income of $1.1 million and adjusted EBITDA1 of $7.0 million 4Q 2024 total revenue grew 15% year-over-year to $48.7 million4Q 2024 net income of $1.2 million and adjusted EBITDA1 of $2.7 million NEW YORK, Feb. 20, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- (“Talkspace” or the “Company”) (NASDAQ: TALK), today reported fourth quarter and full year 2024 financial results.     Three Months Ended December 31, 2024 Year Ended December 31, 2024     Una...

James Ratzer
  • James Ratzer

Vodafone (Buy, 135p, +107%) Model update - German EBITDA could just gr...

Following Vodafone’s results earlier today, we now publish an updated model to reflect their comments. We reduce our price target from 150p to 135p (4.8x EBITDAaL), but still believe that Vodafone’s “ambition” to grow German EBITDA in FY26 could just be possible.

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