Bible 1Q25: Telecom Infrastructure – Mobile stabilizes off the lows, ...

Today, we are publishing the Telecom Infrastructure section of our 27th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Enterprise IT and PCs. Fixed equipment revenues are rebounding from the inventory correction, rising 9% YoY. RAN spending is stabilizing, up l...

TSMC & ASML signals, Auto semi recovery, and more. The Tech Weekly Wra...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week. For our main takes summarized on a single slide, and a few words on each of the 14 names we followed last week, follow the link below.

Tariffs – How would a recession affect our coverage?

The tariffs announced by the Trump administration in the last two weeks have resulted in major swings in the stock market and broader concerns regarding the global economy. We developed a framework to understand the situation and interpret its daily evolution last week and follow up today with an initial perspective on potential macro implications.

Ericsson 1Q25: Market Stabilizing; Record Margins; Limited Tariff Impa...

Ericsson reported 1Q25 this morning. Please click the link below for our take on the print.

Tariffs: Smartphones, PC, semicap equipment, and others excluded - Our...

As a follow-up to the baseline thesis we published on Friday about U.S. tariffs, we provide below our assessment of latest developments announced on Friday.

Getting over Tariffs – Step back. Rethink. Move on.

Swings observed in the last 10 days has been second to none. The Great Financial Crisis and Covid didn’t get us in a worst spot. Make no mistake: The markets are panicking today even more than when the world came to a COVID standstill, with the individual contributors to the vast majority of the world’s GDP locked down. How reasonable is that? Very little, in our view. The polarization of the political landscape has created a global brain freeze. Few analyses calmly assess the U.S. administrati...

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 4Q24

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 240 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.

Bible 4Q24: Telecom Infrastructure – Recovery across the board

Today, we are publishing the Telecom Infrastructure section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. Telecom capex rebounded, up 13% YoY, driving a strong recovery across the value chain—from fixed and mobile equipment to semiconductors. Nokia remains our top pick in the sector.

Ericsson 4Q24: record gross margin but higher opex weighs on EBIT. Mai...

Ericsson reported 4Q24 this morning. Please click the link below for our take on the print.

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 3Q24

We publish today our comprehensive Quarterly Bible: 238 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.

Bible 3Q24: Telecom Infrastructure - Timid recovery, positive margin t...

ASML crash, TSMC beat and raise, Wolfspeed lifeline, and more. Tech We...

As always, during earnings season, we wrap-up what happened in the previous week.

Ericsson 3Q24: Networks recovering in US; near-record gross margins

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 2Q24

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 224 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.

Bible 2Q24 - Telecom Infrastructure: Past the bottom of the cycle

Today, we are publishing the Telecom Infrastructure section of our 24th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Cloud Infrastructure, PCs, Enterprise IT, and Ride sharing & Delivery. The telecom infrastructure value chain is still working thro...

Ericsson 2Q24: At the trough of the cycle. Neutral, SEK75.

Ericsson 2Q24: At the trough of the cycle

Ericsson reported 2Q24 this morning.

The Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible 1Q24

We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 224 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides:

Bible 1Q24 - Service Provider Infrastructure: Approaching the bottom o...

Today, we are publishing the Service Provider Equipment section of our 23rd Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 130 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, and Enterprise IT. The inventory correction across the industry worsened: fixed and mobile equipment revenues both declined by...

Ericsson 1Q24: Revenues stabilizing, margins improving: are we approac...