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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR190, +15%) MTN Uganda – Q2 25 Quick Take: Solid EBIT...

MTN Uganda has reported a decent set of Q2 results. Top line trends were roughly similar to Q1, still impacted by the MTR cut on the voice side. However, data growth remained solid and EBITDA margins were good.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare
Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR190, +23%) MTN Nigeria – Q2 25: Very strong, guidanc...

MTN Nigeria has reported a very strong set of Q2 results, supported by a full quarter of price increase and the company has upgraded its FY25 and medium-term guidance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Nigerian Telcos Strong start to the year, full price increase boost y...

Local currency growth accelerated to above 40% in Q1, and is likely to continue to accelerate in Q2 driven by a full quarter impact from the 50% price increase approval, and stabilising macro.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR190, +59%) Q1 25: Group trends accelerating driven b...

MTN has reported a solid set of Q1 results with service revenue and EBITDA trends accelerating again. Therefore, service revenue continued to trend above the MT guidance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR190, +58%) MTN Uganda – Q1 25 Quick Take: Slower top...

MTN Uganda has reported a slower set of Q1 results due to the MTR cut. However, margins were solid and OpFCF growth inflected. The company has reiterated its medium-term guidance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR190, +60%) MTN Rwanda – Q1 25: Still mixed but MT gu...

MTN Rwanda has reported a somewhat mixed set of Q1 numbers. On the one hand, service revenue trends slowed, impacted by strong competition. On the other hand, EBITDA growth is back into positive territory and low capex spend this quarter translated into solid OpFCF

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

South African Telcos Continuous (modest) improvements; CY24 H2 review

H2 was a better semester for the SA Telcos. Service revenue and KPI trends continued to (modestly) improve and capex intensity continued to reduce.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +16%) MTN Rwanda – Q4 24 Quick take: Still mixe...

MTN Rwanda has reported a mixed set of Q4 numbers. Service revenue trends continued to inflect, and the company achieved its FY24 guidance for service revenue growth, but EBITDA trends slightly deteriorated.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +11%) MTN Uganda – Q4 24 Quick Take: Slower but...

MTN Uganda has reported a slower but solid set of Q4 numbers and has reiterated medium-term guidance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Nigerian Telcos Nigerian Telcos – Price increase is finally coming, i...

A price increase is coming soon according to the Nigerian press. The magnitude is not yet known but this is positive news (potentially very positive) for the Nigerian Telcos, Airtel Africa and MTN.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +57%) Q3 24: Solid, SR growth back on track wit...

MTN has reported a solid set of Q3 results with service revenue and EBITDA trends accelerating and service revenue trending back in line with the MT guidance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +52%) MTN Rwanda – Q3 24 Quick take: Mixed quar...

MTN Rwanda has reported a mixed set of Q3 numbers. Service revenue trends inflected and are back into positive territory while EBITDA trends eased but remained under pressure.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN Uganda (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +47%) – Q3 24 Quick Take: Slower but soli...

MTN Uganda has reported a slower but solid set of Q3 numbers and has upgraded medium-term guidance for service revenue growth.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +50%) MTN Ghana – Q3 24 Quick Take: Faster quart...

MTN Ghana has reported a good set of Q3 results with both service revenue and EBITDA trends accelerating and solid data subscriber net additions.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +48%) MTN Nigeria Q3 24 Quick Take: A much bette...

MTN Nigeria has reported a much better set of results. Top line growth accelerated again, and EBITDA growth is back into positive territory, helped by the tower lease renegotiations.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EMEA & African Telcos & Towers - High Yield Review – Initiate Coverage...

Following similar efforts in Europe and LatAm we are launching coverage on the HY Telcos & Towers in EMEA & Africa. New names under coverage include Helios (also initiated on equity, pt GBp140), Axian Telecom and Liquid Intelligent. We also address IHS Towers (pt cut to US$ 6), VEON and Helios’ bonds.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

African Telcos - Catch Back: Headwinds easing, many markets to 2 playe...

We see signs that the macro pressure of the last 2 years is leading to easing competition, as has happened in the past.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

South African Telcos - Upgrade as the long cycle turns. Vodacom to Buy...

As the long cycle of competition turns, we upgrade price targets for both MTN and Vodacom.

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