The tone at AWC’s 1Q25 analyst meeting was neutral. The company delivered a strong core profit of Bt728m (+14.3% yoy, +7.6% qoq), which is in line with our and consensus forecasts. Going forward, the tourism sector faces a challenging outlook. AWC is actively adapting strategies to combat the poor outlook by switching its focus to another target customer group. The 2Q25 outlook is still positive as the number of bookings is showing a yoy growth. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt3.30.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy US-China Negotiations Progress in Geneva, Switzerland. Positive sign for trade negotiations from US and China. Results Banpu (BANPU TB/HOLD/Bt4.90/Target: Bt4.80) 1Q25: Net loss narrows qoq. Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt20.40/Target: Bt24.00) 1Q25: Weak quarter, but recovery in sight. Thai Oil (TOP TB/HOLD/Bt27.25/Target: Bt27.00) 1Q25: Net profit in line with our expectations. Update Asset World...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property: Channel check of Shanghai’s primary residential market; closer look at Hong Kong properties’ rental yields. MALAYSIA Results Westports Holdings (WPRTS MK/HOLD/RM4.53/Target: RM4.40): 1Q25: Results in line. WPRTS believes global acclimation towards tariff impact will rebalance trades; maintaining its 0-5% volume growth expectation. SINGAPORE Sector Banking: 1Q25 round-up: First-order direct impact assessed to be manageable. Upgrade to OVERWE...
GREATER CHINA Sector Macau Gaming: Apr 25 GGR beat expectations; May Day Golden Week visitor arrivals expected to grow 4% yoy. Results ASMPT (522 HK/BUY/HK$52.20/Target: HK$68.00): 1Q25: Earnings disappoint; mainstream tools recovering in 2025 but visibility remains low. Maintain BUY. China Tourism Group Duty Free (601888 CH/BUY/Rmb63.40/Target: Rmb70.80): 1Q25: Core net profit down 16% yoy; sequential improvement in Hainan duty-free sales. Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK/BUY/HK$18.94/Target: HK$30.00)...
AWC is expected to report a core profit of Bt736m (+15.6% yoy, +8.9% qoq) in 1Q25. Despite the weak outlook of the Chinese market, hotel performance remained strong. Contribution from the retail business was also decent, due to higher occupancy rates and rental rates in several locations. Moreover, we expect margins to expand yoy. The 2Q25 outlook is promising with the number of bookings and ADR still showing a yoy growth. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt3.30.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Property 1Q25 earnings under pressure; recovery outlook remains uncertain. Update Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/BUY/Bt2.20/Target: Bt3.30) Expect strong earnings growth in 1Q25. Bumrungrad Hospital (BH TB/HOLD/Bt168.50/Target: Bt178.00) Less optimistic on foreign patient numbers. Downgrade to HOLD. Siam Cement (SCC TB/HOLD/Bt160.00/Target: Bt160.00) Timeline for the LSP project to resume operations remains uncertain.
AWC has been showing robust RevPar growth and a gradual improvement in profitability ever since the COVID-19 pandemic. This year, management aims to achieve continued strong growth in its existing hotels, and to have many new openings commence operations. Thus far, 1Q25 has seemed promising as AWC’s hotel occupancy rate has improved qoq while RevPar has also risen qoq and yoy. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt3.30.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Add CR Beer, Desay, JBM Healthcare, JD Logistics, Minth, WuXi App Tech and Xiaomi Corp to our BUY list. Take profit on AIA, Hansoh Pharma, JD and Zijin Mining. Sector Automobile: Weekly: Solid growth in PV sales. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay SV. IT Hardware: AI devices and AI robots to remain as key investment theme throughout 2025. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Property Management: 2024 results wr...
3Q23 core profit was Bt135m (+2,087% yoy, +56% qoq). The key driver for the yoy growth came from the recovery of hotel operations, with RevPar growing 29% yoy, flat qoq and close to normalised levels. Meanwhile, the strong qoq growth was due to lower costs in the retail business. We believe the stock price has limited downside, which makes AWC an attractive long-term investment opportunity. Upgrade to BUY. Target price: Bt5.30.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/BUY/Bt3.56/Target: Bt5.30) 3Q23: Good long-term investment; upgrade to BUY. Bangchak Corporation PCL (BCP TB/BUY/Bt40.75/Target: Bt52.00) 3Q23: Record-high net profit. Berli Jucker (BJC TB/HOLD/Bt29.75/Target: Bt31.50) 3Q23: Lower-than-expected earnings; weak 4Q23 earnings momentum. Downgrade to HOLD. IRPC (IRPC TB/HOLD/Bt2.02/Target: Bt2.50) 3Q23: Results largely in line but earnings outlook still under pressure PTT Global Chemical (P...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: EV sales up 38% yoy and 9% mom in 1-6 August, in line with estimates. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Top BUYs: BYD, CATL and Li Auto. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$94.30/Target: HK$133.00): 1QFY24: Strong beat on all levels after restructuring. Hysan Development (14 HK/BUY/HK$17.56/Target: HK$26.18): 1H23: Results distorted by AEI; competitiveness of retail portfolio enhanced. INDONESIA Results United Tractors (UNTR IJ/HOLD/Rp27,600/Target: Rp28,000):2Q23...
2Q23 net profit was Bt1.1b (+45% yoy, -21% qoq), while core profit was Bt86m (+142% yoy, -81% qoq), below our and consensus estimates by 33% and 73% respectively. The key pressure was higher SG&A expenses from opening a new hotel and marketing expenses. We cut 2023-24 earnings by 24% and 17% respectively to be more conservative. Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt5.30.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Esso Thailand (ESSO TB/HOLD/Bt9.30/Target: Bt9.80) 2Q23: Weak results. GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt11.90/Target: Bt15.00) 2Q23: Better-than-expected results. Earnings to still be better than peers’. PTT (PTT TB/BUY/Bt35.75/Target: Bt41.00) 2Q23: Net profit within expectations. WHA Corporation (WHA TB/HOLD/Bt4.88/Target: Bt5.20) 2Q23: Impressive results beating our forecasts. Update Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/HOLD/Bt4.36/Target: Bt5.30) 2Q23: Earnings missed due to high...
Despite the imminent global recession, Thailand is back on track for an economic recovery driven by tourism and domestic consumption. The relief in the political situation should positively affect consumer spending and market sentiment. Also, the uncertainty in the global supply chain makes Thailand an attractive investment destination. Top picks: AMATA, AWC, AOT, BJC, CPALL, MINT, ERW and SCB. Small-cap stock pick: NSL.
AWC announced to acquire the Plaza Athenee Hotel in New York, with an investment of Bt7.8b. Although the net incremental value is positive at Bt0.8b (or Bt0.03/share), the purchase price per room and implied EV/EBITDA are relatively expensive at Bt54m/room (vs peers: Bt15m/room) and 22x (vs peers: 11-15x). Maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt5.80.
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity: May data below expectations; focus turns to possible stimulus. Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales down 25% mom during 1-11 June, missing estimates Maintain UNDERWEIGHT with preference for the EV segment. Top BUYs: BYD, Li Auto and CATL. Small/Mid Cap Highlights Haitian International (1882 HK/NOT RATED/HK$18.12): Targeting double-digit revenue growth in 2023. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage PT Telkom (TLKM IJ/BUY/Rp4,000.00/Target: Rp4,700.00): Optimism on...
AWC reported core profit of Bt446m (+254% yoy, +23% qoq), which beat our and consensus estimates by 13% and 7% respectively. The key driver was solid hotel performance, especially hotels in the southern part of Thailand. 2Q23 earnings are likely to surge yoy but drop qoq due to the low travel season. Given limited upside and softened earnings momentum in 2Q23, we maintain HOLD. Target price: Bt5.80.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt23.00/Target: Bt30.00) 1Q23: Results miss but still at a high level. Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/HOLD/Bt5.45/Target: Bt5.80) 1Q23: Earnings beat forecast, driven by hotels in upcountry. Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt70.00/Target: Bt80.00) 1Q23: Earnings up yoy and qoq, beating our expectations. CH Karnchang PCL (CK TB/BUY/Bt21.50/Target: Bt24.60) 1Q23: Robust bottom line due to revenue realisation of new projects. Electricity Gene...
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