Q1 was slightly below expectations and the CMD targets were broadly in line with our forecasts and consensus. We have raised our target price to NOK37 (34) on higher estimates but have downgraded to HOLD (BUY), as we find the valuation fair following the recent strong share price performance.
Having largely achieved its medium-term adj. EBITDA target from the 2022 CMD, we expect SATS to raise the bar at its upcoming CMD. We forecast a medium-term EBITDA guidance of NOK1.1bn–1.2bn, with expectations of improved performance in Sweden as the key driver. We reiterate our BUY and NOK34 target price.
SATS’s Q4 report was convincing, with figures above expectations and a strong outlook for higher membership and price growth. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to NOK34 (29) on our positive estimate revisions. At our target price, the stock would be trading in line with its historical P/E of 14x.
We are positive ahead of SATS’s Q4 report, expecting results slightly above consensus, primarily driven by lower costs. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target price to NOK29 (26) on peer group multiple expansion and slightly positive estimate revisions.
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