Banks tick all the boxes in the market’s current configuration: search for discounted sectors, cyclical momentum, sectors driven by long-term interest rates that remain high and shareholder returns through very high dividend yields. Technical analysis reveals a strong conviction since early March, and this should continue. We prefer banks in southern Europe, where the macro outlook is brighter. Alongside CaixaBank, which we are maintaining in our list of European Large Cap stocks, we ...
Banks tick all the boxes in the market’s current configuration: search for discounted sectors, cyclical momentum, sectors driven by long-term interest rates that remain high and shareholder returns through very high dividend yields. Technical analysis reveals a strong conviction since early March, and this should continue. We prefer banks in southern Europe, where the macro outlook is brighter. Alongside CaixaBank, which we are maintaining in our list of European Large Cap stocks, we ...
Les banques cochent toutes les cases de la configuration de marché actuelle : recherche de secteurs décotés, momentum cyclique, secteurs portés par des taux longs qui restent hauts, retour à l’actionnaire via un très haut dividend yield. L’analyse technique montre une forte conviction depuis début mars, qui devrait se poursuivre. Nous favorisons les banques du sud de l’Europe, à la macro plus avenante. Aux côtés de CaixaBank, que nous conservons dans notre liste de valeurs Large Caps ...
>What are the main lessons from Q4/FY 2023 earnings? - Q4 earnings release have confirmed our view on the sector detailed early December. We expected net interest income to be this year relatively flattish in Italy and Spain, to decrease on some names in the Benelux (ING) and to increase for French banks, which is consistent with 2024 outlook given by banks. We therefore did not play a country rotation in favour of North European banks vs South European banks, and we ...
>Key points from the exercise - The results of the 2023 EBA stress tests on banks were published last Friday evening. The application of new stress tests over three years to balance sheets at the end of 2022, with tougher assumptions/scenario (adverse) and within another challenging/uncertain overall context (recession, inflation, etc.), logically resulted in significant negative impacts on banks’ BS positions (capital, etc.) although with a fair and reassuring resili...
>Key points from the exercise - The results of the 2023 EBA stress tests on banks were published last Friday evening. The application of new stress tests over three years to balance sheets at the end of 2022, with tougher assumptions/scenario (adverse) and within another challenging/uncertain overall context (recession, inflation, etc.), logically resulted in significant negative impacts on banks’ BS positions (capital, etc.) although with a fair and reassuring resili...
Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") has today affirmed UBS Group AG's (UBSG) senior unsecured debt ratings at A3 and its Preferred Stock Non-cumulative (Additional Tier 1 or AT1 instruments) ratings at Baa3 (hyb). The rating outlook on UBSG's senior unsecured debts changed to positive from negativ...
Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") has today affirmed UBS Group AG's (UBSG) senior unsecured debt ratings at A3 and its Preferred Stock Non-cumulative (Additional Tier 1 or AT1 instruments) ratings at Baa3 (hyb). The rating outlook on UBSG's senior unsecured debts changed to positive from negativ...
A director at Credit Suisse Group AG sold 95,443 shares at 0.759CHF and the significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years c...
>Q1 2023 results weak and influenced by pending merger with UBS - Credit Suisse reported weak Q1 2023 results which were influenced by the pending merger with UBS. Reported pre-tax profit came to CHF 12.8bn and benefited from the writedown of CHF 15bn AT1 capital notes (as ordered by FINMA in the light of the planned merger with UBS). Other items affecting pre-tax income wear: i/ CHF 0.7bn pre-tax profit from the sale of a significant part of the Securitized Products...
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