reports
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- Jørgen Lian
2020 Bulkers Minor model adjustments
We have updated our estimates for the Q1 results, the company’s latest business update, and other minor model adjustments. Hence, we have raised our 2025e EBITDA by 2%, lowered 2026e by 1%, and maintain 2027e. We continue to believe that 2020 Bulkers’ highly transactable assets, robust financial set-up, and current discount to underlying values (EV/GAV of 0.87x) should cap the downside risk related to our cautious stance on the dry bulk segment near-term and find the risk/reward balanced. We do ...
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- Jørgen Lian
2020 Bulkers (Hold, TP: NOK116.00) - Tempered for now
We believe the outlook for the dry bulk segment remains muted near-term, entailing downside risk to current asset valuations (we see ~25% downside risk on 2010–2024 EV/EBITDA multiples). With 2020 Bulkers’ current valuation (0.87x EV/GAV), its highly transactable assets and robust set-up, we believe this should cap its downside potential near-term and that the risk/reward appears balanced. Hence, we reiterate our HOLD but have lowered our target price to NOK116 (125).
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- Jørgen Lian
Another abrupt change
The US Trade Representative on 17 April published revised US port fees with significant changes to the initial proposal based on industry feedback. In its current form, the fees will primarily discourage use of Chinese-controlled maritime trade services to the US, and directly affect the use of Chinese-built vessels in US ports (with several considerable exemptions to avoid harm to US trade). The previous broader fees based on fleet composition and share of Chinese-built vessels has been scrappe...
DHT DHT HOLDINGS INC.
SBL SAFE BULKERS INC.
LPG DORIAN LPG
GNK GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTD.
MAERSK B A.P. MOLLER - MAERSK A/S CLASS B
ODF ODFJELL ASA
WAWI WALLENIUS WILHELMSEN LOGISTICS ASA
WWI WILHELM WILHELMSEN HOLDING
SBLK STAR BULK CARRIERS CORP.
FRO FRONTLINE LTD.
G2O GOLAR LNG LIMITED
AMSC AMERICAN SHIPPING COMPANY ASA
SN6 STOLT-NIELSEN LTD.
BWLPG BW LPG LTD.
GOGLO GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD
AVACF AVANCE GAS HOLDINGS LTD
HUNT HUNTER GROUP ASA
STNG SCORPIO TANKERS INC.
FLNG FLEX LNG LTD.
SFL SFL CORPORATION LIMITED
TNK TEEKAY TANKERS
2020 2020 BULKERS LTD
KCC KLAVENESS COMBINATION CARRIERS
EGLE EAGLE BULK SHIPPING
MPCC MPC CONTAINER SHIPS AS
HAUTO HOEGH AUTOLINERS ASA
WEST WESTERN BULK CHARTERING
HAFNI HAFNIA
COOL COOL COMPANY LTD.
HSHP HIMALAYA SHIPPING LTD.
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
- Petter Haugen
- Jørgen Lian
‘The times they are a-changin’
The recurring theme at our 18th Energy & Shipping Conference was geopolitical uncertainty and a potential trade war, warranting a wait-and-see approach, particularly on the Trump 2.0 effect. The consensus view pointed to high asset values, with no rush to the yards, aligning with below-NAV valuations across most of our coverage. However, panellists generally saw less downside risk than the 25% average discount to steel for our Tanker, Dry Bulk and Gas coverage. Overall, the day highlighted uncer...
DHT DHT HOLDINGS INC.
SBL SAFE BULKERS INC.
LPG DORIAN LPG
GNK GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTD.
MAERSK B A.P. MOLLER - MAERSK A/S CLASS B
ODF ODFJELL ASA
WAWI WALLENIUS WILHELMSEN LOGISTICS ASA
WWI WILHELM WILHELMSEN HOLDING
SBLK STAR BULK CARRIERS CORP.
FRO FRONTLINE LTD.
G2O GOLAR LNG LIMITED
AMSC AMERICAN SHIPPING COMPANY ASA
SN6 STOLT-NIELSEN LTD.
BWLPG BW LPG LTD.
GOGLO GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD
AVACF AVANCE GAS HOLDINGS LTD
HUNT HUNTER GROUP ASA
STNG SCORPIO TANKERS INC.
FLNG FLEX LNG LTD.
SFL SFL CORPORATION LIMITED
TNK TEEKAY TANKERS
2020 2020 BULKERS LTD
KCC KLAVENESS COMBINATION CARRIERS
EGLE EAGLE BULK SHIPPING
MPCC MPC CONTAINER SHIPS AS
HAUTO HOEGH AUTOLINERS ASA
WEST WESTERN BULK CHARTERING
HAFNI HAFNIA
COOL COOL COMPANY LTD.
HSHP HIMALAYA SHIPPING LTD.
- Jørgen Lian
2020 Bulkers (Hold, TP: NOK125.00) - Potential on HOLD by market lull
Significantly weak Capesize markets continue to test asset valuation support, and even the most robust cash breakevens. Hence, we see 26% downside risk to 5-year-old asset values lagging behind the development in the freight market, while we forecast a muted run-rate dividend yield of ~4% for H1. However, when markets turn, the company provides premium dry bulk exposure, and we see potential for the return to a ~20% dividend yield on improved markets into 2026e. We reiterate our HOLD, but have c...
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
- Petter Haugen
- Jørgen Lian
DHT DHT HOLDINGS INC.
SBL SAFE BULKERS INC.
LPG DORIAN LPG
GNK GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTD.
MAERSK B A.P. MOLLER - MAERSK A/S CLASS B
ODF ODFJELL ASA
WAWI WALLENIUS WILHELMSEN LOGISTICS ASA
WWI WILHELM WILHELMSEN HOLDING
SBLK STAR BULK CARRIERS CORP.
FRO FRONTLINE LTD.
G2O GOLAR LNG LIMITED
AMSC AMERICAN SHIPPING COMPANY ASA
SN6 STOLT-NIELSEN LTD.
BWLPG BW LPG LTD.
GOGLO GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD
AVACF AVANCE GAS HOLDINGS LTD
HUNT HUNTER GROUP ASA
STNG SCORPIO TANKERS INC.
FLNG FLEX LNG LTD.
SFL SFL CORPORATION LIMITED
TNK TEEKAY TANKERS
2020 2020 BULKERS LTD
KCC KLAVENESS COMBINATION CARRIERS
EGLE EAGLE BULK SHIPPING
MPCC MPC CONTAINER SHIPS AS
HAUTO HOEGH AUTOLINERS ASA
WEST WESTERN BULK CHARTERING
HAFNI HAFNIA
COOL COOL COMPANY LTD.
HSHP HIMALAYA SHIPPING LTD.
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.