Pelham Smithers notes that the machinery order data for October is something of a curate’s egg. The numbers are strong but the pressure on capacity remains strained. As a result, companies may start to focus on making savings in non-production areas, such as G&A.
Analyst Lindsay Whipp is encouraged by the Q1 performance and even though investment is weighted to H2, that was also the case in FY25, when it significantly outperformed. There is a strong change it could do it again this year.
Visional has consistently beaten quarterly consensus OP estimates in all but three quarters since FY22 (Jul yr-end) Q2 and it has come in ahead of its own annual OP forecasts every year since FY22 as well. The recruitment platform operator will announce its FY26 Q1 results on 11 Dec. Although we think that it is more likely to meet than beat on OP due to investments for growth, we are optimistic that it will outperform later in the year and surpass its full-year forecasts once more. Trading on a...
PSA IT Services – Unpopularity Unwarranted – Sector Report In this report we discuss the overall results for the IT Services sector and then delve into each company in our coverage. Our valuations quadrant on page 9 provides a snapshot of the valuation of each company vs. their growth. It shows that half the companies under our coverage in the IT Service sector feature in the Higher Growth, Lower Valuation segment of the quadrant, underlining the opportunities that the sector still presents.
IIJ is flying under the radar in the IT Services sector. Its roots as Japan’s first ISP are playing a crucial role in its expansion as Japanese organisations shift to more open cloud-based IT systems, from which IIJ is winning larger project. Coupled with its higher-margin cyber security offerings and smart digital currency strategy, IIJ is in a strong position to improve OPM over the next three fiscal years. Meanwhile, valuations remain attractive. Analyst Lindsay Whipp explains.
For almost three years the Nikkei 225 has been tracking its performance from the 2003~5 bull market, albeit at levels some 3.3x higher In this report, Pelham Smithers discusses the similarities and asks three key questions: (1) Can we continue to track 2005 through the rest of the year; (2) Whatever happens in Q4, should we fear or be hopeful for 2026? And (3) Who are the upcoming winners and losers.
Visional: Well-Positioned for Future Growth Visional (4194 JT) is well-positioned for growth as Japanese companies increasingly look to mid-career professionals for recruiting while people continue to be reluctant to change jobs. Please see attached report by analyst Lindsay Whipp for details.
The most recent quarterly earnings for the system integrators highlighted the sustained increase in spending by Japanese financial institutions over recent quarters, as they seek to improve products and services amid a shift in interest rates and the introduction of tax-exempt investment accounts, and as interest in digital currencies grows. Analyst Lindsay Whipp reviews some of the DX spending undertaken by Japan’s banking industry and highlights beneficiaries'.
Money Forward (3994 JT) and Freee's (4478 JT) market caps have been converging as the latter starts a recovery from all-time lows. Freee's earlier shift to operating profitability has attracted investor attention, as MF guides for a deceleration in sales growth for its FY25. However, over the long-term, MF is looking more attractive.
In this quarterly strategy report, we look to evaluate where we are with regards the bull market conditions, and where those indicators might be headed, factoring in the downside risks, from Trump tariffs and the US economy, BoJ actions, Japanese earnings and valuations.
PSA: Enterprise Software: SMID-Cap IT Services Valuations-Growth Gap Looking for opportunities in SMID-cap IT services and SaaS companies with significant gaps between valuations and growth among those well positioned for growth in a changing world.
PSA ERP Software: Visional (4194 JT) Update Visional is expecting FY25 OP growth to slow sharply as is invests for growth. As a company that often beats its OP forecasts, the release of its FY25 Q1 results on 12 Dec will be the earliest indication as to whether it can outperform once more.
In response to disappointing Q2 results, a weak performance overseas and a revision down to the Industrial IT Solutions business, NRI shares were sold down -9% on 31 Oct. Lindsay Whipp suggests that close attention to this troubled areas must be monitored and until improvements are evidence, the rich valuations are not justified.
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