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Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Macro: Machinery Order Backlog Continues to Grow Despite Weak Defe...

Pelham Smithers notes that the machinery order data for October is something of a curate’s egg. The numbers are strong but the pressure on capacity remains strained. As a result, companies may start to focus on making savings in non-production areas, such as G&A.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA Enterprise Software / IT Services: Visional (4194 JT) FY26 Q1 OP C...

Analyst Lindsay Whipp is encouraged by the Q1 performance and even though investment is weighted to H2, that was also the case in FY25, when it significantly outperformed. There is a strong change it could do it again this year.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA Professional Services / HR & Employment Services: Visional (4194 J...

Visional has consistently beaten quarterly consensus OP estimates in all but three quarters since FY22 (Jul yr-end) Q2 and it has come in ahead of its own annual OP forecasts every year since FY22 as well. The recruitment platform operator will announce its FY26 Q1 results on 11 Dec. Although we think that it is more likely to meet than beat on OP due to investments for growth, we are optimistic that it will outperform later in the year and surpass its full-year forecasts once more. Trading on a...

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA IT Services – Unpopularity Unwarranted – Sector Report

PSA IT Services – Unpopularity Unwarranted – Sector Report In this report we discuss the overall results for the IT Services sector and then delve into each company in our coverage. Our valuations quadrant on page 9 provides a snapshot of the valuation of each company vs. their growth. It shows that half the companies under our coverage in the IT Service sector feature in the Higher Growth, Lower Valuation segment of the quadrant, underlining the opportunities that the sector still presents.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA ERP Software / IT Services: IIJ (3774 JT) Reports FY25 Q2 Outperfo...

IIJ’s FY25 Q2 came in ahead of consensus with the OPM improving +1.3ppts YoY. Analyst Linsday Whipp flags a strong order book to support further earnings growth. Moreover, the stock offers attractive valuations.

PSA Enterprise Software / IT Services: Internet Initiative Japan (3774...

IIJ is flying under the radar in the IT Services sector. Its roots as Japan’s first ISP are playing a crucial role in its expansion as Japanese organisations shift to more open cloud-based IT systems, from which IIJ is winning larger project. Coupled with its higher-margin cyber security offerings and smart digital currency strategy, IIJ is in a strong position to improve OPM over the next three fiscal years. Meanwhile, valuations remain attractive. Analyst Lindsay Whipp explains.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly for 2025 Q4

For almost three years the Nikkei 225 has been tracking its performance from the 2003~5 bull market, albeit at levels some 3.3x higher In this report, Pelham Smithers discusses the similarities and asks three key questions: (1) Can we continue to track 2005 through the rest of the year; (2) Whatever happens in Q4, should we fear or be hopeful for 2026? And (3) Who are the upcoming winners and losers.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA IT Services – Visional (4194 JT): Well-Positioned for Growth

Visional: Well-Positioned for Future Growth Visional (4194 JT) is well-positioned for growth as Japanese companies increasingly look to mid-career professionals for recruiting while people continue to be reluctant to change jobs. Please see attached report by analyst Lindsay Whipp for details.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA IT Services: Japanese Banking Industry’s Investment in DX Deepens

The most recent quarterly earnings for the system integrators highlighted the sustained increase in spending by Japanese financial institutions over recent quarters, as they seek to improve products and services amid a shift in interest rates and the introduction of tax-exempt investment accounts, and as interest in digital currencies grows. Analyst Lindsay Whipp reviews some of the DX spending undertaken by Japan’s banking industry and highlights beneficiaries'.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA IT Services / Application Software: Spending on Business Services ...

In this review on Japan’s spending on business software, Pelham Smithers notes how small it is as a percent of GDP. This trend is likely to change with sharp growth expected ahead.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Technology: Japanese AI Stocks Revisited

At first glance, it feels like the Japanese stock market has reacted unusually slowly to the surge in AI infrastructure stocks in the US. Pelham Smithers flags winners on this theme.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA IT Services: Share Price Appreciation, Confident FY25 Forecasts an...

Lindsay Whipp reviews the recent earnings performance of the IT Sector and assesses their outlook for FY25. Orders are strong, backlogs are growing and there are some attractive valuations – particularly for IIJ.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA IT Services: Sector Strategy

Tariffs and the threat of a global economic downturn make the case for owning IT service companies even stronger, argues analyst Lindsay Whipp in this report, with productivity enhancement tools potentially to be in even greater demand.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA ERP Software / IT Services: Money Forward (3994 JT) and Freee’s (4...

Money Forward (3994 JT) and Freee's (4478 JT) market caps have been converging as the latter starts a recovery from all-time lows. Freee's earlier shift to operating profitability has attracted investor attention, as MF guides for a deceleration in sales growth for its FY25. However, over the long-term, MF is looking more attractive.

Pelham Smithers
  • Pelham Smithers

PSA Strategy: Japan Stock Market Quarterly for 2025 Q2

In this quarterly strategy report, we look to evaluate where we are with regards the bull market conditions, and where those indicators might be headed, factoring in the downside risks, from Trump tariffs and the US economy, BoJ actions, Japanese earnings and valuations.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA: Enterprise Software: SMID-Cap IT Services Valuations-Growth Gap

PSA: Enterprise Software: SMID-Cap IT Services Valuations-Growth Gap Looking for opportunities in SMID-cap IT services and SaaS companies with significant gaps between valuations and growth among those well positioned for growth in a changing world.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA Enterprise Software / IT Services: TIS (3626 JT) – Looking for a G...

Coming in ahead of consensus for FY24 and supported by a strong order backlog, analyst Lindsay Whipp anticipates earnings growth to recover in FY25.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA ERP Software: Visional (4194 JT) Update

PSA ERP Software: Visional (4194 JT) Update Visional is expecting FY25 OP growth to slow sharply as is invests for growth. As a company that often beats its OP forecasts, the release of its FY25 Q1 results on 12 Dec will be the earliest indication as to whether it can outperform once more.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA ERP Software / IT Services: IIJ (3774 JT) FY24 Q2 Results

Analyst Lindsay Whipp takes us through the Q2 performance for IIJ and anticipates growth to continue.

Lindsay Whipp
  • Lindsay Whipp

PSA IT Services: NRI (4307 JT) FY24 Q2 Results

In response to disappointing Q2 results, a weak performance overseas and a revision down to the Industrial IT Solutions business, NRI shares were sold down -9% on 31 Oct. Lindsay Whipp suggests that close attention to this troubled areas must be monitored and until improvements are evidence, the rich valuations are not justified.

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