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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +57%) Q3 24: Solid, SR growth back on track wit...

MTN has reported a solid set of Q3 results with service revenue and EBITDA trends accelerating and service revenue trending back in line with the MT guidance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

VEON (Buy, TP: $65, +93%) Q3 24 Quick Take: Revenue in-line but EBITD...

Revenue came in-line with expectations led again by Pakistan and Kazakhstan with Ukraine improving further. However, underlying EBITDA was softer against last quarter.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

IHS Towers (Buy, TP: $6, +140%) Q3 24: Solid quarter, lower capex guid...

IHS Towers has reported a solid quarter. Both group revenue and EBITDA came in above consensus expectations (and our expectations) and the company posted strong margins this quarter.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Helios Towers (Buy, TP: GBp140, +33%) Q3 24: Mixed quarter; encouragi...

Helios Towers has reported a mixed set of Q3 results. Revenue missed consensus while EBITDA came in in line. The company has increased guidance for organic tenancy net additions and is guiding towards the high end of the FY24 guidance.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +52%) MTN Rwanda – Q3 24 Quick take: Mixed quar...

MTN Rwanda has reported a mixed set of Q3 numbers. Service revenue trends inflected and are back into positive territory while EBITDA trends eased but remained under pressure.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN Uganda (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +47%) – Q3 24 Quick Take: Slower but soli...

MTN Uganda has reported a slower but solid set of Q3 numbers and has upgraded medium-term guidance for service revenue growth.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +50%) MTN Ghana – Q3 24 Quick Take: Faster quart...

MTN Ghana has reported a good set of Q3 results with both service revenue and EBITDA trends accelerating and solid data subscriber net additions.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

MTN (Buy, TP: ZAR130, +48%) MTN Nigeria Q3 24 Quick Take: A much bette...

MTN Nigeria has reported a much better set of results. Top line growth accelerated again, and EBITDA growth is back into positive territory, helped by the tower lease renegotiations.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Airtel Africa (Buy, TP: £2, +82%) Q2 25: Solid operationally, near-te...

Airtel Africa has reported a better set of Q2 results with both Group revenue and EBITDA trends inflecting this quarter.

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Mas Orange (Equal weight) Q3 24: Acceleration in SR and EBITDAaL grow...

MasOrange (MA) has reported a good set of numbers, subs continue to grow nicely, and SR and EBITDA growth has accelerated (77% of FY24 synergies have been delivered already).

Russell Waller
  • Russell Waller

Orange (Buy, TP: €14.3, +40%) Q3 24: Solid EBITDAaL, encouraging Fran...

Orange has reported a very solid set of results, with Telco EBITDA c+0.3% ahead of consensus.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EM Telcos Q2 24: Enterprise softer but remains a secular trend

Following our work on the structural growth of EM Enterprise revenues, we highlight Q2 enterprise numbers to see how the story is trending.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

VEON (Buy, TP: $65 from $40, +117%) Focus on Digital, Buy, PT to US$6...

VEON is more exposed to a wider range of “beyond telco” assets than almost any other EM Telco. We deep dive on these, as well as assess the synergies from network separation/consolidation. As a result, our price target rises from US$ 40/ADR to US$ 65. VEON remains a top pick for us in Global EM.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EM Towers Q2 CY24 review: Improving trends in China and Africa, Indon...

Revenue and EBITDA trends improved again for China Tower, which alongside stable depreciation supported bottom-line momentum. In Indonesia, MTEL and TOWR continued to perform where the latter benefited from faster growth in its Fibre business thus should act as a buffer should the XL and Smartfren deal were to proceed.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Helios Towers - Initiation. Buy. Price target GBp 140

Helios Towers is an African-focused TowerCo with largest markets being DRC and Tanzania (and Oman). The group has been less aggressive around expansion than its peer, IHS, and leverage is under control.

Ben Rickett ... (+3)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer
  • Russell Waller

EU TELECOMS REFRESH: Can the outperformance continue?

When was the last time we could write that the EU Telecoms sector has been the second best performing sector in the market YTD? As a result, this raises the question of whether the outperformance can continue. We believe regulation will ultimately determine the answer to this question.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

EMEA & African Telcos & Towers - High Yield Review – Initiate Coverage...

Following similar efforts in Europe and LatAm we are launching coverage on the HY Telcos & Towers in EMEA & Africa. New names under coverage include Helios (also initiated on equity, pt GBp140), Axian Telecom and Liquid Intelligent. We also address IHS Towers (pt cut to US$ 6), VEON and Helios’ bonds.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

IHS Towers (Buy, TP: $8, +170%) Investor call feedback

We had an encouraging call last week with IHS CFO, Steve Howden. Credit investors have started to recognise the positive steps taken by the company in recent months, although the equity continues to lag.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

VEON (Buy, TP: $40, +33%) Feedback from VEON NDR

We hosted VEON in London and New York over the last fortnight. Financing risk has improved materially, and operationally the company continues to perform well in our view.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

African Telcos - Catch Back: Headwinds easing, many markets to 2 playe...

We see signs that the macro pressure of the last 2 years is leading to easing competition, as has happened in the past.

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