reports
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos When does Digital drive a re-rating? Upgrade VEON, V...
We analyze how much revenue EM Telcos are generating from digital businesses, and therefore at what point they are likely to make the transition from being “Telcos with digital assets” to “Digital first”. We use this to predict when the market is likely to re-rate those exposed, and as a result make multiple upgrades across our GEM Telcos.
- Chris Hoare
VEON’s JazzCash Wins Silver Award for Innovation in Lending at Money20...
VEON’s JazzCash Wins Silver Award for Innovation in Lending at Money20/20 USA 2025 DUBAI / LAS VEGAS – October 28, 2025: VEON Ltd. (NASDAQ: VEON), a global digital operator (“VEON” and, together with its subsidiaries, the “Group”), today announces that its digital financial services platform in Pakistan, JazzCash, has won the Silver Award in the Banking category at Money20/20 USA 2025, a leading global platform for the financial services ecosystem. The award recognizes ReadyCash, JazzCash’s pioneering digital lending feature that provides instant and accessible credit to individuals and mi...
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
VEON (Buy, $65, +29%) [Sponsored Research] 3Q25 Earnings Preview
Ahead of VEON's results day on 10th November, we lay out our 3Q25 expectations. We highlight two non-cash charges that are likely and present our expectations for adjusted earnings in this note. We continue to see VEON is a unique operator whose expanding digital presence has created a strong ecosystem in our view. It remains as one of our top EM picks.
VEON to Release 3Q25 Earnings Update on November 10, 2025
VEON to Release 3Q25 Earnings Update on November 10, 2025 VEON to Release 3Q25 Earnings Update on November 10, 2025 Dubai, October 24, 2025 – VEON Ltd. (NASDAQ: VEON), a global digital operator, today confirms that it will release its selected consolidated financial and operating results for the third quarter and nine-month period ended September 30, 2025, at 9:00 GST (0:00 EST) on November 10, 2025. VEON will also host a results conference call with senior management at 16:00 GST (7:00 EST) on the same day. 3Q25 results conference call To register and access the event, please click her...
- Russell Waller
Orange (Buy, TP: €16.2, +15%) Q3 25: Solid numbers, Group EBITDAaL gui...
Orange has reported a solid set of results, with Telco revenue and EBITDA in-line with consensus expectations; Bank losses are lower than expected and Group EBITDAaL guidance has been lifted as a result (despite a small downgrade to OBS guidance).
- Chris Hoare
VEON’s Beeline Kazakhstan to Acquire Online Classifieds Business OLX ...
VEON’s Beeline Kazakhstan to Acquire Online Classifieds Business OLX Kazakhstan Astana, Amsterdam and Dubai, October 21, 2025 – VEON Ltd. (Nasdaq: VEON) (“VEON”), a global digital operator, and OLX Group announce today that Beeline Kazakhstan, VEON’s Kazakh operating company, has agreed to acquire 100% of the Kazakh online classifieds business OLX Kazakhstan (“OLX KZ”), from OLX Group for a total consideration of USD 75 million. Founded as a marketplace connecting millions of buyers and sellers across goods and services, jobs, autos and real estate, OLX KZ is one of the most widely used ...
- Russell Waller
Orange (Buy, TP: €16.4, +21%) Bouygues (Buy, TP: €54, +39%) Altice Fra...
After months of speculation, there is finally an offer for SFR in France. The deal structure is a lot more complicated than we thought it would be, but we think the offer is a fair one. We think the offer implies a synergy payment of €4.2bn, and values the SFR equity at €15/share, if XpFibre, UltraEdge, ATS, Intelcia, and FOT are indeed worth €4bn, as the release suggests.
- Russell Waller
- Russell Waller
Altice France equity (Neutral, TP: €10.3, -14%) Altice France bonds (E...
The price war at the low end of the French mobile market, which began at the beginning of summer 2024, and which we have written about extensively (HERE, HERE, HERE and HERE), appears to be coming to an end, thanks to some tariff changes that should lead to higher APRUs. We show some new work on tariffs in France in this short report, that should be good for all the MNOs.
- Russell Waller
Altice France equity (Neutral, TP: €10.3, -14%) Altice France bonds (E...
New Altice France debt and equity is now trading. Given the material change in bond terms, and the creation of a new separately traded equity piece, we reassess our rating, and think that at these levels the bonds look pretty fairly valued, and so take the bond rating to Equal weight from Overweight (the old bonds ended up +20% from the lows), and initiate on the equity with a Neutral, as we think that the equity is already implying a high probability of a deal happening, and see minimal underli...
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
South African Telcos Solid H1 but expect prepaid weakness; CY25 H1 re...
Despite a small slowdown in MSR trends, the SA market saw further improvements in total revenue growth, EBITDA and OpFCF margins in H1. Telkom continued to gain revenue share in mobile, driven by prepaid while Vodacom continued to gain share in fixed. Trends on the SA market have been improving since two years ago, helped by the reduction in loadshedding and an improvement in the macro environment.
- Chris Hoare
Sub-Saharan African Telecoms Another good performance; Q2 25 review
The Sub-Saharan African (SSA) operators performed well again in Q2 with service revenue trends accelerating further, and stable OpFCF margins. MTN was the outperformer in terms of both local currency and $ top line performance in Q2, Airtel performed well too. Nigeria has contributed meaningfully this quarter, with local currency growth there accelerating to above 60%. The full effect of the price increase in Nigeria has helped and we expect another strong performance
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers First down month, AMX into the Top-10 for T...
After 8 extremely strong months, September bucked the trend. 6 of our Top Picks saw profit taking with only Airtel Africa, Millicom, Telefonica Brasil and LILAC posting positive returns. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space. Having strongly outperformed we switch out Millicom for AMX which we now see as a cheaper, lower risk, way to play Latin American telcos.
- Chris Hoare
EM Tower Trends Q2 CY25 review: Stable; Upgrade IHS and Helios price...
Tower revenue trends were stable at a slower pace across the board except for India’s Indus Tower as it benefited from VIL’s network catch up spend. However, EBITDA margins continue to generally improve except in Indonesia which faces the near-term pressure of the XL-Smartfren consolidation. We continue to see IHS as our preferred EM Towerco as it recovers from the numerous challenges of the past few years. We have upgraded our price targets for HIS (to US$10) and Helios (to £1.80).
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Nigerian Telcos Q2 25 review: Very strong; Upgrade MTN and AAF price ...
Local currency growth accelerated to above 60% in Q2 (from 40% in Q1), driven by a full quarter impact from the 50% price increase approval, and the improving macro. EBITDA performance in Q2 was very strong for both players and especially for MTN.
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