reports
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos What is the likely impact of the Iran war on EM Telc...
Oil prices create a macro headwind to the EM telco sector, as was seen after the Russian invasion of Ukraine. However, as the cliché says, history doesn’t repeat, it rhymes, and with many emerging countries mandating work from home we think this time is more likely to be a mix of Covid (positive) and Ukraine (negative) to EBITDA growth. This note shows what happened in these two previous shocks to help investors navigate the next few quarters.
TIGO SDB MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR SA SWEDISH DEPOSITORY RECEIPT
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
TRUE TRUE CORP. PUBLIC CO. LTD.
VIVT3 TELEFONICA BRASIL S.A.
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
VEON VEON LTD. SPONSORED ADR
LILAB LIBERTY GLOBAL PLC LILAC
AAF AIRTEL AFRICA
AMX AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
TIGO SDB MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR SA SWEDISH DEPOSITORY RECEIPT
Z74 SINGAPORE TELECOMMUNICATIONS LIMITED
TRUE TRUE CORP. PUBLIC CO. LTD.
VIVT3 TELEFONICA BRASIL S.A.
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
VEON VEON LTD. SPONSORED ADR
LILAB LIBERTY GLOBAL PLC LILAC
AAF AIRTEL AFRICA
AMX AMERICA MOVIL SAB DE CV
- Chris Hoare
Indian Telcos Q3 FY26 review: AGR relief for Vodafone Idea, Jio’s IPO...
India’s mobile revenue growth moderated as expected, as July 2024’s tariff increase has now been lapped. Jio’s IPO seems to be gathering steam, with Reliance rumoured to have appointed bankers after the government approved a change to allow listings with only 2.5% free float. Either before, or shortly after, we foresee another price increase.
- Ameerat Adamu
AIRTELAFRI 9M:2026 | Robust Growth Amid Currency Tailwinds; Reaffirmin...
Note: Airtel Africa Plc’s 9M:2026 results cover the period from April to December 2025, as the company’s financial year runs from April to March. Airtel Africa’s 9M:2026 results confirm sustained operational strength and improved financial resilience. Below are the key highlights: Accelerating revenue with FX boost: Revenue rose 28.3% YoY to USD4.67bn, driven by strong data growth (+39.7% YoY) and mobile money (+34.9% YoY). Customer base expanded 10%, while ARPU increased 16.7% YoY to USD...
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers The impossible dream – NSR GEM Top-10 March...
2025 was such a strong year for EM Telcos with the result that while remaining bullish we thought it was not plausible that 2026 would be as strong. Yet if anything the year has started better than 2025, with our picks up 18% ytd already, and up 113% since the start of 2025.
- Chris Hoare
EM Telcos Pricing power returns; where best; why (some) EM Telcos’ mu...
The resumption of pricing power is one of the key drivers of the rally in EM Telcos and perhaps the area where consensus is most sceptical. In this note we analyse which markets have the greatest potential for sustained pricing power, looking at key issues: affordability and regulatory and competitive structure.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers – Strong start – NSR GEM Top-10 February ‘26...
Our portfolio of Top Picks has started 2026 strongly, up 6% ytd already. This month we make no changes to our top picks. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
- Chris Hoare
EM Tower Trends Q3 CY25 review: Solid quarter, especially in Africa
Tower revenue trends were slightly slower across the board except for Indus Towers as it benefited again from VIL’s network catch up spend. EBITDA margins were roughly stable across EM except in Indonesia which faces the near-term pressure of the XL-Smartfren consolidation. Africa continue to perform well and the LatAm Towers space had a decent Q3.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
African & EMEA Telcos & Towers Outlook 2026; expecting another good y...
2025 was a very strong year for African Telcos, as macro stabilized and pricing recovered across the continent but especially in Nigeria. We think 2026 should be more of the same as stocks re-rate due to strength in the core coupled with exposure to digital. Very strong performance by Airtel Africa means Vodacom becomes our top pick in Africa, and VEON our top pick overall.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers 2025 wrapped. NSR GEM 2026 Top-10 unveiled:...
2025 was when the EM Telco bull market really took off. Two of our top picks returned >100% and four more 50%+. We make one change to our top picks for 2026 from 2025, introducing Megacable in exchange for IHS Towers. In a separate note out today we run through the Themes that we think will drive performance in 2026.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Themes and Top picks for 2026
EM Telcos have been strong for some time, but 2025 was a banner year. Multiples have expanded somewhat, but we remain bullish, as we think EM Telcos operate on a long cycle driven by market structure which has now definitively turned up We therefore see EM Telcos in a true stealth bull market as conditions still seem ripe for the best to exhibit pricing power and hence GDP+ revenue growth and rising ROIC. This note explains the key themes we see for 2026.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos Fish in a barrel? 8 Themes that drove EM Telcos in 2...
2025 was a banner year for EM Telcos, following on from a good 2023 and 2024. As we head towards the New Year we thought it might be useful to highlight a few of the thematic pieces we wrote last year that we think help to highlight why EM Telcos are in a clear and sustained bull market and why therefore we are confident that 2026 will be another good year for investors in the space, as fundamentals continue to look much stronger than in the past. I hope you enjoy reading these and happy holiday...
- Chris Hoare
Indian Telcos Q2 FY26 review: Remain constructive as Jio’s IPO nears
India’s mobile revenue growth moderated as expected, after lapping last year’s tariff increase. As the IPO of Jio nears, we foresee another potential price increase. Separately for Vodafone Idea, we think AGR relief seems likely but we question whether this is sufficient to enable the company to reach “escape velocity” and become a viable 3rd operator again.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Japan DC exposure, future developments and valuati...
EM & Japanese Telcos have more DC capacity than those in other regions. In this short note, we look at the current and future Data Center (DC) capacity for the telcos in our coverage as well as the potential valuation for these assets, in an attempt to contextualise this exposure.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Blow out Q3 results drive another great mon...
EM Telco earnings season was extremely strong, and with 8 of our 10 picks reporting this month, our picks rose 6.8% on average in November and are now up 80% YTD. With Singtel having strongly outperformed, Bharti we swap the latter in for the former; this note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Back to Black: NSR GEM Top-10 November ‘25 ...
Our portfolio of Top Picks was higher again in October, and now up 69% ytd. This month we make no changes to our top picks. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
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