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ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun
ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
Simen Aas
  • Simen Aas

Boozt (Hold, TP: SEK115.00) - Q3 miss highlights Q4 uncertainty

Despite the weak Q3 results, management reiterated its full-year guidance, implying a strong finish to the year. However, given its YTD performance and Q4 facing very tough YOY comparables, we see a risk of Boozt missing the mid-point of its adj. EBIT guidance (we expect it to be at the bottom end). We reiterate our HOLD, but have cut our target price to SEK115 (120), mainly on our lower estimates.

Simen Aas
  • Simen Aas

Boozt (Hold, TP: SEK120.00) - Weak Q3, unchanged guidance

We consider this a weak report for Boozt, including Q3 figures significantly below consensus, reflecting a weak gross margin, and unchanged 2024 guidance. We expect consensus 2024e adj. EBIT to come down c3–5% on the Q3 results and believe a negative share price reaction is warranted.

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
Simen Aas
  • Simen Aas

Boozt (Hold, TP: SEK120.00) - Benign weather, tough comparables

We are neutral ahead of the Q3 results, expecting adj. EBIT in line with consensus. We forecast continued good sales growth despite tough comparables and a drag on the gross margin due to still-reduced campaign buys. We reiterate our HOLD and SEK120 target price.

ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun
Simen Aas
  • Simen Aas

Boozt (Hold, TP: SEK120.00) - Set for volatile H2

Boozt narrowed its 2024 guidance to better reflect the soft Nordic consumer sentiment and we believe H2 could prove volatile and backend-loaded. We note signs of headwinds (e.g. lower campaign buys) that could put pressure on margins but find the inflow of new customers and greater customer activity encouraging. We reiterate our HOLD, but have cut our target price to SEK120 (130), mainly due to lower estimates.

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson
Simen Aas
  • Simen Aas

Boozt (Hold, TP: SEK130.00) - Soft Q2

We consider this a soft report for Boozt, including Q2 adj. EBIT c5% below consensus and a narrowed full-year guidance. The soft results were mainly driven by a slightly higher gross margin versus consensus, offset by higher-than-expected opex, with the latter hit by temporarily higher fulfilment costs related to manual hours needed to build and test the new transfer cells at its fulfilment centre. Based on the mid-point of the new adj. EBIT guidance for 2024. We expect a slightly negative share...

Simen Aas
  • Simen Aas

Boozt (Hold, TP: SEK130.00) - Neutral Q2e, focus on H2e

We are neutral ahead of the Q2 results, expecting adj. EBIT only slightly below consensus. We forecast good sales in May to be offset by a weak June, along with fewer campaign buys weighing on the gross margin. We reiterate our HOLD, but have reduced our target price to SEK130 (135) on our lower estimates.

ABGSC Retail Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Retail Research
  • Benjamin Wahlstedt
  • Fredrik Ivarsson

Navigating a volatile market

Q2 report due 16 August. Q2'24e net sales of SEK 1,893m, adj. EBIT of SEK 96m. 15x '24e EV/EBIT, below historical range, we reiterate BUY.

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