reports
- Jerôme Bodin
- Jerôme Bodin
- Juan Ros-Padilla
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PL Banks; SIPCHEM AB; TL Macro; KAP LI; JMT PL; ALR PW; PC...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: first politician to suggest additional military tax for the banks NEGATIVE • Sipchem: preliminary 4Q24 results, net profit down, on maintenance NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: CBRT tightens policy with surprise corridor hike • Kazatomprom: 4Q24 results – well above the market’s estimates POSITIVE • Jeronimo Martins: key takeaways from the 4Q24 call NEGATIVE • Alior Bank: CEO Żabski’s interview with Puls Biznesu, ahead of strategic update (due on 25 March) • Sipchem: to mothb...
- Maissa Keskes
- Stephane Houri
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
INF INFOTEL SA
SZG SALZGITTER AG
LXS LANXESS AG
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
AUB AUBAY SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
KER KERING SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ERA ERAMET SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
SEM SEMPERIT HOLDING AG
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
PWG PRODWAYS GROUP SA
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
BSGR B&S GROUP S.A.
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
BAR BARCO NV
- Maissa Keskes
- Stephane Houri
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
INF INFOTEL SA
SZG SALZGITTER AG
LXS LANXESS AG
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
AUB AUBAY SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
KER KERING SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ERA ERAMET SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
SEM SEMPERIT HOLDING AG
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
PWG PRODWAYS GROUP SA
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
BSGR B&S GROUP S.A.
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
BAR BARCO NV
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
- Konrad Zomer
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
SW SODEXO SA
SZG SALZGITTER AG
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
RWE RWE AG
AIR AIRBUS SE
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ERA ERAMET SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
NDA AURUBIS AG
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
HLAG HAPAG-LLOYD AG
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
CVC CVC CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC
- Bojan Djurickovic
- Juan Ros-Padilla
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BFT PW; JMT PL; OPAP GA; TPE PW; TL Macro; ALE PW; INPST N...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: pumping iron (stays BUY) • Jeronimo Martins: small beat in 4Q24, Biedronka margin erosion slows down; tough market environment continues in 2025 POSITIVE • OPAP: the beat goes on, in 4Q24 POSITIVE • Tauron: preliminary 4Q24 EBITDA 45% above our estimate, on strong Generation and Distribution, and lower loss in Supply POSITIVE • Türkiye macro: assessment of recent political events • Allegro vs. InPost: our take on the companies' two calls • cyber_Folks / Shoper: key ...
- Clement Genelot
Jeronimo Martins: WCR-driven FCF miss; improved outlook
While FY 2024 EBITDA slightly beat expectations, the massive EUR300m miss on WCR and consequently on FCF is raising question about the structural/one-off aspect of this miss. When trying to interpret Jeronimo Martins' usual qualitative outlook, we feel that the wording has shifted from deflation, m
- Lukasz Wachelko
- CFA
- Maria Mickiewicz
Benefit Systems: pumping iron (stays BUY)
We reiterate our BUY on Benefit Systems (BFT). Our new 12-month price target (PT) of PLN 4,300 (from PLN 3,400) offers a strong 47% potential upside. We maintain our view of sound growth prospects for Poland, with a 3Y adjusted EBIT CAGR of 11%. The four established foreign markets could add c.100k cards annually in the coming three years, on our estimates, vs. 110-130k for Poland. We forecast a 3Y adjusted EBIT CAGR of 29% for the four markets, although 2025E may remain under pressure from the ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DSPW CP; ESLT IT; CBF PW; KAP LI; VRC PW; OPL PW; PEO PW; ...
HEADLINES: • Doosan Škoda Power: steaming ahead (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Elbit Systems: 4Q24 – strong results, record FCF generation POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: 4Q24 results review – 27% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with our estimates and the consensus POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: 4Q24 results POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 2025-28E strategy announcement – at least PLN 1.2bn FCF in 2028E POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: recommends DPS of PLN 12.6 and des...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DIA PW; EME Macro/Strategy Ukraine Primer; EME Macro/Strat...
HEADLINES: • Diagnostyka: take a test (BUY - initiation of coverage) • EME Macro/Strategy: Ukraine – a macro primer • EME Macro/Strategy: Ukraine’s peace deal – WOOD’s equity playbook • EMEA airlines: some notes on the potential Ukraine reopening • Aegean Airlines: 4Q24 – material beat vs. our estimates, on higher revenue and lower employee costs POSITIVE • Dom Development: 4Q24 – strongest year on record POSITIVE • Vercom: 4Q24 results review – 29% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with the consensus ...
- Bruno Cavalier
- Delphine Brault
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
LPP LPP S.A.
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
INPST INPOST S.A.
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
ACLN ACCELLERON INDUSTRIES LTD
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Bruno Cavalier
- Delphine Brault
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
LPP LPP S.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
INPST INPOST S.A.
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
ACLN ACCELLERON INDUSTRIES LTD
- Research Team
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | Cashing in, moving to Hold
Strong play, but limited new aces up its sleeve, for now – OPAP shares have had a robust start to 2025 returning c11% ytd, fueled by a strong H2’24 operational performance driven by both recurring (strong online/sports betting trends) and non-recurring (e.g. jackpot rollovers) factors. Although the better execution is set to lead FY24 EBITDA c2% above our previous projection and >4% above the upper end of mgt expectations (€750-770m guided range), it also sets a high bar for 2025. The year does ...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | Cashing in, moving to Hold
Strong play, but limited new aces up its sleeve, for now – OPAP shares have had a robust start to 2025 returning c11% ytd, fueled by a strong H2’24 operational performance driven by both recurring (strong online/sports betting trends) and non-recurring (e.g. jackpot rollovers) factors. Although the better execution is set to lead FY24 EBITDA c2% above our previous projection and >4% above the upper end of mgt expectations (€750-770m guided range), it also sets a high bar for 2025. The year does ...
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