The Q4 report revealed a later Kristiansund start-up than we expected, which could affect the entire project pipeline in our view. However, we continue to stress the business’s attractiveness and believe near-term triggers in announced FIDs should drive the investment case and solidify Quantafuel’s position as the leader in chemical recycling. We reiterate our BUY and have lowered our target price to NOK82 (NOK87).
While we continue to wait for positive news on Skive’s operations and a firm roll-out plan, we still believe the process will be a success once the operational issues are resolved. Due to the start-up issues at Skive, we have pushed out our timing on full ramp-up of the first two plants, but believe the equity story is intact. Ahead of the Q4 results, we reiterate our BUY and have lifted our target price to NOK87 (84).
Quantafuel’s Q3 report was all about gas yields and ramp-up issues. While we acknowledge the likelihood of delays, we still believe the process will prove successful once the gas-handling bottlenecks are removed. We understand the issue concerns the transitional phase from reactor to upgrading, not the actual processes. Hence, we await better news but have pushed out in time our estimate of a large-scale roll-out by around six months. We reiterate our BUY and NOK84 target price.
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