reports
- Guy Sips
Barco Beam Me Up, Barco – But Not Too Fast
Is Barco's strategy beginning to bear fruit, or is one swallow not making a summer? We are happy we gave them the benefit of the doubt after the FY24 results and 1Q25 trading update, given the structural improvements made over the past few years that have continued into the first months of 2025. Recently, we saw some multiple expansion in our SOTP-valuation. This combined with rolling forward our DCF, results in a higher TP of € 14.0 (was € 13.4). However, despite Barco not updating its guidanc...
- Guy Sips
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dollar Weakness The impact on our Benelux Coverage
In general, a weaker USD has a negative impact on Benelux stocks, particularly for companies with significant exports to the US. In this note we selected a list of companies with high US export exposure and we examine the potential impact on FY25 earninings. On top of the weak dollar, rising trade tensions or the introduction of tariffs further harm Benelux exporters. As the dollar depreciates against the euro, European goods become costlier for American consumers. At the same time, revenues ear...
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
SOLB SOLVAY SA
UCB UCB S.A.
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SIP SIPEF GROUP
SOF SOFINA SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
ROYAL VOPAK NV
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
MELE MELEXIS NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ADYEN ADYEN NV
BAR BARCO NV
FUR FUGRO NV
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
AGN AEGON N.V.
SYENS SYENSQO
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: Reinsurance partnership with TRIGLAV, taking QS on Italian motor direct insurance Belgian Telecoms: Digi introduces a new mobile subscription at €3. Kinepolis: Box office in US/Canada up 76% YoY while France visitors were down 25%. NN Group & ASR: Dutch coalition collapse not affecting Dutch Pension Reform. SBM Offshore: Farewell Aseng after 13.5 years of service. Events Calendar
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
ASRNL ASR NEDERLAND NV
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
MELE MELEXIS NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
NN NN GROUP N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
PRX PROSUS N.V. CLASS N
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
BAR BARCO NV
FAST FASTNED
- Marc Hesselink
- CFA
- Thymen Rundberg
Benelux Tech update/Our favourites: ASM, Barco, BESI, RELX
We refresh our Benelux Tech coverage following the 1Q25 reporting season. In this note we downgrade Just Eat Takeaway from Buy to HOLD as we believe the takeover offer is fair. Most companies reported largely in line results and, across the board we make relatively modest changes to our estimates. Our highest conviction longs in the Benelux Tech universe are ASM International, Barco, BE Semiconductor Industries and RELX. Our biggest increase in target price is for Prosus which saw strong perfor...
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
MELE MELEXIS NV
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
PRX PROSUS N.V. CLASS N
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
BAR BARCO NV
FAST FASTNED
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Lewi
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Michiel Declercq
- Wim Lewi
- Guy Sips
Barco Taking precautionary measures to mitigate US trade tariffs
In 2H24, Barco was already showing signs of recovery following two challenging years. Also in 1Q25 Barco experienced a solid quarter with y/y growth in each of its divisions. We updated our model after the 1H25 trading update as Barco indicated that US tariffs are causing disruptions in global markets and supply chains, leading to reduced visibility and increased uncertainty. Barco is actively taking steps to protect its margins and market shares. However, Barco also highlighted that the impact ...
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Christian Arnold
- Sven Edelfelt
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
DG VINCI SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
OMV OMV AG
VIRP VIRBAC SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
ALBFR SIDETRADE SA
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
SIK SIKA AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
BAR BARCO NV
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Christian Arnold
- Sven Edelfelt
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
DG VINCI SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
OMV OMV AG
VIRP VIRBAC SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
ALBFR SIDETRADE SA
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
SIK SIKA AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
BAR BARCO NV
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ackermans & van Haaren: Another Delen Private Bank acquisition in the Netherlands. Ahold Delhaize: Peer Albertsons FY24/25 results. ASML: 1Q25 results; already weaker ahead of the tariffs. Barco: Calm before the storm. Heineken: In the hold. Melexis: Partial move to China. Staffing sector: Hays' 3Q24/25 trading update; in line. Vopak: New industrial terminal or energy transition facility? WDP: €60m investment with KDL
- Stefano Toffano
- Guy Sips
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Guy Sips
Barco FIRST LOOK: Solid 1Q25 with y/y growth in each of its divisions
Barco had a solid 1Q25 with y/y growth in each of its divisions. On the outlook, Barco indicated that the US tariffs are causing disruptions in global markets and supply chains, leading to reduced visibility and increased uncertainty. Barco has indicated that it is actively taking steps to protect its margins and market shares. However, Barco also highlighted that the impact on customer demand and investment decisions remains unpredictable. 1Q25 results were in line with Barco's own expectations...
- Guy Sips
- Kristof Samoy
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
US Tariffs Navigating the impact on Benelux equities
Trumps reciprocal tariffs caused a massive blow to equity markets, following a pressured period of escalating trade wars. Retaliatory measures can further heavily damage market confidence, as seen Friday when China announced their 34% tarrif of US goods. International trade policies have never moved this erratic and untransparant, with uncertainty and volatility being the baseline for now. In this report we highlight the key stocks in our coverage relevant to this discussion.
EURN EURONAV NV
ABN ABN AMRO BANK NV DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS
FAGR FAGRON SA
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SOLB SOLVAY SA
UCB UCB S.A.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
DIE D'IETEREN SA
AGFB AGFA-GEVAERT NV
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
ONTEX ONTEX GROUP N.V.
MELE MELEXIS NV
CSM CORBION NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
EXO EXOR N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ADYEN ADYEN NV
AUTL AUTOLUS THERAPEUTICS ADS
BAR BARCO NV
DEME DEME GROUP NV
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
SYENS SYENSQO
- Marc Hesselink
- CFA
- Thymen Rundberg
Barco/Clear vision: The perfect storm dissipated/BUY (previously Hold)
Although Barco is active in very diverse end-markets, the Covid pandemic was a perfect storm for all its segments with long-lasting effects on growth and FCF. We believe the company can finally turn this page. Under the hood a lot changed for the better and we believe Barco is now a far more attractive company. It is back to growth with a structurally higher margin potential. The buyback further supports EPS growth and returns. In our view, valuation remains very attractive, and we upgrade to BU...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Maissa Keskes
- Stephane Houri
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
INF INFOTEL SA
SZG SALZGITTER AG
LXS LANXESS AG
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
AUB AUBAY SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
KER KERING SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ERA ERAMET SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
SEM SEMPERIT HOLDING AG
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
PWG PRODWAYS GROUP SA
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
BSGR B&S GROUP S.A.
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
BAR BARCO NV
- Maissa Keskes
- Stephane Houri
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
INF INFOTEL SA
SZG SALZGITTER AG
LXS LANXESS AG
ASY ASSYSTEM SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
AUB AUBAY SA
VLS VALNEVA SE
KER KERING SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
ERA ERAMET SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
SEM SEMPERIT HOLDING AG
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
PWG PRODWAYS GROUP SA
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
BSGR B&S GROUP S.A.
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
BAR BARCO NV
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