>So many headwinds - Q1 24 was a much tougher quarter for Barco than expected, where performance was marked by continued destocking, poor market demand and customers postponing purchases awaiting for new product introductions. While performance should improve over Q2 24 as destocking headwinds subside and new products are brought onto the market, we believe our old estimates are too high. The company maintained its FY24 guidance (stable revenue growth and >14% EBITDA ...
We updated our model after 1Q24 orders and sales declined more than we and CSS expected compared to a strong 1Q23, reflecting destocking by Barco's customers, mainly in Meeting Experience and Healthcare, and weaker demand in Entertainment markets. We have incorporated into our model that Barco expects FY24 topline to be in line with FY23, with y/y growth resuming in 2H24 (recall that previously it was "with a gradual y/y increase from 2Q"). For FY25, Barco expects top-line growth on a full-year ...
Barco reported a weak 1Q24 trading update. Although all business units are experiencing market weakness, the key uncertainty going forward is in ClickShare. Barco needs a strong recovery in 2H24 to reach its top-line and margin estimates. Given limited visibility we believe that is too uncertain and forecast that Barco will miss its FY24 revenue and margin target. We keep our Hold rating given the modest valuation at 10x EV/EBIT 2024F (30% discount to historical valuation), but we lower our targ...
As well 1Q24 orders (€ 220.1m vs 236.5m CSS) as 1Q24 sales (€ 195.9m vs € 213.3m CSS) were below our and CSS forecasts. Although 2Q24 will not show growth, Barco still confirms the FY24 guidance, assuming markets do not further deteriorate. 1Q24 was marked by an anticipated inventory destocking by Barco's customers in Meeting Experience and Healthcare. Barco expects this to be largely completed by mid-year. In Entertainment, demand was hampered by the aftermath of the strikes in the North-Americ...
>A very weak quarter (flagged, but worse than expected) - This morning Barco released a weak set of results, with revenues below ccs and our estimates. As flagged by the company, several end-markets are still showing little improvement in activity (e.g. ongoing destocking in ClickShare Europe and Healthcare in the US), Q1 24 has a tough comparison base and some customers are postponing purchases awaiting for new product introductions. This resulted in an unusually wea...
>A relatively weak quarter - Barco is set to report Q1 24 revenues on April 23, and the company has flagged a tough quarter. We expect a soft Q1 24 with improving cadence of the growth as of Q2 24. Several end markets are still showing little improvement in activity (e.g. ongoing destocking in ClickShare Europe and Healthcare in the US), Q1 has a strong comparison base and some customers are postponing purchases awaiting for new product introductions. FY24 performance...
>Very cautious into 2024 - Barco’s 2024 guidance (stable revenue growth and >14% EBITDA margin) is clearly cautious, though understandable, in our opinion. China was the main disappointment over 2023, and Barco remains cautious here, though mentioned that the bottom has (probably) been reached. Nonetheless, despite relatively steady yoy revenue growth, Barco’s FY23 EBITDA margin expanded 1.6ppt. This was due to good cost control, but mainly better gross margins stemmi...
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