reports
- ING Helpdesk
- ING Helpdesk
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Thomas Couvreur
- Kristof Samoy
Fugro Securing $340m multi-year subsea inspection contracts with Petro...
Last Friday Fugro reported it has secured four Petrobras contracts for subsea inspection and monitoring in Brazil, valued at approximately $340m over four years starting in 4Q25 with optional one-year extensions. Three contracts are renewals under improved terms, while one is new and incremental. All were already included in Fugro's 12-month backlog as of March 2025. Each contract is vessel-specific, with two operated by Fugro and two by partners, all equipped with ROVs. The scope includes expan...
- Dirk Verbiesen
- Quirijn Mulder
Fugro/Weak 1H25, better 2H25/BUY
Led by the disappearance of US offshore wind, Fugro continues to suffer from a downturn. We expect a weak second quarter, following the headwinds of the first quarter with lower activity levels combined with a couple of vessels not yet back into service. We foresee a YoY EBIT decline of 50% in 2Q25. However, it also looks the trough is passed with potential for a higher activity level for 2H25 and beyond. The main reason is the higher fleet presence and clients finally proceeding with long-await...
- Dirk Verbiesen
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
- Quirijn Mulder
- Tijs Hollestelle
Utilities and offshore wind supply chain sector/Mind the gaps
In this report we present our view on the long-term growth prospects for offshore wind in Europe, implications of the energy transition and the role of TSOs, such as Elia Group. We also focus on supply chain beneficiaries in our Benelux coverage. An increasing number of long-term framework contracts should provide improved risk-rewards to the supply chain, in our view. Furthermore, we take a deep dive into growth drivers and long-term financing for Elia Group, beyond the company's current financ...
- Guy Sips
Barco Beam Me Up, Barco – But Not Too Fast
Is Barco's strategy beginning to bear fruit, or is one swallow not making a summer? We are happy we gave them the benefit of the doubt after the FY24 results and 1Q25 trading update, given the structural improvements made over the past few years that have continued into the first months of 2025. Recently, we saw some multiple expansion in our SOTP-valuation. This combined with rolling forward our DCF, results in a higher TP of € 14.0 (was € 13.4). However, despite Barco not updating its guidanc...
- Guy Sips
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dollar Weakness The impact on our Benelux Coverage
In general, a weaker USD has a negative impact on Benelux stocks, particularly for companies with significant exports to the US. In this note we selected a list of companies with high US export exposure and we examine the potential impact on FY25 earninings. On top of the weak dollar, rising trade tensions or the introduction of tariffs further harm Benelux exporters. As the dollar depreciates against the euro, European goods become costlier for American consumers. At the same time, revenues ear...
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
SOLB SOLVAY SA
UCB UCB S.A.
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SIP SIPEF GROUP
SOF SOFINA SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
ROYAL VOPAK NV
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
MELE MELEXIS NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
AD KONINKLIJKE AHOLD DELHAIZE N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ADYEN ADYEN NV
BAR BARCO NV
FUR FUGRO NV
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
AGN AEGON N.V.
SYENS SYENSQO
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Ageas: Reinsurance partnership with TRIGLAV, taking QS on Italian motor direct insurance Belgian Telecoms: Digi introduces a new mobile subscription at €3. Kinepolis: Box office in US/Canada up 76% YoY while France visitors were down 25%. NN Group & ASR: Dutch coalition collapse not affecting Dutch Pension Reform. SBM Offshore: Farewell Aseng after 13.5 years of service. Events Calendar
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
ASRNL ASR NEDERLAND NV
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
MELE MELEXIS NV
KIN KINEPOLIS GROUP NV
NN NN GROUP N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
PRX PROSUS N.V. CLASS N
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
BAR BARCO NV
FAST FASTNED
- Marc Hesselink
- CFA
- Thymen Rundberg
Benelux Tech update/Our favourites: ASM, Barco, BESI, RELX
We refresh our Benelux Tech coverage following the 1Q25 reporting season. In this note we downgrade Just Eat Takeaway from Buy to HOLD as we believe the takeover offer is fair. Most companies reported largely in line results and, across the board we make relatively modest changes to our estimates. Our highest conviction longs in the Benelux Tech universe are ASM International, Barco, BE Semiconductor Industries and RELX. Our biggest increase in target price is for Prosus which saw strong perfor...
PHIA KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS N.V.
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
LIGHT SIGNIFY NV
MELE MELEXIS NV
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
TOM2 TOMTOM NV
PRX PROSUS N.V. CLASS N
DSC1 DUTCH STAR C SHAR
BAR BARCO NV
FAST FASTNED
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Lewi
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aedifica and Cofinimmo: Agreement reached to create Europe's leading Healthcare REIT. bpost: CMD press release; #Reshape 2029. D'Ieteren: Belgian new car registrations down 11.7% in May, VW down 13.5% Fugro: Meeting with CEO & IR; 2Q25 also has its challenges. UCB: Peer Moonlake held takeover talks with US Merck, FT reports
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Dynamic Top Pick List Update May 2025: Removing Fugro – Adding Merus
The ongoing tariff war continues to create uncertainty for investors, with a trade embargo between the US and China. Although Europe has received a temporary reprieve, the prolonged situation could result in significant economic damage. We are maintaining a defensive stance in our Benelux Dynamic Top Pick List, as the Federal Reserve holds steady and the European Central Bank may continue lowering rates. Pessimism regarding the European industry has increased, though some US-based European compa...
- Jean-François Granjon
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
VAC PIERRE & VACANCES SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
MF WENDEL SE
TNG TRANSGENE SA
BIO BB BIOTECH AG
KORI KORIAN SA
STF STEF
ITP INTERPARFUMS
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
CGM CEGEDIM SA
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
MRN MERSEN SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
FII LISI SA
LSS LECTRA SA
GBT GUERBET SA
CDA COMPAGNIE DES ALPES SA
ATE ALTEN SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
MBWS
PAL MARIE BRIZARD WINE & SPIRITS SA
GNFT PALFINGER AG
SEFER GENFIT SA
LIGHT SERGEFERRARI GROUP SA
11B SIGNIFY NV
INSD 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR VERIMATRIX SA
SPIE ALIOR BANK SA
LFDE SPIE SA
TEC LA FRANCAISE DE L'ENERGIE SA
FTG111 TECHNIPFMC PLC
TKO FLATEXDEGIRO AG
VOS TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
AGR VOSSLOH AG
RBO AGRANA BETEILIGUNGS-AG
ZEL ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
WDP PHARMA MAR SA
FUR WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
FUGRO NV
- Jean-François Granjon
SCHP SECHE ENVIRONNEMENT
VAC PIERRE & VACANCES SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
MF WENDEL SE
TNG TRANSGENE SA
BIO BB BIOTECH AG
KORI KORIAN SA
STF STEF
ITP INTERPARFUMS
SWP SWORD GROUP SE
CGM CEGEDIM SA
VETO VETOQUINOL SA
MRN MERSEN SA
MTU MANITOU BF SA
FII LISI SA
LSS LECTRA SA
CDA COMPAGNIE DES ALPES SA
ATE ALTEN SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
SAVE SAVENCIA SA
HEIJM HEIJMANS N.V. CERT
MBWS
PAL MARIE BRIZARD WINE & SPIRITS SA
GNFT PALFINGER AG
SEFER GENFIT SA
LIGHT SERGEFERRARI GROUP SA
11B SIGNIFY NV
INSD 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR VERIMATRIX SA
SPIE ALIOR BANK SA
LFDE SPIE SA
TEC LA FRANCAISE DE L'ENERGIE SA
FTG111 TECHNIPFMC PLC
TKO FLATEXDEGIRO AG
VOS TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
AGR VOSSLOH AG
RBO AGRANA BETEILIGUNGS-AG
ZEL ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
WDP PHARMA MAR SA
FUR WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
FUGRO NV
- Thijs Berkelder
- Stefano Toffano
- Thomas Zlowodzki
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
CEN GROUPE CRIT SA
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
SDG SYNERGIE SA
SBS STRATEC SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SCR SCOR SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ITP INTERPARFUMS
AUB AUBAY SA
FNAC FNAC DARTY SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
MBB MBB INDUSTRIES SE
BB SOCIETE BIC SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ROS ROSENBAUER INTERNATIONAL AG
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CTAC CTAC N.V.
NDA AURUBIS AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
CSM CORBION NV
WLN WORLDLINE SA
COFA COFACE SA
GLPG GALAPAGOS NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
VOS VOSSLOH AG
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
FUR FUGRO NV
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
- Stefano Toffano
- Thomas Zlowodzki
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
CEN GROUPE CRIT SA
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
SDG SYNERGIE SA
SBS STRATEC SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SCR SCOR SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ITP INTERPARFUMS
AUB AUBAY SA
FNAC FNAC DARTY SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
MBB MBB INDUSTRIES SE
BB SOCIETE BIC SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ROS ROSENBAUER INTERNATIONAL AG
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CTAC CTAC N.V.
NDA AURUBIS AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
CSM CORBION NV
WLN WORLDLINE SA
COFA COFACE SA
GLPG GALAPAGOS NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
VOS VOSSLOH AG
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
FUR FUGRO NV
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
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