Greater China Company Results | China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK/BUY/HK$16.32/Target: HK$23.20) Mengniu’s 2025 core net profit was Rmb3,960m (-11% yoy). Ytd, liquid milk revenue has achieved high single-digit growth, driven by increases in both volume and price. For 2026, management has prioritised revenue growth, targeting mid-single-digit growth, and it also aims to maintain a stable or slightly improved operating margin. It has introduced a three-year shareholder return plan (2025-27), targeting ...
The acquisition of the remaining 30% interest in PLQ Mall was marginally accretive, increasing pro forma FY25 DPU by only 0.2%, due to a non‑renounceable 119-for-1,000 preferential offering to raise S$197m. Aggregate leverage was reduced from 38.1% to 37.6%. PLQ Mall provided positive rental reversion in the teens in 1HFY26. Management has commenced reconfiguration for NLA of 16,000sf at Levels 1 & 2, which would provide uplift to rental rates. LREIT provides an attractive FY26 DPU yield of 7.0%...
Top Stories Company Update | Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP/BUY/S$0.53/Target: S$0.78) The acquisition of the remaining 30% interest in PLQ Mall was marginally accretive, increasing pro forma FY25 DPU by only 0.2%, due to a non‑renounceable 119-for-1,000 preferential offering to raise S$197m. Aggregate leverage was reduced from 38.1% to 37.6%. PLQ Mall provided positive rental reversion in the teens in 1HFY26. Management has commenced reconfiguration for NLA of 16,000sf at Levels 1...
Top Stories Strategy | Singapore Stock Picks In A Turbulent Market With war clouds, an oil shock, and market volatility, we focus on Singapore’s defensive sectors and quality blue-chip names. Deployment of funds from MAS’ Equity Market Development Programme could provide some respite in March and April. Key stock picks are CLAR, CLI, CIT, DBS, DFI, KEP, SE, ST, YZJSGD, ASL, CAREIT, CSE, DELFI, FEH, IFAST, UGAI and VALUE. Market Spotlight US stocks were higher on Monday, with all indexes risi...
Greater China Economics | China China set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5.0% yoy, in line with expectations, while maintaining a 4% fiscal deficit ratio. Fiscal policy remains the main growth driver, supported by Rmb4.4t in local government special bonds and Rmb1.3t in ultra-long treasury bonds, while monetary policy stays accommodative. Policy priorities focus on AI+, New Quality Productive Forces, industrial upgrading, and targeted consumption support, alongside welfare improvements and ...
Singapore equities extended gains in February, with the STI rising 1.8% to near the 5,000 level after reaching a record high above 5,040. Market sentiment was supported by steady manufacturing expansion and selective corporate strength, including Yangzijiang Shipbuilding’s strong earnings. Global markets remained cautious amid AI-related concerns, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East raised risks of higher oil prices.
Greater China Economics | PMI February PMI was below Bloomberg's consensus, with manufacturing PMI edging down to 49.0 (-0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI staying contractionary at 49.5 (+0.1pt mom), partly reflecting Chinese New Year seasonality. New export orders sub-index fell to 45.0 (-2.8pt mom) for manufacturing PMI and 44.7 (-2.2pt mom) for services PMI. The manufacturing business expectations sub-index improved to 53.2 (+0.6pt mom) ahead of the Two Sessions. Company Results | AS...
CICT, KDCREIT and SUN surpassed expectations, but CLAR missed expectations. Results from 10 out of the 17 large-cap S-REITs under our coverage met expectations. Safe haven inflows kept domestic interest rates depressed. Three-month compounded SORA was stable at about 1.15% in January and February. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs with attractive yields and positive catalysts: CICT (Target: S$2.95), FLT (Target: S$1.22), MPACT (Target: S$1.84) and NTTDCR (Target: US$1.42).
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: March Conviction Calls Chinese equities consolidated further in February, with the HSI and MSCI China Index declining 2.8% mom and 5.6% mom, respectively. March is expected to be volatile, as there are signs that the Middle East conflict could last for a while. We focus on names which have greater domestic exposure, adding Anta, China Duty Free, FII, Futu, Kuaishou and Tencent to our BUY list. Indonesia Strategy | Alpha Picks: Rotating To Commodities Amid M...
S-REITs would be active in asset recycling in 2026, supported by depressed domestic interest rates. M&A activities could be a positive surprise. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs: FLT (Target: S$1.22), MPACT (Target: S$1.84) and NTTDCR (Target: S$1.42).
Top Stories Company Results | Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (LREIT SP/BUY/S$0.625/Target: S$0.78) LREIT achieved a positive rental reversion of 10.9% in 1HFY26 (Jem: high single-digit, 313@Somerset: mid-single-digit and PLQ Mall: teens). Tenant sales turned around to +1.1% yoy on a same-store basis. LREIT could acquire the remaining 30% stake in PLQ Mall. It could consider divesting Building 3 at Sky Complex in Milan, Italy. LREIT provides an attractive FY26 DPU yield of 5.9% (CICT: 5.0%, FCT...
Indonesia Company Results | XLSMART Telecom Sejahtera (EXCL IJ/BUY/Rp2,890/Target: Rp3,500) We upgrade our call to BUY with a new target price of Rp3,500, based on 6x 2026F EV/EBITDA, 1 SD below their post-merger historical average, reflecting higher 2026 guidance. Results were below our and consensus forecasts, driven by Rp7.4t in post-tax merger costs. ARPU rose to Rp44,800 in 12M25, lifting revenue 23% yoy, while core profit reached Rp3t (+80% yoy). Accounting-wise, although 2026 may rema...
LREIT achieved a positive rental reversion of 10.9% in 1HFY26 (Jem: high single-digit, 313@Somerset: mid-single-digit and PLQ Mall: teens). Tenant sales turned around to +1.1% yoy on a same-store basis. LREIT could acquire the remaining 30% stake in PLQ Mall. It could consider divesting Building 3 at Sky Complex in Milan, Italy. LREIT provides an attractive FY26 DPU yield of 5.9% (CICT: 5.0%, FCT: 5.4%, SGREIT: 6.6%). Maintain BUY. Target price: S$0.78.
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite the risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, and Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Strategy | Alpha Picks: From MSCI Shock To Policy-Driven Rebala...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom, respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, while adding Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/B...
Singapore equities delivered a strong January performance, with the STI rising 5.6% to fresh record highs amid heightened geopolitical tensions that drove flight-to-safety flows. Manufacturing activity remained in mild expansion, led by electronics and AI-related demand. Market/corporate catalysts during the month include REIT earnings, IPO interest in Catalist and continued strength in gold-linked counters.
Greater China Sector Update | China Property CRIC data show that the top 100 developers’ contracted sales fell 24.7% yoy in Jan 26, while new-home sales in 28 major cities declined 36% yoy. Second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities rose 1% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT but deepening industry downturn leads to rising possibility of policy support, supporting selective exposure. CR Land remains our top pick, with P/B at 1SD below the five-year mean, and PE and yield near the five-year average....
S-REITs would be active in asset recycling in 2026, supported by depressed domestic interest rates. M&A activities could be a positive surprise. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs: FLT (Target: S$1.22), LREIT (Target: S$0.81), MPACT (Target: S$1.84) and NTTDCR (Target: S$1.42).
Greater China Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterpri...
Our Alpha Picks outperformed the STI on a price-weighted and market cap-weighted basis but underperformed on an equalweighted basis. For Feb 26, we add CAO, RGL, HLA, and PROP and remove CLAR, KEP, MPM, and RSTON. The portfolio continues to be well-positioned ahead of expected EQDP-driven flows into small- and mid-cap stocks.
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