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ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun
 PRESS RELEASE

Kaldvik AS – Trading update Q1 2025

Kaldvik AS – Trading update Q1 2025 Harvested volume for Q1 2025 was 6.383 tonnes gutted weight (GWT). The complete report for Q1 2025 will be published May 21th 2025.For further information, please contact:Róbert Róbertsson, CFO of Kaldvik AS: (mobile) About Kaldvik ASKaldvik AS is one of the leading salmon farmers in Iceland. Kaldvik AS has a well-developed and fully integrated value-chain controlling all steps from hatchery to sales, enabling the group to provide its customers with a sustainable premium product. Kaldvik AS is dual-listed on Euronext Growth Oslo and First North Iceland G...

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Oscar Lindquist
Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Ncc (Buy, TP: SEK210.00) - Slightly larger seasonal losses

The divisional figures were broadly in line, and as usual, Q1 was a seasonal loss due to winter effects in NCC Industry (asphalt operations). EBIT was SEK-170m (14% below our estimate, 10% below Infront consensus). However, given the low season, the Q1 miss had a limited effect – a c1% hit to full-year EPS. We reiterate our BUY and highlight our view that ongoing sold and initiated property developments are likely to drive positive EPS momentum to 2028, but have cut our target price to SEK210 (2...

Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Volvo Cars (Hold, TP: SEK17.60) - I roll…into the kitchen sink

Volvo Cars pulled the plug on 2025 and 2026 guidance, as returning CEO Håkan Samuelsson cited a “very challenging” environment. Q1 sales, margins, and cash flow missed expectations, with tariffs, weaker demand, and price pressure forcing a pivot to cost-cutting and regionalisation, including a SEK18bn cost and cash savings programme. We have lowered our 2025–2027e adj. EBIT by c23% on average and our target price to SEK17.6 (18.0). We reiterate our HOLD.

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Oscar Lindquist
 PRESS RELEASE

New share capital registered

New share capital registered Frøya, Norway, 26 April 2025: Reference is made to the stock exchange announcement by Kaldvik AS ("Kaldvik", the "Company") on 22 April 2025, regarding the issuance of new shares in connection with the acquisition of key assets in the fish farming value chain on the east-coast of Iceland. The share capital increase has now been registered with the Norwegian Register of Business Enterprises. The Company’s new registered share capital is NOK 12,851,120.10, divided on 128,511,201 shares, each carrying one vote at the Company’s general meeting and each with a nom...

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Oscar Lindquist
Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Jm Ab (Buy, TP: SEK170.00) - Passing the trough

Q1 EBIT was 4% below our estimate and Infront consensus, while EPS fell well short in percentage terms due to a low nominal figure. KPIs did not recover as much as we expected, although JM reiterated its target to increase housing starts to 3,800 units p.a., citing macroeconomic conditions as a key factor. Given the current market outlook, we believe the company has passed the trough on EPS, as we expect starts and sales to recover in late 2025 and 2026. We reiterate our BUY and target price of ...

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Oscar Lindquist
 PRESS RELEASE

Kaldvik AS issues new shares in connection with the acquisition of key...

Kaldvik AS issues new shares in connection with the acquisition of key assets in the fish farming value chain on the east-coast of Iceland Frøya, Norway, 22 April 2025: Reference is made to the announcement by Kaldvik AS ("Kaldvik", the "Company") on 25 March 2025 regarding the completion of the acquisition of (i) 100% of the shares in Mossi ehf. ("Mossi"), (ii) 100% of the shares in Djupskel ehf. ("Djupskel") and (iii) 33.3% of the shares in Bulandstindur ehf. ("Bulandstindur") (the "Transaction"). Following determination of the final purchase price for the shares in Djupskel and Bulands...

Alexander Aukner
  • Alexander Aukner

Time to revisit

The unfolding trade war has led us to cut our global 2025–2027e demand and trim our spot price estimates. The negative price effect is partly countered by reduced mortality boosting volumes and lowering costs, leading to net EPS cuts of 11–2%. Given the sector’s solid track record in adapting to past crises and recent share-price declines, we see a significantly improved risk/reward and have a positive stance on the sector. We have upgraded Mowi, Bakkafrost, and Grieg Seafood to BUY (HOLD).

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Oscar Lindquist
ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Oscar Lindquist
Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Mixed upside potential, despite market recovery expectations

Pent-up demand and falling interest rates remain the backbone for newbuild recovery expectations. However, as the recovery has not yet started, property developers screen as the most attractive long-term, but visibility remains mixed. Diversified construction companies are more attractive on near-term P/Es, although many seem to be fully valued on solid share-price performance over the past six months. We maintain a neutral sector view; NCC and Skanska are our top picks.

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