reports
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Francesca Ferragina
WDP/Good 1Q, more investments would be welcome/BUY
1Q24 was good, with 11.8% growth in rental income and LFL at 3.5%. Occupancy was stable at 98.4%, with impressive 15% rental uplift on recent contracts and c.13% reversionary potential. The small positive €25.8m revaluation on the portfolio, after many quarters of write offs, is a positive sign. On multiples WDP trades at 19.2% premium to NTA and has underperformed peers recently (-12.4% YTD, vs peers' -7.8%). We would welcome an investment spending acceleration, considering the 9.1% yield seen ...
- Bruno Cavalier
- Maissa Keskes
- Stephane Houri
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
EDEN EDENRED SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
ABB ABB LTD.
SW SODEXO SA
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
AMUN AMUNDI SA
OR L'OREAL SA
SCHP SCHINDLER HOLDING AG PREF
EZJ EASYJET PLC
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
SHEL SHELL PLC
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
AGN AEGON N.V.
- Bruno Cavalier
- Maissa Keskes
- Stephane Houri
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
EDEN EDENRED SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
ABB ABB LTD.
SW SODEXO SA
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
AMUN AMUNDI SA
OR L'OREAL SA
SCHP SCHINDLER HOLDING AG PREF
EZJ EASYJET PLC
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
SHEL SHELL PLC
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
AGN AEGON N.V.
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
BAM: Preview - stable performance in difficult markets. Belgian telecoms: Telenet 3.5% price increase. Econocom: 1Q24 modest growth in line, sales guidance maintained. Philips: Preview 1Q24. Proximus: Acquires additional 5G spectrum from NRB. Signify: Preview 1Q24 - Slow start to the year. Staffing: Manpower - 1Q24 beats, 2Q24 outlook a touch above and trends stabilizing. WDP: No surprise
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Michiel Declercq
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Warehouses De Pauw 1Q24 Results, pro-active hedging lowers cost of deb...
GRI 1Q24 came slightly above our expectation, but the EPRA EPS was bang in line. A remarkable metric is the decline in Cost of Debt from 1.9% to 1.7% against a backdrop of rising interest rates. WDP “over-hedged” its debt in anticipation of its investment program and raised capital. WDP repeated the FY24 EPRA EPS guidance of 1.47, slightly above our 1.46 expectation. The 5% expected yoy growth is impressive as WDP issued 5.9% new shares last November. Expired contracts (100k Sqm GLA) were revie...
- Gerardo Ibanez
- Steven Boumans
WDP : Q1 2024 results: Outlook reiterated, but no step-up in developme...
>Outlook reiterated, inline results, low number of newly identified projects - FY2024 EPRA EPS guidance reiterated at €1.47/sh.Minor positive revaluation +0.4% for Q1 (Q4 -0.5%), mainly based on stability in the existing portfolio and unrealised capital gains on projects and recent acquisitions. EPRA NIY is stable at 5.3% vs Q4.in Q1 2024, about € 200m of directly yielding assets (acquisitions, project completions) have accrued into the balance sheet at a yi...
- Gerardo Ibanez
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : From landbanks to goldmines: development pipelines in the logis...
The logistics market is our preferred real estate segment, where the coming growth remains undervalued. We prefer the high growth stock within this segment, CTP. We also have Outperform recommendations on Argan, Montea and VGP. We believe WDP is fully valued, though. - >A favourable environment for industrial and logistics real estate - We think the industrial and logistics (“I&L”) segment is the first major real estate market that has bottomed out. We see strong deman...
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Lewi
Real Asset Conference Soundbites 19-20 March 2024
This note gathers feedback from the group meetings and the break-out sessions. In total 23 companies presented in group meetings and/or break-out sessions. More than 100 guests found their way to the venue and some more followed virtual meetings. Physical attendance is clearly on the rise after the COVID disruption. Investing remains a people's business. The 4 break-out sessions made for informative additions to the C-level meetings and a nice platform for discussion. Tuesday morning concentrate...
LEAS LEASINVEST REAL ESTATE SCA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
RET RETAIL ESTATES NV
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
QRF QRF COMM
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ATEB ATENOR S.A.
VGP VGP NV
TINC TINC COMM. VA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Wim Lewi
KBCS Real Assets Conference Book 2024
This conference book is your guide to the KBCS Real Assets Conference 2024. It offers a program, an intro to the break-out sessions and company profiles with financial data and some useful info. The break-out sessions aim to educate and contemplate on certain trends. Last year we hosted “Energy as a business”. This year, we offer 4 break-outs on hot topics.
LEAS LEASINVEST REAL ESTATE SCA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
RET RETAIL ESTATES NV
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
QRF QRF COMM
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ATEB ATENOR S.A.
ASC ASCENCIO SCA
VGP VGP NV
TINC TINC COMM. VA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
FAST FASTNED
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Baptiste Salaville
- Jerôme Bodin
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 18/03/2024
We are downgrading our recommendation on Vidrala to Underperform from Neutral and set our target price at € 96 (+4% vs previous € 92, DCF: 8.4x implied EV/EBITDA 2024e vs historical average of 9.2x and 6.1x of peer group). While the group will be able to outgrow the industry thanks to the consolidation of Vidroporto in Brazil (16% of the group’s EBITDA) and despite the divestment in Italy (8% of 2023 EBITDA), we believe its organic earnings profile will slightly deteriorate considerin...
COV COVIVIO SA
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MDM MAISONS DU MONDE SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ALHGR HOFFMANN GREEN CEMENT TECHNOLOGIES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Baptiste Salaville
- Jerôme Bodin
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 03/18/2024 Date Performance sin...
We are downgrading our recommendation on Vidrala to Underperform from Neutral and set our target price at € 96 (+4% vs previous € 92, DCF: 8.4x implied EV/EBITDA 2024e vs historical average of 9.2x and 6.1x of peer group). While the group will be able to outgrow the industry thanks to the consolidation of Vidroporto in Brazil (16% of the group’s EBITDA) and despite the divestment in Italy (8% of 2023 EBITDA), we believe its organic earnings profile will slightly deteriorate considerin...
COV COVIVIO SA
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
DEC JCDECAUX SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MDM MAISONS DU MONDE SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ALHGR HOFFMANN GREEN CEMENT TECHNOLOGIES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Baptiste Salaville
- Bruno Cavalier
- Gerardo Ibanez
- Steven Boumans
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
NN NN GROUP N.V.
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HLAG HAPAG-LLOYD AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Manuel Martin
- CEFA
- CREA
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : Shifting sands at La Croisette: A recap from MIPIM 2024
>The direct investment market is still muted today, but we think real estate markets could reignite after seeing the first interest rate cuts - We visited the annual real estate conference MIPIM in Cannes last week. Although the weather was great, the mood in the investment market was still a bit muted. The changes in the real estate market leaves many investor uncertain today. It is still too early to see transactions to go up materially and pricing recovery in the ...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Warehouses De Pauw Model Update after FY23 results and Blend27
The FY23 results came in line with the guidance, but the attention on the analyst call was fixed on the FY24 outlook and “Blend27” strategy. The previous tone of “low economic visibility” and “selective investing” gave way for a confident growth plan into 2027. First, the FY24 EPRA EPS guidance of 1.47 came above our 1.42 expectation. The 5% expected yoy growth is impressive as WDP issued 5.9% new shares only last November. A fast ramp up of rental income has to come from more acquisitions (FR,G...
- Francesca Ferragina
WDP/€1.5bn investment to further nurture its growth/BUY
WDP is one of our favourite real estate names for 2024. Its full year results were operationally and financially strong, and the company provided realistic 2024 guidance and a new 2024-27 plan, ‘Blend2027'. Long-term ambitions point to €1.5bn in investments and a 6% EPS CAGR, consistent with our estimates (and consensus). Growth will come from the existing geographies, but on top of this WDP would like to gain a presence in both Germany and France, where the markets are gradually reopening. We u...
- Oliver Metzger
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS Date1
Although Argentina was only an anecdotal factor in Puma's profit warning, it has rekindled investors' questions about the impact of the peso's (official) depreciation following the election of Javier Milei last November. Here we recap on the risks faced by the twenty or so companies and sectors with a presence in Argentina within our universe of coverage. While the potential impact is marginal in most cases, it is more significant for: Prosegur, Prosegur Cash, Tenaris, Verallia, Save...
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
SHEL SHELL PLC
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
SGSN SGS SA
- Oliver Metzger
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 26/01/2024
Même si l’Argentine n’est qu’un élément accessoire du profit warning de Puma, il a ravivé les interrogations des investisseurs sur l’impact de la dépréciation du peso (officiel) à la suite de l’élection de Javier Milei en novembre dernier. Nous revenons ici sur les risques encourus par la vingtaine de sociétés et secteurs ayant une présence en Argentine au sein de notre univers de couverture. Si l’impact potentiel est le plus souvent marginal, il est plus matériel chez : Prosegur, Pro...
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
ELI ELIA GROUP SA/NV
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
SHEL SHELL PLC
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
SGSN SGS SA
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