View 
FILTERS (0)
* Not connected to ResearchPool

MORE FILTERS

  
reports
Alexander Aukner
  • Alexander Aukner

Time to revisit

The unfolding trade war has led us to cut our global 2025–2027e demand and trim our spot price estimates. The negative price effect is partly countered by reduced mortality boosting volumes and lowering costs, leading to net EPS cuts of 11–2%. Given the sector’s solid track record in adapting to past crises and recent share-price declines, we see a significantly improved risk/reward and have a positive stance on the sector. We have upgraded Mowi, Bakkafrost, and Grieg Seafood to BUY (HOLD).

Alexander Aukner
  • Alexander Aukner

Increased supply

Good growth due to warm waters and reduced biological challenges have resulted in a material uptick in standing biomass and a favourable supply outlook. We have raised our 2025e YOY harvest growth to 7.1% (5.0%), driven by Norway, which we now expect to grow 6.9% (3.6%) YOY. We have cut our 2025–2027e spot prices to EUR7.2 (7.5) and EUR7.6 (7.8), corresponding to NOK84–89/kg. We have cut our 2025–2026e EPS by 13–9% and reiterate our neutral view on the sector, expecting sideways movement until s...

Alexander Aukner
  • Alexander Aukner

Foot off the gas

Improving farming KPIs and recovering demand have raised share prices over the past six months, but we now see a more neutral risk/reward. While we view the valuations as generally attractive, consensus EPS growth is 35–76% for 2025 and 9–28% for 2026 on moderately increasing salmon spot prices. We find the most valuation support in Lerøy Seafood’s ‘self-help’ story and Salmon Evolution as a re-rating case. We now take a more neutral sector stance.

Loading...
New interest

Save your current filters as a new Interest

Please enter a name for this interest

Email alerts

Would you like to receive real-time email alerts when a new report is published under this interest?

Save This Search

These search results will show up under 'Saved searches' in the left panel

Please enter a name for this saved search

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch