Kingspan places a board-recommended bid

Better Q3, but market weakness persists

Market still weak, but now more stable

Rough market conditions persist

Q2 EBIT 4% below consensus on lower margin. We lower our '24e-'26e EBIT estimates by 7-3%. 15x EV/EBIT on depressed '24e earnings, 11x in '25e.

EBIT 4% below cons, mainly margin-driven

Market recovery looking sluggish

Q2e: lower top-line y-o-y, but strong GM supports EBIT. EBIT down 5-4% on slower assumed market recovery. Share trading at 14-10x '24e-'25e EV/EBIT.

No drama despite Q1 miss

A miss, but keep in mind Q1 is ~5% of FY EBIT. We cut '24e-'26e adj. EBIT by 3-1%, some risk of more price pressure. Share trading at 13-10x '24e-'25e EV/EBIT.

Tough quarter, but Q1 is seasonally small

Nordic Waterproofing - Lower newbuild activity leaving a mark

Volume decline and continued high input costs in Q3 EBIT lowered 3% for ’22e-’23e, ’24e mostly unchanged Trading at 10x EV/EBIT on est. ’23e earnings trough

Nordic Waterproofing - Volume decline hurts Q3 numbers

EBIT SEK 128m (-8% vs. ABGSCe 140m) Q3 numbers imply negative EBIT revisions of 3% Trading at 9x ’22e EV/EBIT on pre-Q3 estimates

Nordic Waterproofing - Renovation stable while newbuild declines

Q3 report due Tuesday, 25 October Price increases driving 7% org. growth in Q3 ’23-‘24e adj. EBIT down 12-9% on lower exp. newbuild

Nordic Waterproofing - Better to sell products than to install them

Q2 in line with expectations, estimates intact Strong M&A pipeline and balance sheet 8x EV/EBIT, attractive LT earnings growth potential

Nordic Waterproofing - Price increases driving organic growth

Q2 fairly in line with our expectations Estimates intact on isolated numbers 8.6x f12m EV/EBIT, 16% below L5Y avg

Nordic Waterproofing - Strong demand continues for now

Q2 report due Tuesday, 19 July High estimate uncertainty going into ‘23e… …but we find several reassuring elements

Nordic Waterproofing - Waterproof pricing power

EBIT 113% better than ABGSCe, partly driven by… …impressive pricing power with flat gross margin y-o-y Fair value range of SEK 185-240

Nordic Waterproofing - Adj. EBIT 113% above our expectations

19% organic growth vs. ABGSCe at 10% Adj. EBIT 113% better than ABGSCe Adj. EBIT margin up 3 pp y-o-y

Nordic Waterproofing - Seasonally small quarter, but strong

Price increases driving org. growth of 10% ‘22e-‘24e adj. EBIT estimates up 2-3% Strong balance sheet allowing for more M&A

Strategy Fast Comment - Summary of ABGSC Investor Days, 8-9 March

38 companies presented at the seminar Mostly Swedish small caps attending See links to all company recordings

Nordic Waterproofing - Feedback from ABGSC Investor Day

We hosted NWG’s CEO at ABGSC’s investor day today Negligible exposure towards Russia and Ukraine Price increases continue

Nordic Waterproofing - 2022 guidance better than expected

A mixed bag in Q4’21 …but management guides for a strong ’22 Significant multiple contraction since Oct ’21