GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Call: Adding CMB, COLI, CR Beer, Kuaishou and TUL to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Significant Outperformance In Feb 24: Our picks are BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Focusing On Earnings Momentum: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the KLCI in Feb 24 (-0.9% vs 2.5%). Mar 24 picks significantly feature companies with good earnings momentum. SINGAPORE...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls: We remain hedged, adding COSCO Shipping Holdings and Foxconn Industrial Internet to our BUY list, but include additional SELL calls on Li Auto and Xpeng. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance in Jan 24: Our picks are EXCL, MAPI, BMRI, JSMR, BBNI, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Eyes Also On Results Season Winners: Our Alpha Picks performance again trounced the KLCI in Jan 24 (+9.6% vs +4.0%). Feb 24 pic...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls: We add the potential beneficiaries of the upcoming CNY festival − Galaxy Entertainment and Trip.com − to our BUY list, but include SELL calls on BYD and Geely due to the subsidy reduction. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in 4Q23 and 2023: Our picks are MAPI, BMRI, JSMR, TLKM, BBNI, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Domestic Event Winners: Our Alpha Picks outperformed the KLCI in Dec 23. Jan 24 pick...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: December Conviction Calls: We add a mix of turnaround stocks and beneficiaries of policy support to our BUY list − CSPC, HKEX, Lenovo, Longfor, Pinduoduo and Sunny Optical. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance With A 3.7% Return: Our picks are GOTO, BMRI, JSMR, TLKM, BBNI, NCKL, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Still Focusing On Domestic Winners: Our Alpha Picks trounced the FBMKLCI in Nov 23, mostly thanks to Hume’s run-up. De...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls: We add a mix of defensives and turnaround stocks − COSCO Shipping, CR Mixc, Great Wall Motor, Innovent, Link REIT and NetEase − to our BUY list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance Despite Negative Returns: Our picks: TLKM, BBNI, SMGR, NCKL, CTRA, MYOR, AKRA and CMRY. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Focusing On Domestic Winners: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the FBMKLCI in Oct 23. Nov 23 picks: BUY BURSA, EKOVEST, GENM, ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: October Conviction Calls: We expect further downside pressure, so we add SELLs on Henlius and Xpeng to the list, on top of BUYs on Anta, Lenovo, PICC P&C and SHKP. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Potential Bull Market in 4Q23: Our picks: BBNI, SMGR, NCKL, MAPI, CTRA, MYOR, AKRA and CMRY. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: A Handful Of Events To Capitalise On: Our Alpha Picks modestly outperformed the FBMKLCI in Sep 23. Oct 23 picks: BUY BURSA, HAPL, HUME, MAHB a...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: September Conviction Calls: We focus on stocks with pricing power or sustainable margins against a weakening macro backdrop. Add Giordano, KE Holdings and Trip.com. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In Aug 23: Our picks: MYOR, BSDE, CTRA, HMSP, BBNI, SMGR and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Warming Up For Better Months Ahead: Our Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI in Aug 23. Sep 23 picks: BUY BURSA, HAPL, HUME, MAHB, Mr DIY, My EG Servi...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: August Conviction Calls: We expect further supportive policies to be rolled out and are adding potential beneficiaries like Baidu, COPH, CR Beer, CR Land, Ping An Insurance and Sands China to our BUY list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Again, An Outperformance In Jul 23: Our picks: MYOR, BSDE, CTRA, HMSP, BBNI, SMGR, MAPI; short ADRO. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Warming Up For Better Months Ahead: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the FBMKLCI in Jul 23. Au...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls: We expect stimulus to be announced in July, and add CG Services and Li Auto to our BUY list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Slight Outperformance In Jun 23: Our picks are BSDE, CTRA, HMSP, BBNI, BMRI, BUKA, SMGR, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: More Re-energised in July: Our Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI in Jun 23. Jul 23 picks: BUY BAT, Malaysia Airports, Mr DIY, My EG Services, NationGate and Yinson. SINGAPORE ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: June Conviction Calls: We like oversold sectors like consumer and TMT. Add COSCO Shipping Port, KE Holdings, Kuaishou and Kweichow Moutai to our BUY list and Great Wall Motor to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance in May 23: Our picks are BSDE, CTRA, HMSP, BBNI, BMRI, BUKA, SMGR, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Anticipating A Lull June: Our Alpha Picks slightly underperformed the FBMKLCI in May 23. June 23 picks: BUY B...
KEX incurred a large net loss in 1Q23 despite aggressive price cutting in 4Q22 due to a massive shrinkage in parcel volume. The company targets customer segmentation, decreasing dependence on e-commerce platforms, and acceleration of necessary investments to reduce cost. However, the route to profitability remains long. Downgrade to HOLD. Target price: Bt10.90.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt23.00/Target: Bt30.00) 1Q23: Results miss but still at a high level. Asset World Corporation (AWC TB/HOLD/Bt5.45/Target: Bt5.80) 1Q23: Earnings beat forecast, driven by hotels in upcountry. Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt70.00/Target: Bt80.00) 1Q23: Earnings up yoy and qoq, beating our expectations. CH Karnchang PCL (CK TB/BUY/Bt21.50/Target: Bt24.60) 1Q23: Robust bottom line due to revenue realisation of new projects. Electricity Gene...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Calls: We expect increased volatility in May, but with limited downside. Add CATL, Inovance, Sands China and Tongcheng Travel to our BUY list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance In Apr 23: Our picks are CTRA, HMSP, BBNI, BMRI, BUKA, SMGR, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Navigating the Dreaded Month of May: Our Alpha Picks performed in line with the FBMKLCI in Apr 23. May 23 picks: BAT, Genting Malaysia, Malaysia Air...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: We expect the market to have a positive bias in April; add Alibaba, Anta, BYD, COLI, Shuanghuan Driveline, Tencent, and Trip.com to our BUY list and Weimob to our SELL list. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In 1Q23: Our picks are HMSP, ROTI, BBNI, BMRI, BUKA, SMGR, KLBF and MAPI. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Improving Domestic Liquidity: Our Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI in Mar 23. Apr 23 picks: BAT, Genting Mal...
Following a discussion with KEX, we are hopeful as parcel volume decline is foreseen to be lower than expected in 1Q23 while the average cost per parcel is expected to drop significantly from 4Q22. KEX’s emphasis on profitability is projected to work out from 1Q23 onwards, with a decent possibility of breaking even in 2H23. Upgrade to BUY. Target price: Bt18.60.
GREATER CHINA Sector Banking: Limited impact of Credit Suisse crisis on Chinese Financials. Results Anta Sports Products (2020 HK/BUY/HK$108.90/Target: HK$134.00): 2022: Results in line; multiple growth engines likely activated. Geely Auto (175 HK/HOLD/HK$9.50/Target: HK$9.00): 2H22: Earnings up 50% yoy and 139% hoh, in line with estimates. Upgrade from SELL to HOLD, and cut target price to HK$9.00. Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK/BUY/HK$30.65/Target: HK$35.00): 4Q22: Strong top-line growth; solid games ...
KEX posted a tremendous loss in 4Q22 from low revenue per parcel and one-off item as a preparation for the LEAN programme launched since early-23. There is a light at the end of the tunnel as KEX’s quarterly loss should see an observable improvement in 1Q23. Nonetheless, top-line may also face serious concern on negative industry growth from consumers’ behavioural shift. Downgrade to HOLD. Target price: Bt15.70.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Industrial Estate 4Q22 results preview: Continuously posting strong results. Results BTS Group Holdings (BTS TB/HOLD/Bt8.20/Target: Bt8.70) 3QFY23: Earnings beat. Downgrade to HOLD. Kerry Express (KEX TB/HOLD/Bt15.50/Target: Bt15.70) 4Q22: Colossal loss partly from one-off expense, narrower cash burn in 2023. Downgrade to HOLD. VGI (VGI TB/SELL/Bt4.78/Target: Bt4.20) 3QFY23: Slight profitability from the high season of advertising. Downgrade to SELL.
GREATER CHINA Sector Property: Sustainability of sales recovery remains to be seen; expecting more equity financing proposals from SOEs. INDONESIA Results Bank Tabungan Pensiunan Nasional Syariah (BTPS IJ/BUY/Rp2,490/Target: Rp3,200): 2022: Missed market expectations due to write-offs. MALAYSIA Results Mr D.I.Y. Group (MRDIY MK/BUY/RM1.75/Target: RM2.15): 4Q22: Results were broadly within expectations as a price revision exercise offset normalising revenue per store. Maintain BUY. SINGAPORE S...
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