Greater China Economics | PMI November PMI undershot expectations; manufacturing PMI was at 49.2 (+0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (-0.6pt mom), the first contraction in nearly three years. With the services industry index weakened to 49.5 (-0.7pt mom). PMI data confirms growth momentum is easing, so expect more supportive policies to be rolled out soon, but for economic confidence to return, we need a sustainable bottom in the real estate sector. Sector Update | Heal...
Safe haven liquidity continues flowing into Singapore, pushing down SORA on an overnight basis to a low of 1.27%. Threemonth compounded SORA eased 8bp to 1.25% in Nov 25. The Fed cut the Fed Funds Rate by another 25bp to 3.75% during the FOMC meeting on 29 Oct 25. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.65), KREIT (Target: S$1.20) and LREIT (Target: S$0.81).
Two out of the 16 large-cap S-REITs under our coverage surpassed expectations. FLT’s occupancy for logistics properties in Australia gained 4.3ppt qoq to 100% in 4QFY25. SUN has received a favourable ruling from the ATO, which has a positive impact of 3.7% on 2025 DPU. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.65), KREIT (Target: S$1.20) and LREIT (Target: S$0.79).
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...
The merger of CapitaLand and Mapletree is a matter of time given the emphasis to create global giants within Temasek. MINT (HOLD/Target: S$1.22), MLT (HOLD/Target: S$1.38) and MPACT (BUY/Target: S$1.84) are potential takeover targets. KREIT (BUY/Target: S$1.20) and SUN (HOLD/Target: S$1.42) are potential new entrants to be included as constituents of the STI. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Greater China Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Oct 25 GGR was MOP$24.1b, increasing 32% mom and 16% yoy, and recovering to 91% of 2019’s level (vs a recovery of 83% in Sep 25). Oct 25’s GGR number beat market consensus by 4%, and set another post-COVID-19 record. For 10M25, GGR climbed to MOP$205.4b, up 8% yoy, and recovered to 83% of 2019’s level. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick. Company Results | China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/HOLD/HK$48.64/Target: HK$51.00) CMB rep...
Greater China Sector Update | Internet The growing robotaxi ecosystem is drawing in an increasing number of new entrants, including autonomous service providers and ride-hailing platforms. We expect technological maturity, policy support, and better fleet economics to drive a major expansion wave for the robotaxi industry into 2H25/2026, with China’s robotaxi fleet size expected to grow ten-fold during this period. We see material development and monetisation progress of Robotaxi, sparking r...
The sudden U-turn in trade negotiations between the US and China has caught the market by surprise. Risk from a protracted US government shutdown also adds to greater uncertainties. The most defensive sectors are suburban retail (CICT and LREIT), healthcare (PREIT) and data centres (KDCREIT and NTTDCR), which are less affected by trade conflicts and reciprocal tariffs. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY CICT (Target: S$2.79), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69), PREIT (Target: S$5.34), LREIT (Target: S$0.79) and NTT...
Top Stories Sector Update | REITs US monetary policy is at an inflexion point and has switched towards easing to support the job market, which has slowed considerably in recent months. S-REITs benefit from lower cost of debt and expanded yield spread. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69), KREIT (Target: S$1.18) and LREIT (Target: S$0.79). Market Spotlight US stocks ended higher on Tuesday, ...
Top Stories Sector Update | REITs The iEdge Singapore Next 50 Index tracks the next 50 largest companies listed on the SGX Mainboard that fall just outside the top 30 STI constituents. S-REITs account for 15 out of the 50 constituent stocks of the Next 50 Index, and carry a total weightage of 42.6% in aggregate. BUY constituents of the Next 50 Index: CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KREIT (Target: S$1.18), PREIT (Target: S$5.34), LREIT (Target: S$0.79) and FEHT (Target: S$0.81). Market Spotlight US sto...
Top Stories Sector Update | US Office REITs The pick-up in M&A activities for US-based office REITs and resurgence in CMBS issuance signal renewed confidence in the US office market. Office demand is set to recover in 2H25, driven by the easing of trade tension and downsizing, positive work-from-office momentum and falling new supply. BUY PRIME (Target: US$0.31) due to a pick-up in leasing momentum. HOLD KORE (Target: US$0.26) for yields of 4.1% for 2026 and 6.5% for 2027. Maintain OVERWEIGHT o...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China has launched a three-month MIIT-led campaign to curb online misconduct in the auto industry, using selfinspections and penalties to reduce misinformation and promote competition on product quality. China’s PV insurance registrations fell 30% wow due to seasonality and consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment. Lithium carbonate prices correct on the production resumption of CATL’s Jianxiawo lithium mine. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT on China’s auto sector; top...
• The pick-up in M&A activities for US-based office REITs and resurgence in issuance for CMBS signal renewed confidence in the US office market. • Office demand is likely to recover in 2H25, driven by easing of trade tension and downsizing, positive work-from-office momentum and falling new supply. • BUY PRIME (Target: US$0.31) due to a pick-up in leasing momentum. HOLD KORE (Target: US$0.26) for yields of 4.1% for 2026 and 6.5% for 2027.
Highlights • The pick-up in M&A activities for US-based office REITs and resurgence in issuance for CMBS signal renewed confidence in the US office market. • Office demand is likely to recover in 2H25, driven by easing of trade tension and downsizing, positive work-from-office momentum and falling new supply. • BUY PRIME (Target: US$0.31) due to a pick-up in leasing momentum. HOLD KORE (Target: US$0.26) for yields of 4.1% for 2026 and 6.5% for 2027. Analysis • Recent pick-up in M&A activities. ...
Greater China Economics | Trade China’s export momentum softened in August as front-loaded US demand has faded, exposing the vulnerability of shipments to the US market. While the trade diversion supported flows to ASEAN and the EU, overall growth moderated. Imports also weakened amid subdued agricultural demand, despite firmer commodity-related inflows. Pro...
Top Stories Company Update | Prime US REIT (PRIME SP/BUY/S$0.199/Target: S$0.31) Viewings have picked up after the Labour Day long weekend. Notable leasing discussions underway include 121,000sf for a government agency at Park Tower and 39,000sf for a financial services company at VCS1. Portfolio occupancy is expected to recover to 85% by end-25. We assumed a payout ratio of 50% in 2026, 65% in 2027 and 80% in 2028. PRIME provide attractive yield at 10% for 2026F and 13.2% for 2027F. P/NAV is ...
Viewings have picked up after the Labour Day long weekend. Notable leasing discussions underway including 121,000sf for a government agency at Park Tower and 39,000sf for a financial services company at VCS1. Portfolio occupancy is expected to recover to 85% by end-25. We assumed a payout ratio of 50% in 2026, 65% in 2027 and 80% in 2028. PRIME provides an attractive yield of 9.6% for 2026 and 12.7% for 2027. P/NAV is depressingly low at 0.36x. Maintain BUY. Target price: US$0.31.
US monetary policy is at an inflexion point, and is likely to switch towards easing to support the job market, which has slowed considerably recently. S-REITs benefit from the recovery in liquidity triggered by the upcoming rate cuts. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69), KREIT (Target: S$1.18) and LREIT (Target: S$0.79).
GREATER CHINA Results China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK/BUY/HK$15.84/Target: HK$21.70) 1H25: Revenue slightly misses but operating profit beats; expect mid-to-high single-digit revenue decline for 2025. China Resources Gas (1193 HK/BUY/HK$19.05/Target: HK$22.60) 1H25: In line; from earnings drag to guidance-driven re-rating; upgrade to BUY. ECARX Holdings Inc (ECX US/BUY/US$1.60/Target: US$3.40) 2Q25: Net loss widens; recovery expected in 2H25. Maintain...
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