Top Stories Sector Update | US Office REITs The pick-up in M&A activities for US-based office REITs and resurgence in CMBS issuance signal renewed confidence in the US office market. Office demand is set to recover in 2H25, driven by the easing of trade tension and downsizing, positive work-from-office momentum and falling new supply. BUY PRIME (Target: US$0.31) due to a pick-up in leasing momentum. HOLD KORE (Target: US$0.26) for yields of 4.1% for 2026 and 6.5% for 2027. Maintain OVERWEIGHT o...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China has launched a three-month MIIT-led campaign to curb online misconduct in the auto industry, using selfinspections and penalties to reduce misinformation and promote competition on product quality. China’s PV insurance registrations fell 30% wow due to seasonality and consumers’ wait-and-see sentiment. Lithium carbonate prices correct on the production resumption of CATL’s Jianxiawo lithium mine. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT on China’s auto sector; top...
• The pick-up in M&A activities for US-based office REITs and resurgence in issuance for CMBS signal renewed confidence in the US office market. • Office demand is likely to recover in 2H25, driven by easing of trade tension and downsizing, positive work-from-office momentum and falling new supply. • BUY PRIME (Target: US$0.31) due to a pick-up in leasing momentum. HOLD KORE (Target: US$0.26) for yields of 4.1% for 2026 and 6.5% for 2027.
Highlights • The pick-up in M&A activities for US-based office REITs and resurgence in issuance for CMBS signal renewed confidence in the US office market. • Office demand is likely to recover in 2H25, driven by easing of trade tension and downsizing, positive work-from-office momentum and falling new supply. • BUY PRIME (Target: US$0.31) due to a pick-up in leasing momentum. HOLD KORE (Target: US$0.26) for yields of 4.1% for 2026 and 6.5% for 2027. Analysis • Recent pick-up in M&A activities. ...
Greater China Economics | Trade China’s export momentum softened in August as front-loaded US demand has faded, exposing the vulnerability of shipments to the US market. While the trade diversion supported flows to ASEAN and the EU, overall growth moderated. Imports also weakened amid subdued agricultural demand, despite firmer commodity-related inflows. Pro...
Top Stories Company Update | Prime US REIT (PRIME SP/BUY/S$0.199/Target: S$0.31) Viewings have picked up after the Labour Day long weekend. Notable leasing discussions underway include 121,000sf for a government agency at Park Tower and 39,000sf for a financial services company at VCS1. Portfolio occupancy is expected to recover to 85% by end-25. We assumed a payout ratio of 50% in 2026, 65% in 2027 and 80% in 2028. PRIME provide attractive yield at 10% for 2026F and 13.2% for 2027F. P/NAV is ...
Viewings have picked up after the Labour Day long weekend. Notable leasing discussions underway including 121,000sf for a government agency at Park Tower and 39,000sf for a financial services company at VCS1. Portfolio occupancy is expected to recover to 85% by end-25. We assumed a payout ratio of 50% in 2026, 65% in 2027 and 80% in 2028. PRIME provides an attractive yield of 9.6% for 2026 and 12.7% for 2027. P/NAV is depressingly low at 0.36x. Maintain BUY. Target price: US$0.31.
US monetary policy is at an inflexion point, and is likely to switch towards easing to support the job market, which has slowed considerably recently. S-REITs benefit from the recovery in liquidity triggered by the upcoming rate cuts. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69), KREIT (Target: S$1.18) and LREIT (Target: S$0.79).
GREATER CHINA Results China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK/BUY/HK$15.84/Target: HK$21.70) 1H25: Revenue slightly misses but operating profit beats; expect mid-to-high single-digit revenue decline for 2025. China Resources Gas (1193 HK/BUY/HK$19.05/Target: HK$22.60) 1H25: In line; from earnings drag to guidance-driven re-rating; upgrade to BUY. ECARX Holdings Inc (ECX US/BUY/US$1.60/Target: US$3.40) 2Q25: Net loss widens; recovery expected in 2H25. Maintain...
The data centre industry is gravitating towards building of hyperscale and even gigawatts data centres. Smaller data centres, particularly those serving enterprise tenants, could become irrelevant. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69) and DCREIT (Target: US$0.88) as hyperscale tenants accounted for sizeable 67% and 75% of rental income respectively. Downgrade MINT to HOLD (Target: S$2.30) as its enterprise tenants are susceptible to non-renewal.
GREATER CHINA Results China Overseas Property Holdings (2669 HK/BUY/HK$5.85 /Target: HK$7.00) 1H25: Results a mixed bag; quality growth with slower expansion pace; special dividend for 10th listing anniversary. Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK/BUY/HK$9.52/Target: HK$10.80) 1H25: In line; solid backlog, stabilised pricing, and margin recovery ahead. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/BUY/Rmb35.70/Target: Rmb39.50) 2Q25: Solid growth in operating income. PCB/IT equip...
Two S-REITs out of 21 under our coverage beat expectations, namely CICT (NPI margin expanded due to efficiency and scale from focus on Singapore) and PREIT (11 nursing homes in France contributed fully and accounted for 7.8% of group NPI). Maintain OVERWEIGHT. US monetary policy is switching towards easing. BUY blue chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69), KREIT (Target: S$1.18) and LREIT (Target: S$0.79).
The Jackson Hole Symposium highlights US monetary policy at an inflexion point, potentially switching towards easing to support the job market, which has slowed considerably for three consecutive months in May, June and July. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. S-REITs benefit from recovery in liquidity triggered by upcoming rate cuts. BUY blue chip S-REITs: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69), KREIT (Target: S$1.18) and LREIT (Target: S$0.79).
GREATER CHINA Results CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK/BUY/HK$10.51/Target: HK$12.00) 1H25: Results miss; expects hoh sales recovery and two more BD deals in 2H25. Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK/BUY/HK$30.80/Target: HK$40.00) 2Q25: Net loss in line; 3Q25 turnaround on the back of lithium carbonate price recovery. Maintain BUY, target price: HK$40.00. Li Ning (2331 HK/HOLD/HK$19.70/Target: HK$18.90) 1H25: Results beat but challenges remain in 2H25; fa...
Strategy Results Roundup 1H25 results roundup: A resilient earnings season with banks carrying the load, REITs upping rents. Raising STI target to 4,602. Sector REITs Jackson Symposium provides turnaround momentum. TRADERS' CORNER Singapore Telecommunications (ST SP): Trading BUY First Resourc...
Leasing activities surged 24% hoh in 1H25. Notable new leases include 120,000sf for X-energy at WAW, 43,000sf for a global engineering and consultancy company at VCS1 and 61,000sf for the US Attorney Office of Utah at 222 Main. Portfolio occupancy improved 1.3ppt qoq to 80.2% in 2Q25. PRIME will convene its board meeting in Nov 25 to calibrate its payout ratio. It provides distribution yields of 15% for 2026 assuming the payout ratio is set at 70%. P/NAV looks depressingly low at 0.32x. Maintain...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AEM Holdings (AEM SP/SELL/S$1.51/Target:S$1.25): 1H25: Revenue in line but earnings miss expectations; maintain SELL. CapitaLand Investment (CLI SP/BUY/S$2.72/Target: S$3.49): 1H25: Strategic recycling and lodging expansion support growth outlook. Maintain BUY. ComfortDelGro Corporation (CD SP/BUY/S$1.53/Target: S$1.70): 2Q25: A steady ride with decent yield and earnings growth. First Resources (FR SP/BUY/S$1.68//Target: S$1.85): 1H25: Results above expectations thank...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Rebound falters, weighed down by weaker construction and input cost pressures. Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales pressured by anti-involution initiatives. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results Budweiser APAC (1876 HK/BUY/HK$8.26/Target: HK$12.00) ...
Singapore is a haven due to its fiscal discipline and the lowest reciprocal tariff of 10%. The flight to safety is evidenced by low 10-year Singapore government bond yield of 2.1% and 3-month compounded SORA of 1.9%. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY suburban retail REITs CICT (Target: S$2.72), FCT (Target: S$3.07) and LREIT (Target: S$0.76) and data centre REITs DCREIT (Target: US$0.88) and KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69). We also like CLAR (Target: S$4.02).
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